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In this work, we undertake a comprehensive reformulation, modification, and extension of Smith and Spiegelhalter's (1980) and (1982) Bayes Factor work within the evolving subject of Objective Bayes Factors. Our primary focus centers on…

统计理论 · 数学 2024-02-12 Richard Clare

The is no other model or hypothesis verification tool in Bayesian statistics that is as widely used as the Bayes factor. We focus on generative models that are likelihood-free and, therefore, render the computation of Bayes factors…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2024-12-30 Jungeum Kim , Veronika Rockova

In Bayesian hypothesis testing, evidence for a statistical model is quantified by the Bayes factor, which represents the relative likelihood of observed data under that model compared to another competing model. In general, computing Bayes…

统计计算 · 统计学 2021-12-07 Thomas J. Faulkenberry

Bayesian design of experiments and sample size calculations usually rely on complex Monte Carlo simulations in practice. Obtaining bounds on Bayesian notions of the false-positive rate and power therefore often lack closed-form or…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2025-02-06 Riko Kelter , Samuel Pawel

A staple of Bayesian model comparison and hypothesis testing, Bayes factors are often used to quantify the relative predictive performance of two rival hypotheses. The computation of Bayes factors can be challenging, however, and this has…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2023-09-19 František Bartoš , Eric-Jan Wagenmakers

In this paper, I develop a formula for estimating Bayes factors directly from minimal summary statistics produced in repeated measures analysis of variance designs. The formula, which requires knowing only the $F$-statistic, the number of…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2022-09-20 Thomas J. Faulkenberry

Good large sample performance is typically a minimum requirement of any model selection criterion. This article focuses on the consistency property of the Bayes factor, a commonly used model comparison tool, which has experienced a recent…

统计理论 · 数学 2016-07-04 Siddhartha Chib , Todd A. Kuffner

The reproducibility crisis has led to an increasing number of replication studies being conducted. Sample sizes for replication studies are often calculated using conditional power based on the effect estimate from the original study.…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2022-10-19 Charlotte Micheloud , Leonhard Held

Scientific claims gain credibility by replicability, especially if replication under different circumstances and varying designs yields equivalent results. Aggregating results over multiple studies is, however, not straightforward, and when…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2023-12-27 Thom Benjamin Volker , Irene Klugkist

High-dimensional mean vector testing problem for two or more groups remain a very active research area. In these setting, traditional tests are not applicable because they involve the inversion of rank deficient group covariance matrix. In…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2022-09-12 Roger S Zoh , Fangzheng Xie

The ongoing replication crisis in science has increased interest in the methodology of replication studies. We propose a novel Bayesian analysis approach using power priors: The likelihood of the original study's data is raised to the power…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2023-09-28 Samuel Pawel , Frederik Aust , Leonhard Held , Eric-Jan Wagenmakers

Across the empirical sciences, few statistical procedures rival the popularity of the frequentist t-test. In contrast, the Bayesian versions of the t-test have languished in obscurity. In recent years, however, the theoretical and practical…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2018-12-17 Quentin F. Gronau , Alexander Ly , Eric-Jan Wagenmakers

In many hypothesis testing applications, we have mixed priors, with well-motivated informative priors for some parameters but not for others. The Bayesian methodology uses the Bayes factor and is helpful for the informative priors, as it…

数据分析、统计与概率 · 物理学 2022-10-05 Jakob Robnik , Uroš Seljak

Replicability analysis aims to identify the findings that replicated across independent studies that examine the same features. We provide powerful novel replicability analysis procedures for two studies for FWER and for FDR control on the…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2019-03-01 Marina Bogomolov , Ruth Heller

Parameter estimates for associated genetic variants, report ed in the initial discovery samples, are often grossly inflated compared to the values observed in the follow-up replication samples. This type of bias is a consequence of the…

应用统计 · 统计学 2011-04-15 Lizhen Xu , Radu V. Craiu , Lei Sun

Bayes factor null hypothesis tests provide a viable alternative to frequentist measures of evidence quantification. Bayes factors for realistic data sets in areas like psychology cannot be calculated exactly and require numerical…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2025-05-12 Daniel J. Schad , Martin Modrák , Shravan Vasishth

In the Bayesian literature on model comparison, Bayes factors play the leading role. In the classical statistical literature, model selection criteria are often devised used cross-validation ideas. Amalgamating the ideas of Bayes factor and…

统计理论 · 数学 2020-06-12 Debashis Chatterjee , Sourabh Bhattacharya

Bayes factors, in many cases, have been proven to bridge the classic -value based significance testing and bayesian analysis of posterior odds. This paper discusses this phenomena within the binomial A/B testing setup (applicable for…

其他统计学 · 统计学 2019-03-04 Maciej Skorski

Replication helps ensure that a genotype-phenotype association observed in a genome-wide association (GWA) study represents a credible association and is not a chance finding or an artifact due to uncontrolled biases. We discuss…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2010-10-26 Peter Kraft , Eleftheria Zeggini , John P. A. Ioannidis

Bayesian hypothesis testing is re-examined from the perspective of an a priori assessment of the test statistic distribution under the alternative. By assessing the distribution of an observable test statistic, rather than prior parameter…

统计理论 · 数学 2018-08-28 Hedibert F. Lopes , Nicholas G. Polson