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We study the effect of the connectivity pattern of complex networks on the propagation dynamics of epidemics. The growth time scale of outbreaks is inversely proportional to the network degree fluctuations, signaling that epidemics spread…

无序系统与神经网络 · 物理学 2009-11-10 Marc Barthelemy , Alain Barrat , Romualdo Pastor-Satorras , Alessandro Vespignani

We study metapopulation models for the spread of epidemics in which different subpopulations (cities) are connected by fluxes of individuals (travelers). This framework allows to describe the spread of a disease on a large scale and we…

种群与进化 · 定量生物学 2008-03-20 Aurelien Gautreau , Alain Barrat , Marc Barthelemy

Epidemics occur in all shapes and forms: infections propagating in our sparse sexual networks, rumours and diseases spreading through our much denser social interactions, or viruses circulating on the Internet. With the advent of large…

物理与社会 · 物理学 2013-09-02 Laurent Hébert-Dufresne , Antoine Allard , Jean-Gabriel Young , Louis J. Dubé

A more connected world has brought major consequences such as facilitate the spread of diseases all over the world to quickly become epidemics, reason why researchers are concentrated in modeling the propagation of epidemics and outbreaks…

物理与社会 · 物理学 2015-10-28 Lucila G. Alvarez Zuzek , Camila Buono , Lidia A. Braunstein

The course of an epidemic is not only shaped by infection transmission over face-to-face contacts, but also by preventive behaviour caused by risk perception and social interactions. This study explores the dynamics of coupled awareness and…

物理与社会 · 物理学 2025-02-24 Tim Van Wesemael , Luis E. C. Rocha , Jan M. Baetens

To improve the accuracy of network-based SIS models we introduce and study a multilayer representation of a time-dependent network. In particular, we assume that individuals have their long-term (permanent) contacts that are always present,…

物理与社会 · 物理学 2018-12-13 Aram Vajdi , David Juher , Joan Saldana , Caterina Scoglio

The study proposes a modeling framework for investigating the disease dynamics with adaptive human behavior during a disease outbreak, considering the impacts of both local observations and global information. One important application…

物理与社会 · 物理学 2020-08-26 Xinwu Qian , Jiawei Xue , Satish V. Ukkusuri

HIV-1 can disseminate between susceptible cells by two mechanisms: cell-free infection following fluid-phase diffusion of virions and by highly-efficient direct cell-to-cell transmission at immune cell contacts. The contribution of this…

We study the dynamics of a spatially structured model of worldwide epidemics and formulate predictions for arrival times of the disease at any city in the network. The model is comprised of a system of ordinary differential equations…

斑图形成与孤子 · 物理学 2018-02-14 Lawrence M. Chen , Matt Holzer , Anne Shapiro

With the exponential growth in the world population and the constant increase in human mobility, the danger of outbreaks of epidemics is rising. Especially in high density urban areas such as public transport and transfer points, where…

其他计算机科学 · 计算机科学 2012-01-04 Mei Shan , Zhou Xuan , Zhu Yifan , Zu Zhenghu , Zheng Tao , A. V. Boukhanovsky , P. M. A Sloot

In this article, we proposed a susceptible-infected model with identical infectivity, in which, at every time step, each node can only contact a constant number of neighbors. We implemented this model on scale-free networks, and found that…

生物物理 · 物理学 2007-05-23 Tao Zhou , Jian-Guo Liu , Wen-Jie Bai , Guanrong Chen , Bing-Hong Wang

The spreading of an epidemic is determined by the connectiviy patterns which underlie the population. While it has been noted that a virus spreads more easily on a network in which global distances are small, it remains a great challenge to…

统计力学 · 物理学 2007-05-23 Thomas Petermann , Paolo De Los Rios

We propose a fully cooperative coinfection model in which singly infected individuals are more likely to acquire a second disease than those who are susceptible, and doubly infected individuals are also assumed to be more contagious than…

物理与社会 · 物理学 2018-03-14 Jorge P. Rodríguez , Yu-Hao Liang , Jonq Juang

We describe the phenomenon of localization in the epidemic SIS model on highly heterogeneous networks in which strongly connected nodes (hubs) play the role of centers of localization. We find that in this model the localized states below…

物理与社会 · 物理学 2016-12-14 R. S. Ferreira , R. A. da Costa , S. N. Dorogovtsev , J. F. F. Mendes

Nowadays, the emergence of online services provides various multi-relation information to support the comprehensive understanding of the epidemic spreading process. In this Letter, we consider the edge weights to represent such multi-role…

物理与社会 · 物理学 2015-06-16 Ye Sun , Chuang Liu , Chu-Xu Zhang , Zi-Ke Zhang

A wide range of infectious diseases are both vertically and horizontally transmitted. Such diseases are spatially transmitted via multiple species in heterogeneous environments, typically described by complex meta-population models. The…

种群与进化 · 定量生物学 2013-03-05 Ling Xue , Caterina Scoglio

Network ecology is a rising field of quantitative biology representing ecosystems as complex networks. A suitable example is parasite spreading: several parasites may be transmitted among their hosts through different mechanisms, each one…

定量方法 · 定量生物学 2016-09-12 Massimo Stella , Cecilia S. Andreazzi , Sanja Selakovic , Alireza Goudarzi , Alberto Antonioni

We study epidemic spreading processes in large networks, when the spread is assisted by a small number of external agents: infection sources with bounded spreading power, but whose movement is unrestricted vis-\`a-vis the underlying network…

社会与信息网络 · 计算机科学 2014-04-15 Siddhartha Banerjee , Aditya Gopalan , Abhik Kumar Das , Sanjay Shakkottai

We consider a model for an epidemic in a population that occupies geographically distinct locations. The disease is spread within subpopulations by contacts between infective and susceptible individuals, and is spread between subpopulations…

概率论 · 数学 2016-02-15 R. McVinish , P. K. Pollett , A. Shausan

The ability to actually implement epidemic models is a crucial stake for public institutions, as they may be overtaken by the increasing complexity of current models and sometimes tend to revert to less elaborate models such as the SIR. In…

物理与社会 · 物理学 2023-12-19 Louis Bremaud , Olivier Giraud , Denis Ullmo