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Sequential Monte Carlo algorithms (also known as particle filters) are popular methods to approximate filtering (and related) distributions of state-space models. However, they converge at the slow $1/\sqrt{N}$ rate, which may be an issue…

统计计算 · 统计学 2015-03-06 Nicolas Chopin , Mathieu Gerber

In this paper we present a rigorous cost and error analysis of a multilevel estimator based on randomly shifted Quasi-Monte Carlo (QMC) lattice rules for lognormal diffusion problems. These problems are motivated by uncertainty…

Antithetic sampling, which goes back to the classical work by Hammersley and Morton (1956), is one of the well-known variance reduction techniques for Monte Carlo integration. In this paper we investigate its application to digital nets…

数值分析 · 数学 2019-12-09 Takashi Goda

In this paper we give explicit constructions of point sets in the $s$ dimensional unit cube yielding quasi-Monte Carlo algorithms which achieve the optimal rate of convergence of the worst-case error for numerically integrating high…

数值分析 · 数学 2013-04-02 Josef Dick

We consider Metropolis Hastings MCMC in cases where the log of the ratio of target distributions is replaced by an estimator. The estimator is based on m samples from an independent online Monte Carlo simulation. Under some conditions on…

统计计算 · 统计学 2012-06-01 Geoff K. Nicholls , Colin Fox , Alexis Muir Watt

We consider adaptive increasingly rare Markov chain Monte Carlo (MCMC) algorithms, which are adaptive MCMC methods, where the adaptation concerning the "past'' happens less and less frequently over time. Under a contraction assumption with…

The combination of continuum Many-Body Quantum physics and Monte Carlo methods provide a powerful and well established approach to first principles calculations for large systems. Replacing the exact solution of the problem with a…

计算物理 · 物理学 2009-10-01 J. R. Trail

Sequential Monte Carlo Samplers are a class of stochastic algorithms for Monte Carlo integral estimation w.r.t. probability distributions, which combine elements of Markov chain Monte Carlo methods and importance sampling/resampling…

概率论 · 数学 2007-05-23 Andreas Eberle , Carlo Marinelli

We show that repulsive random variables can yield Monte Carlo methods with faster convergence rates than the typical $N^{-1/2}$, where $N$ is the number of integrand evaluations. More precisely, we propose stochastic numerical quadratures…

概率论 · 数学 2019-06-18 Rémi Bardenet , Adrien Hardy

Gerber and Chopin (2015) recently introduced Sequential quasi-Monte Carlo (SQMC) algorithms as an efficient way to perform filtering in state-space models. The basic idea is to replace random variables with low-discrepancy point sets, so as…

统计计算 · 统计学 2015-06-22 Mathieu Gerber , Nicolas Chopin

Overlap between two neural quantum states can be computed through Monte Carlo sampling by evaluating the unnormalized probability amplitudes on a subset of basis configurations. Due to the presence of probability amplitude ratios in the…

量子物理 · 物理学 2023-11-28 Tomasz Szołdra

We propose quantum algorithms that provide provable speedups for Markov Chain Monte Carlo (MCMC) methods commonly used for sampling from probability distributions of the form $\pi \propto e^{-f}$, where $f$ is a potential function. Our…

量子物理 · 物理学 2025-04-07 Guneykan Ozgul , Xiantao Li , Mehrdad Mahdavi , Chunhao Wang

A method for the multifidelity Monte Carlo (MFMC) estimation of statistical quantities is proposed which is applicable to computational budgets of any size. Based on a sequence of optimization problems each with a globally minimizing…

数值分析 · 数学 2022-11-15 Anthony Gruber , Max Gunzburger , Lili Ju , Zhu Wang

Estimating risk measures such as large loss probabilities and Value-at-Risk is fundamental in financial risk management and often relies on computationally intensive nested Monte Carlo methods. While Multi-Level Monte Carlo (MLMC)…

计算金融 · 定量金融 2025-10-23 Alexandre Boumezoued , Adel Cherchali , Vincent Lemaire , Gilles Pagès , Mathieu Truc

We study the sample median of independently generated quasi-Monte Carlo estimators based on randomized digital nets and prove it approximates the target integral value at almost the optimal convergence rate for various function spaces. In…

数值分析 · 数学 2025-02-21 Zexin Pan

We propose a generic Markov Chain Monte Carlo (MCMC) algorithm to speed up computations for datasets with many observations. A key feature of our approach is the use of the highly efficient difference estimator from the survey sampling…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2017-08-03 Matias Quiroz , Mattias Villani , Robert Kohn

In this paper, we consider Quasi-Monte Carlo (QMC) worst case error of weighted smooth function classes in $C^\infty[0,1]^s$ by a digital net over $\mathbb F_2$. We show that the ratio of the worst case error to the QMC integration error of…

数值分析 · 数学 2016-11-03 Matsumoto Makoto , Ryuichi Ohori , Takehito Yoshiki

In this paper, we examine the Sample Average Approximation (SAA) procedure within a framework where the Monte Carlo estimator of the expectation is biased. We also introduce Multilevel Monte Carlo (MLMC) in the SAA setup to enhance the…

计算金融 · 定量金融 2024-07-29 Devang Sinha , Siddhartha P. Chakrabarty

In this paper, we analyse a method for approximating the distribution function and density of a random variable that depends in a non-trivial way on a possibly high number of independent random variables, each with support on the whole real…

数值分析 · 数学 2022-10-07 Alexander D. Gilbert , Frances Y. Kuo , Ian H. Sloan

In this article we design a novel quasi-regression Monte Carlo algorithm in order to approximate the solution of discrete time backward stochastic differential equations (BSDEs), and we analyze the convergence of the proposed method. The…

数值分析 · 数学 2024-08-01 E. Gobet , J. G. López-Salas , C. Vázquez