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To make informed health policy decisions regarding a treatment, we must consider both its cost and its clinical effectiveness. In past work, we introduced the net benefit separation (NBS) as a novel measure of cost-effectiveness. The NBS is…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2021-01-27 Nicholas Illenberger , Nandita Mitra , Andrew J. Spieker

A penalized maximum likelihood estimation approach is proposed for discrete-time hidden Markov models where covariates affect the observed responses and serial dependence is considered. The proposed penalized maximum likelihood method…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2025-07-04 Luca Brusa , Fulvia Pennoni , Francesco Bartolucci , Romina Peruilh Bagolini

Accurate modeling of long-range forces is critical in atomistic simulations, as they play a central role in determining the properties of materials and chemical systems. However, standard machine learning interatomic potentials (MLIPs)…

计算物理 · 物理学 2024-12-23 Dongjin Kim , Daniel S. King , Peichen Zhong , Bingqing Cheng

We consider a stochastic process model with time trend and measurement error. We establish consistency and derive the limiting distributions of the maximum likelihood (ML) estimators of the covariance function parameters under a general…

统计理论 · 数学 2016-09-29 Chih-Hao Chang , Hsin-Cheng Huang , Ching-Kang Ing

In this paper, we propose two new algorithms for maximum-likelihood estimation (MLE) of high dimensional sparse covariance matrices. Unlike most of the state of-the-art methods, which either use regularization techniques or penalize the…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2023-05-12 Ghania Fatima , Prabhu Babu , Petre Stoica

Constrained approaches to maximum likelihood estimation in the context of finite mixtures of normals have been presented in the literature. A fully data-dependent constrained method for maximum likelihood estimation of clusterwise linear…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2016-11-11 Roberto Di Mari , Roberto Rocci , Stefano Antonio Gattone

Recently maximum pseudo-likelihood (MPL) inference method has been successfully applied to statistical physics models with intractable likelihoods. We use information theory to derive a relation between the pseudo-likelihood and likelihood…

无序系统与神经网络 · 物理学 2015-06-18 Alexander Mozeika , Onur Dikmen , Joonas Piili

Modern data sets in various domains often include units that were sampled non-randomly from the population and have a latent correlation structure. Here we investigate a common form of this setting, where every unit is associated with a…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2019-07-25 Omer Weissbrod , Shachar Kaufman , David Golan , Saharon Rosset

In Divide & Recombine (D&R), big data are divided into subsets, each analytic method is applied to subsets, and the outputs are recombined. This enables deep analysis and practical computational performance. An innovate D\&R procedure is…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2018-01-17 Qi Liu , Anindya Bhadra , William S. Cleveland

Model error covariances play a central role in the performance of data assimilation methods applied to nonlinear state-space models. However, these covariances are largely unknown in most of the applications. A misspecification of the model…

统计计算 · 统计学 2019-11-06 María Magdalena Lucini , Peter Jan van Leeuwen , Manuel Pulido

\textit{Mallows model} is a widely-used probabilistic framework for learning from ranking data, with applications ranging from recommendation systems and voting to aligning language models with human preferences~\cite{chen2024mallows,…

机器学习 · 统计学 2025-07-14 Yeganeh Alimohammadi , Kiana Asgari

In observational studies, propensity scores are commonly estimated by maxi- mum likelihood but may fail to balance high-dimensional pre-treatment covariates even after specification search. We introduce a general framework that unifies and…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2017-03-22 Qingyuan Zhao

Motivated by studying asymptotic properties of the maximum likelihood estimator (MLE) in stochastic volatility (SV) models, in this paper we investigate likelihood estimation in state space models. We first prove, under some regularity…

统计理论 · 数学 2010-11-15 Cheng-Der Fuh

We propose a framework for computing, optimizing and integrating with respect to a smooth marginal likelihood in statistical models that involve high-dimensional parameters/latent variables and continuous low-dimensional hyperparameters.…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2026-02-10 Omiros Papaspiliopoulos , Timothée Stumpf-Fétizon , Jonathan Weare

Within-individual variability of health indicators measured over time is becoming commonly used to inform about disease progression. Simple summary statistics (e.g. the standard deviation for each individual) are often used but they are not…

With the proliferation of electric vehicles (EVs), accurate charging demand and station occupancy forecasting are critical for optimizing urban energy and the profit of EVs aggregator. Existing approaches in this field usually struggle to…

计算工程、金融与科学 · 计算机科学 2025-07-15 Hang Fan , Yunze Chai , Chenxi Liu , Weican Liu , Zuhan Zhang , Wencai Run , Dunnan Liu

The assumption of log-concavity is a flexible and appealing nonparametric shape constraint in distribution modelling. In this work, we study the log-concave maximum likelihood estimator (MLE) of a probability mass function (pmf). We show…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2023-04-17 Fadoua Balabdaoui , Hanna Jankowski , Kaspar Rufibach , Marios Pavlides

Intensive care unit (ICU) is a crucial hospital department that handles life-threatening cases. Nowadays machine learning (ML) is being leveraged in healthcare ubiquitously. In recent years, management of ICU became one of the most…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2025-05-26 Alexander Gabitashvili , Philipp Kellmeyer

The validity of estimation and smoothing parameter selection for the wide class of generalized additive models for location, scale and shape (GAMLSS) relies on the correct specification of a likelihood function. Deviations from such…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2019-11-14 William H. Aeberhard , Eva Cantoni , Giampiero Marra , Rosalba Radice

Combining data from various sources empowers researchers to explore innovative questions, for example those raised by conducting healthcare monitoring studies. However, the lack of a unique identifier often poses challenges. Record linkage…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2025-09-16 Kayané Robach , Stéphanie L van der Pas , Mark A van de Wiel , Michel H Hof