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Though black-box predictors are state-of-the-art for many complex tasks, they often fail to properly quantify predictive uncertainty and may provide inappropriate predictions for unfamiliar data. Instead, we can learn more reliable models…

机器学习 · 统计学 2021-12-14 Jean Feng , Arjun Sondhi , Jessica Perry , Noah Simon

Improving existing widely-adopted prediction models is often a more efficient and robust way towards progress than training new models from scratch. Existing models may (a) incorporate complex mechanistic knowledge, (b) leverage proprietary…

In order to improve forecasts, a decisionmaker often combines probabilities given by various sources, such as human experts and machine learning classifiers. When few training data are available, aggregation can be improved by incorporating…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2012-07-19 Joseph Kahn

We present a new method for probabilistic elicitation of expert knowledge using binary responses of human experts assessing simulated data from a statistical model, where the parameters are subject to uncertainty. The binary responses…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2020-03-10 Owen Thomas , Henri Pesonen , Jukka Corander

Drug similarity has been studied to support downstream clinical tasks such as inferring novel properties of drugs (e.g. side effects, indications, interactions) from known properties. The growing availability of new types of drug features…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2018-05-01 Tengfei Ma , Cao Xiao , Jiayu Zhou , Fei Wang

Selective classification allows models to abstain from making predictions (e.g., say "I don't know") when in doubt in order to obtain better effective accuracy. While typical selective models can be effective at producing more accurate…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2024-06-24 Adam Fisch , Tommi Jaakkola , Regina Barzilay

Lesion segmentation is inherently influenced by imaging uncertainty, arising from ill-defined lesion boundaries and inter-observer variability in diagnosis. To address this challenge, previous works formulated the multi-rater medical image…

计算机视觉与模式识别 · 计算机科学 2026-05-05 Ke Liu , Shangde Gao , Yichao Fu , Shuaike Shen , Shangqi Gao , Chunhua Shen

Motivated by the challenge to improve the adversarial robustness, security, and trust of medical decision making intelligent agents, this study develops a full-link security enhancement framework, which describes "input risk perception -…

密码学与安全 · 计算机科学 2026-05-12 Saisai Hu

Computational models and simulations are not just appealing because of their intrinsic characteristics across spatiotemporal scales, scalability, and predictive power, but also because the set of problems in cancer biomedicine that can be…

组织与器官 · 定量生物学 2023-11-01 Nicolò Cogno , Cristian Axenie , Roman Bauer , Vasileios Vavourakis

Predicting the solubility of given molecules remains crucial in the pharmaceutical industry. In this study, we revisited this extensively studied topic, leveraging the capabilities of contemporary computing resources. We employed two…

定量方法 · 定量生物学 2024-01-08 John Ho , Zhao-Heng Yin , Colin Zhang , Nicole Guo , Yang Ha

By combining various cancer cell line (CCL) drug screening panels, the size of the data has grown significantly to begin understanding how advances in deep learning can advance drug response predictions. In this paper we train >35,000…

The prediction of cancer prognosis and metastatic potential immediately after the initial diagnoses is a major challenge in current clinical research. The relevance of such a signature is clear, as it will free many patients from the agony…

应用统计 · 统计学 2017-10-17 Royi Jacobovic

Benchmarking drug efficacy is a critical step in clinical trial design and planning. The challenge is that much of the data on efficacy endpoints is stored in scientific papers in free text form, so extraction of such data is currently a…

Identifying the mutations that drive cancer growth is key in clinical decision making and precision oncology. As driver mutations confer selective advantage and thus have an increased likelihood of occurrence, frequency-based statistical…

基因组学 · 定量生物学 2021-05-04 Adnan Akbar , Andrey Solovyev , John W Cassidy , Nirmesh Patel , Harry W Clifford

Model-based reinforcement learning has the potential to be more sample efficient than model-free approaches. However, existing model-based methods are vulnerable to model bias, which leads to poor generalization and asymptotic performance…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2019-06-27 Tung-Long Vuong , Kenneth Tran

In the precision medicine era, there is a growing need for precision radiotherapy where the planned radiation dose needs to be optimally determined by considering a myriad of patient-specific information in order to ensure treatment…

机器学习 · 统计学 2022-02-10 Wenbo Sun , Dipesh Niraula , Issam El Naqa , Randall K Ten Haken , Ivo D Dinov , Kyle Cuneo , Judy Jin

Paucity of medical data severely limits the generalizability of diagnostic ML models, as the full spectrum of disease variability can not be represented by a small clinical dataset. To address this, diffusion models (DMs) have been…

计算机视觉与模式识别 · 计算机科学 2025-10-23 Janet Wang , Yunbei Zhang , Zhengming Ding , Jihun Hamm

This article considers the problem of estimating a multivariate probit model in a panel data setting with emphasis on sampling a high-dimensional correlation matrix and improving the overall efficiency of the data augmentation approach. We…

统计计算 · 统计学 2020-05-07 Vincent Chin , David Gunawan , Denzil G. Fiebig , Robert Kohn , Scott A. Sisson

In the last decade, machine learning techniques have gained popularity for estimating causal effects. One machine learning approach that can be used for estimating an average treatment effect is Double/debiased machine learning (DML)…

计量经济学 · 经济学 2025-01-17 Daniele Ballinari , Nora Bearth

Medical decision-making often involves integrating knowledge from multiple clinical specialties, typically achieved through multidisciplinary teams. Inspired by this collaborative process, recent work has leveraged large language models…

人工智能 · 计算机科学 2025-09-19 Xiao Wu , Ting-Zhu Huang , Liang-Jian Deng , Yanyuan Qiao , Imran Razzak , Yutong Xie