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Inferring the value of a property of a large stochastic system is a difficult task when the number of samples is insufficient to reliably estimate the probability distribution. The Bayesian estimator of the property of interest requires the…

数据分析、统计与概率 · 物理学 2022-01-26 Damián G. Hernández , Inés Samengo

Streamlined qBOLD acquisitions enable experimentally straightforward observations of brain oxygen metabolism. $R_2^\prime$ maps are easily inferred; however, the Oxygen extraction fraction (OEF) and deoxygenated blood volume (DBV) are more…

图像与视频处理 · 电气工程与系统科学 2022-04-08 Ivor J. A. Simpson , Ashley McManamon , Balázs Örzsik , Alan J. Stone , Nicholas P. Blockley , Iris Asllani , Alessandro Colasanti , Mara Cercignani

Distributional models are derived from co-occurrences in a corpus, where only a small proportion of all possible plausible co-occurrences will be observed. This results in a very sparse vector space, requiring a mechanism for inferring…

计算与语言 · 计算机科学 2016-08-25 Thomas Kober , Julie Weeds , Jeremy Reffin , David Weir

This paper presents a distributed Koopman operator learning framework for modeling unknown nonlinear dynamics using sequential observations from multiple agents. Each agent estimates a local Koopman approximation based on lifted data and…

系统与控制 · 电气工程与系统科学 2026-04-21 Ali Azarbahram , Shenyu Liu , Gian Paolo Incremona

Beyond estimating parameters of interest from data, one of the key goals of statistical inference is to properly quantify uncertainty in these estimates. In Bayesian inference, this uncertainty is provided by the posterior distribution, the…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2025-01-03 Daniela de Albuquerque , John Pearson

Vanilla variational inference finds an optimal approximation to the Bayesian posterior distribution, but even the exact Bayesian posterior is often not meaningful under model misspecification. We propose predictive variational inference…

机器学习 · 统计学 2026-03-31 Jinlin Lai , Antonio Linero , Yuling Yao

In this article, we propose a novel method for sampling potential functions based on noisy observation data of a finite number of observables in quantum canonical ensembles, which leads to the accurate sampling of a wide class of test…

数值分析 · 数学 2020-04-08 Ziheng Chen , Zhennan Zhou

In this work we consider the problem of approximating the statistics of a given Quantity of Interest (QoI) that depends on the solution of a linear elliptic PDE defined over a random domain parameterized by $N$ random variables. The…

数值分析 · 数学 2016-03-29 Julio E. Castrillon-Candas , Fabio Nobile , Raul F. Tempone

Given two distributions $\mathcal{P}$ and $\mathcal{Q}$ over a high-dimensional domain $\{0,1\}^n$, and a parameter $\varepsilon$, the goal of distance estimation is to determine the statistical distance between $\mathcal{P}$ and…

数据结构与算法 · 计算机科学 2025-09-09 Gunjan Kumar , Kuldeep S. Meel , Yash Pote

We present a general framework for Bayesian estimation of incompletely observed multivariate diffusion processes. Observations are assumed to be discrete in time, noisy and incomplete. We assume the drift and diffusion coefficient depend on…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2019-02-04 Frank van der Meulen , Moritz Schauer

We study the problem of cooperative inference where a group of agents interact over a network and seek to estimate a joint parameter that best explains a set of observations. Agents do not know the network topology or the observations of…

最优化与控制 · 数学 2017-04-11 Angelia Nedić , Alex Olshevsky , César A. Uribe

We present two analytical formulae for estimating the sensitivity -- namely, the gradient or Jacobian -- at given realizations of an arbitrary-dimensional random vector with respect to its distributional parameters. The first formula…

机器学习 · 统计学 2025-08-14 Pi-Yueh Chuang , Ahmed Attia , Emil Constantinescu

The prior distribution for the unknown model parameters plays a crucial role in the process of statistical inference based on Bayesian methods. However, specifying suitable priors is often difficult even when detailed prior knowledge is…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2020-03-18 Marcelo Hartmann , Georgi Agiashvili , Paul Bürkner , Arto Klami

Sequential probabilistic inference from streaming observations requires modeling distributions over future trajectories as new observations arrive. Although diffusion and flow-matching models are effective at capturing high-dimensional,…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2026-05-15 Yinan Huang , Hans Hao-Hsun Hsu , Junran Wang , Bo Dai , Pan Li

Variational inference is an approximation framework for Bayesian inference that seeks to improve quantified uncertainty in predictions by optimizing a simplified distribution over parameters to stand in for the full posterior. Capturing…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2023-09-12 Jed A. Duersch

Logistic regression involving high-dimensional covariates is a practically important problem. Often the goal is variable selection, i.e., determining which few of the many covariates are associated with the binary response. Unfortunately,…

统计计算 · 统计学 2025-02-18 Yiqi Tang , Ryan Martin

Variational inference (VI) is a popular method for approximating intractable posterior distributions in Bayesian inference and probabilistic machine learning. In this paper, we introduce a general framework for quantifying the statistical…

统计理论 · 数学 2025-07-18 Chenyang Zhong , Sumit Mukherjee , Bodhisattva Sen

Most work on supervised learning research has focused on marginal predictions. In decision problems, joint predictive distributions are essential for good performance. Previous work has developed methods for assessing low-order predictive…

Statistical query (SQ) algorithms are algorithms that have access to an {\em SQ oracle} for the input distribution $D$ instead of i.i.d.~ samples from $D$. Given a query function $\phi:X \rightarrow [-1,1]$, the oracle returns an estimate…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2017-04-18 Vitaly Feldman

This paper develops an inferential theory for high-dimensional matrix-variate factor models with missing observations. We propose an easy-to-use all-purpose method that involves two straightforward steps. First, we perform principal…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2025-03-26 Yongxia Zhang , Jinwen Liang , Liwen Xu , Keming Yu , Maozai Tian