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We study distributional robustness in the context of Extreme Value Theory (EVT). We provide a data-driven method for estimating extreme quantiles in a manner that is robust against incorrect model assumptions underlying the application of…

统计理论 · 数学 2020-06-09 Jose Blanchet , Fei He , Karthyek R. A. Murthy

This paper provides a framework for investigations in fluctuation theory for L\'evy processes with matrix-exponential jumps. We present a matrix form of the components of the infinitely divisible factorization. Using this representation we…

概率论 · 数学 2014-12-09 Ievgen Karnaukh

These lectures notes aim at introducing L\'{e}vy processes in an informal and intuitive way, accessible to non-specialists in the field. In the first part, we focus on the theory of L\'{e}vy processes. We analyze a `toy' example of a…

证券定价 · 定量金融 2008-12-02 Antonis Papapantoleon

In this paper we study the Wiener-Hopf factorization for a class of L\'evy processes with double-sided jumps, characterized by the fact that the density of the L\'evy measure is given by an infinite series of exponential functions with…

概率论 · 数学 2012-01-30 Alexey Kuznetsov

In this article we derive formulas for the probability $P(\sup_{t\leq T} X(t)>u)$ $T>0$ and $P(\sup_{t<\infty} X(t)>u)$ where $X$ is a spectrally positive L\'evy process with infinite variation. The formulas are generalizations of the…

概率论 · 数学 2014-10-20 Zbigniew Michna , Zbigniew Palmowski , Martijn Pistorius

In mathematical finance, Levy processes are widely used for their ability to model both continuous variation and abrupt, discontinuous jumps. These jumps are practically relevant, so reliable inference on the feature that controls jump…

统计理论 · 数学 2021-09-21 Zhe Wang , Ryan Martin

We study the extremal behavior of a stochastic integral driven by a multivariate L\'{e}vy process that is regularly varying with index $\alpha>0$. For predictable integrands with a finite $(\alpha+\delta)$-moment, for some $\delta>0$, we…

概率论 · 数学 2007-05-23 Henrik Hult , Filip Lindskog

In this paper we derive a technique of obtaining limit theorems for suprema of L\'evy processes from their random walk counterparts. For each $a>0$, let $\{Y^{(a)}_n:n\ge 1\}$ be a sequence of independent and identically distributed random…

概率论 · 数学 2011-05-23 Kamil Marcin Kosinski , Onno Boxma , Bert Zwart

We derive explicit formulas for the Mellin transform and the distribution of the exponential functional for Levy processes with rational Laplace exponent. This extends recent results by Cai and Kou on the processes with hyper-exponential…

概率论 · 数学 2012-01-30 Alexey Kuznetsov

The pricing of options in exponential Levy models amounts to the computation of expectations of functionals of Levy processes. In many situations, Monte-Carlo methods are used. However, the simulation of a Levy process with infinite Levy…

计算金融 · 定量金融 2014-02-07 El Hadj Aly Dia

We consider the passage time problem for L\'evy processes, emphasising heavy tailed cases. Results are obtained under quite mild assumptions, namely, drift to $-\infty$ a.s. of the process, possibly at a linear rate (the finite mean case),…

概率论 · 数学 2016-03-24 Ron Doney , Claudia Klüppelberg , Ross Maller

In this paper, we consider the problem of statistical inference for generalized Ornstein-Uhlenbeck processes of the type \[ X_{t} = e^{-\xi_{t}} \left( X_{0} + \int_{0}^{t} e^{\xi_{u-}} d u \right), \] where \(\xi_s\) is a L{\'e}vy process.…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2015-03-12 Denis Belomestny , Vladimir Panov

We study extremal statistics and return intervals in stationary long-range correlated sequences for which the underlying probability density function is bounded and uniform. The extremal statistics we consider e.g., maximum relative to…

统计力学 · 物理学 2015-05-13 N. R. Moloney , J. Davidsen

In this paper we address the problem of rare-event simulation for heavy-tailed L\'evy processes with infinite activities. We propose a strongly efficient importance sampling algorithm that builds upon the sample path large deviations for…

概率论 · 数学 2020-07-17 Xingyu Wang , Chang-Han Rhee

The purpose of this note is to describe, in terms of a power series, the distribution function of the exponential functional, taken at some independent exponential time, of a spectrally negative L\'evy process \xi with unbounded variation.…

概率论 · 数学 2009-04-22 Pierre Patie

We discuss diffusion properties of a dynamical system, which is characterised by long-tail distributions and finite correlations. The particle velocity has the stable L\'evy distribution; it is assumed as a jumping process (the kangaroo…

统计力学 · 物理学 2011-06-21 Tomasz Srokowski

The aim of this paper is to study the laws of the exponential functionals of the processes $X$ with independent increments, namely $$I_t= \int _0^t\exp(-X_s)ds, \,\, t\geq 0,$$ and also $$I_{\infty}= \int _0^{\infty}\exp(-X_s)ds.$$ Under…

概率论 · 数学 2018-04-20 L. Vostrikova

Given a sample from a discretely observed L\'evy process $X=(X_t)_{t\geq 0}$ of the finite jump activity, the problem of nonparametric estimation of the L\'evy density $\rho$ corresponding to the process $X$ is studied. An estimator of…

统计理论 · 数学 2018-04-17 Shota Gugushvili

We consider three classes of linear differential equations on distribution functions, with a fractional order $\alpha\in [0,1].$ The integer case $\alpha =1$ corresponds to the three classical extreme families. In general, we show that…

概率论 · 数学 2019-08-05 Lotfi Boudabsa , Thomas Simon , Pierre Vallois

Let $\xi$ be a L\'{e}vy process and $I_\xi(t):=\int_{0}^te^{-\xi_s}\mathrm{d} s$, $t\geq 0,$ be the exponential functional of L\'{e}vy processes on deterministic horizon. Given that $\lim_{t\to \infty}\xi_t=-\infty$ we evaluate for general…

概率论 · 数学 2025-06-17 Martin Minchev , Mladen Savov