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A continuous-time Markov chain (CTMC) execution is a continuous class of probability distributions over states. This paper proposes a probabilistic linear-time temporal logic, namely continuous-time linear logic (CLL), to reason about the…

计算机科学中的逻辑 · 计算机科学 2022-04-15 Ji Guan , Nengkun Yu

Filtering---estimating the state of a partially observable Markov process from a sequence of observations---is one of the most widely studied problems in control theory, AI, and computational statistics. Exact computation of the posterior…

人工智能 · 计算机科学 2013-01-07 Bhaskara Marthi , Hanna Pasula , Stuart Russell , Yuval Peres

We develop continuous time Markov chain (CTMC) approximation of one-dimensional diffusions with a lower sticky boundary. Approximate solutions to the action of the Feynman-Kac operator associated with a sticky diffusion and first passage…

概率论 · 数学 2026-01-14 Christian Meier , Lingfei Li , Gongqiu Zhang

Analyses of serially-sampled data often begin with the assumption that the observations represent discrete samples from a latent continuous-time stochastic process. The continuous-time Markov chain (CTMC) is one such generative model whose…

应用统计 · 统计学 2009-10-12 Asger Hobolth , Eric A. Stone

Continuous-time Markov chains are mathematical models that are used to describe the state-evolution of dynamical systems under stochastic uncertainty, and have found widespread applications in various fields. In order to make these models…

概率论 · 数学 2017-06-22 Thomas Krak , Jasper De Bock , Arno Siebes

Switching state-space models (SSSM) are a very popular class of time series models that have found many applications in statistics, econometrics and advanced signal processing. Bayesian inference for these models typically relies on Markov…

统计计算 · 统计学 2010-11-11 Nick Whiteley , Christophe Andrieu , Arnaud Doucet

We propose a Bayesian tensor-on-tensor regression approach to predict a multidimensional array (tensor) of arbitrary dimensions from another tensor of arbitrary dimensions, building upon the Tucker decomposition of the regression…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2022-10-21 Kunbo Wang , Yanxun Xu

The computation of the distance of two time series is time-consuming for any elastic distance function that accounts for misalignments. Among those functions, DTW is the most prominent. However, a recent extensive evaluation has shown that…

数据结构与算法 · 计算机科学 2023-04-21 Jana Holznigenkemper , Christian Komusiewicz , Bernhard Seeger

We propose a very fast approximate Markov Chain Monte Carlo (MCMC) sampling framework that is applicable to a large class of sparse Bayesian inference problems, where the computational cost per iteration in several models is of order…

统计计算 · 统计学 2021-08-17 Yves Atchadé , Liwei Wang

We introduce a general class of distances (metrics) between Markov chains, which are based on linear behaviour. This class encompasses distances given topologically (such as the total variation distance or trace distance) as well as by…

形式语言与自动机理论 · 计算机科学 2016-06-27 Przemysław Daca , Thomas A. Henzinger , Jan Křetínský , Tatjana Petrov

Particle smoothers are widely used algorithms allowing to approximate the smoothing distribution in hidden Markov models. Existing algorithms often suffer from slow computational time or degeneracy. We propose in this paper a way to improve…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2011-07-28 Cyrille Dubarry , Randal Douc

We study a class of countably-infinite-dimensional linear programs (CILPs) whose feasible sets are bounded subsets of appropriately defined spaces of measures. The optimal value, optimal points, and minimal points of these CILPs can be…

最优化与控制 · 数学 2020-12-02 Juan Kuntz , Philipp Thomas , Guy-Bart Stan , Mauricio Barahona

We propose a method to approximate continuous-time, continuous-state stochastic processes by a discrete-time Markov chain defined on a nonuniform grid. Our method provides exact moment matching for processes whose first and second moments…

概率论 · 数学 2025-11-27 Do Hyun Kim , Ahmet Cetinkaya

A Task Decomposition method for iterative learning Model Predictive Control (TDMPC) for linear time-varying systems is presented. We consider the availability of state-input trajectories which solve an original task T1, and design a…

系统与控制 · 电气工程与系统科学 2020-05-05 Charlott Vallon , Francesco Borrelli

There is a lack of methodological results for continuous time change detection due to the challenges of noninformative prior specification and efficient posterior inference in this setting. Most methodologies to date assume data are…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2025-04-28 Dan Cunha , Mark Friedl , Luis Carvalho

We present the first review of methods to overapproximate the set of reachable states of linear time-invariant systems subject to uncertain initial states and input signals for short time horizons. These methods are fundamental to…

数值分析 · 数学 2022-06-02 Marcelo Forets , Christian Schilling

Labeled continuous-time Markov chains (CTMCs) describe processes subject to random timing and partial observability. In applications such as runtime monitoring, we must incorporate past observations. The timing of these observations matters…

计算机科学中的逻辑 · 计算机科学 2024-01-30 Thom Badings , Matthias Volk , Sebastian Junges , Marielle Stoelinga , Nils Jansen

We study augmenting a plane Euclidean network with a segment, called a shortcut, to minimize the largest distance between any two points along the edges of the resulting network. Problems of this type have received considerable attention…

计算几何 · 计算机科学 2018-07-27 Delia Garijo , Alberto Márquez , Natalia Rodríguez , Rodrigo I. Silveira

This paper presents an on-the-fly uniformization technique for the analysis of time-inhomogeneous Markov population models. This technique is applicable to models with infinite state spaces and unbounded rates, which are, for instance,…

概率论 · 数学 2011-07-15 Aleksandr Andreychenko , Pepijn Crouzen , Linar Mikeev , Verena Wolf

Exact stochastic simulation of continuous-time Markov chains (CTMCs) is essential when discreteness and noise drive system behavior, but the hard categorical event selection in Gillespie-type algorithms blocks gradient-based learning. We…

定量方法 · 定量生物学 2026-02-24 Jose M. G. Vilar , Leonor Saiz