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Mutual information is widely used in artificial intelligence, in a descriptive way, to measure the stochastic dependence of discrete random variables. In order to address questions such as the reliability of the empirical value, one must…

人工智能 · 计算机科学 2014-08-08 Marco Zaffalon , Marcus Hutter

Approximate Bayesian computation (ABC) is commonly used for parameter estimation and model comparison for intractable simulator-based models whose likelihood function cannot be evaluated. In this paper we instead investigate the feasibility…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2022-09-13 Marko Järvenpää , Jukka Corander

Parameter inference is a fundamental problem in data-driven modeling. Given observed data that is believed to be a realization of some parameterized model, the aim is to find parameter values that are able to explain the observed data. In…

数据结构与算法 · 计算机科学 2016-04-20 Carlo Albert , Simone Ulzega , Ruedi Stoop

Statistical inference on the explained variation of an outcome by a set of covariates is of particular interest in practice. When the covariates are of moderate to high-dimension and the effects are not sparse, several approaches have been…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2022-01-24 Hua Yun Chen

Inference of the marginal probability distribution is defined as the calculation of the probability of a subset of the variables and is relevant for handling missing data and hidden variables. While inference of the marginal probability…

机器学习 · 统计学 2022-07-22 Fritz M. Bayer , Giusi Moffa , Niko Beerenwinkel , Jack Kuipers

Outlying observations are frequently encountered across a wide spectrum of scientific domains, posing notable challenges to the generalizability of statistical models and the reproducibility of downstream analysis. They are identified…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2026-03-17 Dongliang Zhang , Masoud Asgharian , Martin A. Lindquist

An important question that arises in the study of high dimensional vector representations learned from data is: given a set $\mathcal{D}$ of vectors and a query $q$, estimate the number of points within a specified distance threshold of…

数据结构与算法 · 计算机科学 2018-09-21 Xian Wu , Moses Charikar , Vishnu Natchu

In this work, we develop an importance sampling estimator by coupling the reduced-order model and the generative model in a problem setting of uncertainty quantification. The target is to estimate the probability that the quantity of…

机器学习 · 统计学 2024-12-20 Xiaoliang Wan , Shuangqing Wei

The increased availability of massive data sets provides a unique opportunity to discover subtle patterns in their distributions, but also imposes overwhelming computational challenges. To fully utilize the information contained in big…

统计理论 · 数学 2018-04-12 Stanislav Volgushev , Shih-Kang Chao , Guang Cheng

We propose a scalable variational Bayes method for statistical inference for a single or low-dimensional subset of the coordinates of a high-dimensional parameter in sparse linear regression. Our approach relies on assigning a mean-field…

机器学习 · 统计学 2025-08-12 Ismaël Castillo , Alice L'Huillier , Kolyan Ray , Luke Travis

High-dimensional data with hundreds of thousands of observations are becoming commonplace in many disciplines. The analysis of such data poses many computational challenges, especially when the observations are correlated over time and/or…

统计计算 · 统计学 2011-08-05 Sylvie Tchumtchoua , David B. Dunson , Jeffrey S. Morris

This is a preliminary version of visual interpretation integrating multiple sensors in SUCCESSOR, an intelligent, model-based vision system. We pursue a thorough integration of hierarchical Bayesian inference with comprehensive physical…

人工智能 · 计算机科学 2013-04-11 Thomas O. Binford , Tod S. Levitt , Wallace B. Mann

Selectivity estimation aims at estimating the number of database objects that satisfy a selection criterion. Answering this problem accurately and efficiently is essential to many applications, such as density estimation, outlier detection,…

数据库 · 计算机科学 2021-05-28 Yaoshu Wang , Chuan Xiao , Jianbin Qin , Rui Mao , Onizuka Makoto , Wei Wang , Rui Zhang , Yoshiharu Ishikawa

Although Bayesian methods are robust and principled, their application in practice could be limited since they typically rely on computationally intensive Markov Chain Monte Carlo algorithms for their implementation. One possible solution…

统计计算 · 统计学 2015-10-06 Tian Chen , Jeffrey Streets , Babak Shahbaba

A new method called "variational sampling" is proposed to estimate integrals under probability distributions that can be evaluated up to a normalizing constant. The key idea is to fit the target distribution with an exponential family model…

统计计算 · 统计学 2013-10-15 Alexis Roche

Bayesian inference allows machine learning models to express uncertainty. Current machine learning models use only a single learnable parameter combination when making predictions, and as a result are highly overconfident when their…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2022-02-23 Andrew Wood , Moshik Hershcovitch , Daniel Waddington , Sarel Cohen , Peter Chin

We show that density models describing multiple observables with (i) hard boundaries and (ii) dependence on external parameters may be created using an auto-regressive Gaussian mixture model. The model is designed to capture how observable…

数据分析、统计与概率 · 物理学 2022-02-01 Stephen B. Menary , Darren D. Price

Estimating arbitrary quantities of interest (QoIs) that are non-linear operators of complex, expensive-to-evaluate, black-box functions is a challenging problem due to missing domain knowledge and finite budgets. Bayesian optimal design of…

机器学习 · 统计学 2019-12-17 Piyush Pandita , Nimish Awalgaonkar , Ilias Bilionis , Jitesh Panchal

Stochastic variational inference makes it possible to approximate posterior distributions induced by large datasets quickly using stochastic optimization. The algorithm relies on the use of fully factorized variational distributions.…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2014-11-27 Matthew D. Hoffman , David M. Blei

Learning a high-dimensional dense representation for vocabulary terms, also known as a word embedding, has recently attracted much attention in natural language processing and information retrieval tasks. The embedding vectors are typically…

信息检索 · 计算机科学 2017-07-18 Hamed Zamani , W. Bruce Croft