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Causal inference plays an important role in explanatory analysis and decision making across various fields like statistics, marketing, health care, and education. Its main task is to estimate treatment effects and make intervention…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2024-07-22 Yingrong Wang , Haoxuan Li , Minqin Zhu , Anpeng Wu , Ruoxuan Xiong , Fei Wu , Kun Kuang

Instrumental variable regression is a foundational tool for causal analysis across the social and biomedical sciences. Recent advances use kernel methods to estimate nonparametric causal relationships, with general data types, while…

统计理论 · 数学 2026-01-21 Marvin Lob , Rahul Singh , Suhas Vijaykumar

We provide finite-sample distribution approximations, that are uniform in the parameter, for inference in linear mixed models. Focus is on variances and covariances of random effects in cases where existing theory fails because their…

统计理论 · 数学 2025-07-29 Karl Oskar Ekvall , Matteo Bottai

A robust estimation framework for binary regression models is studied, aiming to extend traditional approaches like logistic regression models. While previous studies largely focused on logistic models, we explore a broader class of models…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2025-02-24 Kenichi Hayashi , Shinto Eguchi

We develop a new approach for quantifying uncertainty in finite populations, by using design distributions to calibrate sensitivity parameters in finite population identified sets. This yields uncertainty intervals that can be interpreted…

计量经济学 · 经济学 2026-05-12 Brendan Kline , Matthew A. Masten

We extend the continuity-based framework to Regression Discontinuity Designs (RDDs) to identify and estimate causal effects under interference when units are connected through a network. Assignment to an "effective treatment," combining the…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2025-11-20 Elena Dal Torrione , Tiziano Arduini , Laura Forastiere

Deep networks for computer vision are not reliable when they encounter adversarial examples. In this paper, we introduce a framework that uses the dense intrinsic constraints in natural images to robustify inference. By introducing…

计算机视觉与模式识别 · 计算机科学 2023-06-06 Chengzhi Mao , Lingyu Zhang , Abhishek Joshi , Junfeng Yang , Hao Wang , Carl Vondrick

Recurrent neural networks (RNNs) are instrumental in modelling sequential and time-series data. Yet, when using RNNs to inform decision-making, predictions by themselves are not sufficient; we also need estimates of predictive uncertainty.…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2020-06-30 Ahmed M. Alaa , Mihaela van der Schaar

Quantification learning deals with the task of estimating the target label distribution under label shift. In this paper, we first present a unifying framework, distribution feature matching (DFM), that recovers as particular instances…

机器学习 · 统计学 2023-07-04 Bastien Dussap , Gilles Blanchard , Badr-Eddine Chérief-Abdellatif

This paper is concerned with inference in threshold regression models when the practitioners do not know whether at the threshold point the true specification has a kink or a jump. We nest previous works that assume either continuity or…

统计理论 · 数学 2020-01-15 Javier Hidalgo , Jungyoon Lee , Myung Hwan Seo

While adversarial robustness and generalization have individually received substantial attention in the recent literature on quantum machine learning, their interplay is much less explored. In this chapter, we address this interplay for…

量子物理 · 物理学 2025-06-11 Julian Berberich , Tobias Fellner , Christian Holm

Typically, it is desirable to design a control system that is not only robustly stable in the presence of parametric uncertainties but also guarantees an adequate level of system performance. However, most of the existing methods need to…

最优化与控制 · 数学 2020-08-25 Jun Ma , Haiyue Zhu , Masayoshi Tomizuka , Tong Heng Lee

We develop a general framework for distribution-free predictive inference in regression, using conformal inference. The proposed methodology allows for the construction of a prediction band for the response variable using any estimator of…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2017-03-09 Jing Lei , Max G'Sell , Alessandro Rinaldo , Ryan J. Tibshirani , Larry Wasserman

Practical application of H[infinity] robust control relies on system identification of a valid model-set, described by a linear system in feedback with a stable norm-bounded uncertainty, which must explains all possible (or at least all…

最优化与控制 · 数学 2019-01-07 Gray C. Thomas , Luis Sentis

We present R software packages RobustIV and controlfunctionIV for causal inference with possibly invalid instrumental variables. RobustIV focuses on the linear outcome model. It implements the two-stage hard thresholding method to select…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2023-06-21 Taehyeon Koo , Youjin Lee , Dylan S. Small , Zijian Guo

In this paper, for the first time, we propose an evaluation method for deep learning models that assesses the performance of a model not only in an unseen test scenario, but also in extreme cases of noise, outliers and ambiguous input data.…

计算机视觉与模式识别 · 计算机科学 2018-04-03 Magdalini Paschali , Sailesh Conjeti , Fernando Navarro , Nassir Navab

The vast majority of literature on evaluating the significance of a treatment effect based on observational data has been confined to discrete treatments. These methods are not applicable to drawing inference for a continuous treatment,…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2023-05-23 Charles R. Doss , Guangwei Weng , Lan Wang , Ira Moscovice , Tongtan Chantarat

This study aims to comprehensively investigate the deep ensemble approach, an approximate Bayesian inference, in the multi-output regression task for predicting the aerodynamic performance of a missile configuration. To this end, the effect…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2023-11-27 Sunwoong Yang , Kwanjung Yee

We consider a panel data analysis to examine the heterogeneity in treatment effects with respect to groups, periods, and a pre-treatment covariate of interest in the staggered difference-in-differences setting of Callaway and Sant'Anna…

计量经济学 · 经济学 2025-07-16 Shunsuke Imai , Lei Qin , Takahide Yanagi

Discontinuities can be fairly arbitrary but also cause a significant impact on outcomes in larger systems. Indeed, their arbitrariness is why they have been used to infer causal relationships among variables in numerous settings. Regression…

信息论 · 计算机科学 2023-12-29 Ibtihal Ferwana , Suyoung Park , Ting-Yi Wu , Lav R. Varshney