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Measuring the causal impact of an advertising campaign on sales is an essential task for advertising companies. Challenges arise when companies run advertising campaigns in multiple stores which are spatially correlated, and when the sales…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2018-03-13 Bo Ning , Subhashis Ghosal , Jewell Thomas

The high structural deficient rate poses serious risks to the operation of many bridges and buildings. To prevent critical damage and structural collapse, a quick structural health diagnosis tool is needed during normal operation or…

应用统计 · 统计学 2018-12-10 Yizheng Liao , Anne S. Kiremidjian , Ram Rajagopal , Chin-Hsuing Loh

Covariate shift, a widely used assumption in tackling {\it distributional shift} (when training and test distributions differ), focuses on scenarios where the distribution of the labels conditioned on the feature vector is the same, but the…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2025-02-24 Deeksha Adil , Jarosław Błasiok

The effective sample size quantifies the amount of independent information contained in a dataset, accounting for redundancy due to correlation between observations. While widely used in geostatistics for scalar data, its extension to…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2026-01-29 Alfredo Alegría , John Gómez , Jorge Mateu , Ronny Vallejos

We propose a new robustness score for continuous-time Signal Temporal Logic (STL) specifications. Instead of considering only the most severe point along the evolution of the signal, we use average scores to extract more information from…

形式语言与自动机理论 · 计算机科学 2019-09-04 Noushin Mehdipour , Cristian-Ioan Vasile , Calin Belta

Time series measured from real-world systems are generally noisy, complex and display statistical properties that evolve continuously over time. Here, we present a method that combines wavelet analysis and non-stationary surrogates to…

数据分析、统计与概率 · 物理学 2018-04-12 Mario Chavez , Bernard Cazelles

Accurately estimating the proportion of true signals among a large number of variables is crucial for enhancing the precision and reliability of scientific research. Traditional signal proportion estimators often assume independence among…

统计理论 · 数学 2026-05-15 Jingtian Bai , Xinge Jessie Jeng

Many natural systems undergo critical transitions, i.e. sudden shifts from one dynamical regime to another. In the climate system, the atmospheric boundary layer can experience sudden transitions between fully turbulent states and…

大气与海洋物理 · 物理学 2020-08-26 Amandine Kaiser , Davide Faranda , Sebastian Krumscheid , Danijel Belušić , Nikki Vercauteren

Physical or geographic location proves to be an important feature in many data science models, because many diverse natural and social phenomenon have a spatial component. Spatial autocorrelation measures the extent to which locally…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2020-10-20 Anar Amgalan , Lilianne R. Mujica-Parodi , Steven S. Skiena

In statistical physics, the efficiency of tempering approaches strongly depends on ingredients such as the number of replicas $R$, reliable determination of weight factors and the set of used temperatures, ${\mathcal T}_R = \{T_1, T_2,…

统计力学 · 物理学 2014-09-01 A. Valentim , M. G. E. da Luz , Carlos E. Fiore

I present an approach for modeling areal spatial covariance by considering the stationary distribution of a spatio-temporal Markov random walk. In the areal data case, this stationary distribution corresponds to an intrinsic simultaneous…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2015-07-06 Ephraim M. Hanks

Information in the time distribution of points in a state space reconstructed from observed data yields a test for ``nonstationarity''. Framed in terms of a statistical hypothesis test, this numerical algorithm can discern whether some…

chao-dyn · 物理学 2008-02-03 Matthew B. Kennel

For a long time, many methods are developed to make temporal signal analyses based on time series. However, for geographical systems, spatial signal analyses are as important as temporal signal analyses. Nonstationary spatial and temporal…

物理与社会 · 物理学 2020-12-29 Yanguang Chen , Yuqing Long

Spatiotemporal learning plays a crucial role in mobile computing techniques to empower smart cites. While existing research has made great efforts to achieve accurate predictions on the overall dataset, they still neglect the significant…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2024-03-20 Gengyu Lin , Zhengyang Zhou , Qihe Huang , Kuo Yang , Shifen Cheng , Yang Wang

We introduce a new method for forecasting emergency call arrival rates that combines integer-valued time series models with a dynamic latent factor structure. Covariate information is captured via simple constraints on the factor loadings.…

应用统计 · 统计学 2011-07-26 David S. Matteson , Mathew W. McLean , Dawn B. Woodard , Shane G. Henderson

We study detection methods for multivariable signals under dependent noise. The main focus is on three-dimensional signals, i.e. on signals in the space-time domain. Examples for such signals are multifaceted. They include geographic and…

概率论 · 数学 2018-03-20 Annabel Prause , Ansgar Steland

Wearable human activity recognition (WHAR) models often suffer from performance degradation under real-world cross-user distribution shifts. Test-time adaptation (TTA) mitigates this degradation by adapting models online using unlabeled…

计算机视觉与模式识别 · 计算机科学 2026-05-12 Zishu Zhou , Zaipeng Xie , Xuanyao Jie

Signal Temporal Logic (STL) inference learns interpretable logical rules for temporal behaviors in dynamical systems. To ensure the correctness of learned STL formulas, recent approaches have incorporated conformal prediction as a…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2026-03-31 Yixuan Wang , Danyang Li , Matthew Cleaveland , Roberto Tron , Mingyu Cai

The traffic in wireless networks has become diverse and fluctuating both spatially and temporally due to the emergence of new wireless applications and the complexity of scenarios. The purpose of this paper is to quantitatively analyze the…

网络与互联网体系结构 · 计算机科学 2020-08-27 Gang Wang , Yi Zhong , Rongpeng Li , Xiaohu Ge , Tony Q. S. Quek , Guoqiang Mao

A novel method is proposed for detecting changes in the covariance structure of moderate dimensional time series. This non-linear test statistic has a number of useful properties. Most importantly, it is independent of the underlying…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2021-08-18 Sean Ryan , Rebecca Killick