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The identification and modeling of time-varying systems is a fundamental challenge in signal processing and system identification. To address this challenge, we propose a class of time-varying state-space model (SSM) based neural networks…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2026-05-18 Sanja Karilanova , Subhrakanti Dey , Ayça Özçelikkale

We introduce L\'evy-driven causal CARMA random fields on $\mathbb{R}^d$, extending the class of CARMA processes. The definition is based on a system of stochastic partial differential equations which generalize the classical state-space…

概率论 · 数学 2018-05-24 Viet Son Pham

Linear time-invariant systems are very popular models in system theory and applications. A fundamental problem in system identification that remains rather unaddressed in extant literature is to leverage commonalities amongst related linear…

In the copula-based approach to univariate time series modeling, the finite dimensional temporal dependence of a stationary time series is captured by a copula. Recent studies investigate how copula-based time series models can be…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2026-04-03 Sven Pappert , Harry Joe

We present the R-package mgm for the estimation of k-order Mixed Graphical Models (MGMs) and mixed Vector Autoregressive (mVAR) models in high-dimensional data. These are a useful extensions of graphical models for only one variable type,…

应用统计 · 统计学 2020-02-13 Jonas M. B. Haslbeck , Lourens J. Waldorp

Continuous-time autoregressive and moving average (CARMA) models are extensively used to model high-frequency and irregularly sampled data. We study Whittle estimation for the model parameters when the process is observed at renewal times.…

统计理论 · 数学 2026-03-09 Frank Bosserhoff , Giacomo Francisci , Robert Stelzer

In this paper, we focus on solving a sequence of linear systems with an identical (or similar) coefficient matrix. For this type of problems, we investigate the subspace correction and deflation methods, which use an auxiliary matrix…

数值分析 · 数学 2022-03-17 Takeshi Iwashita , Kota Ikehara , Takeshi Fukaya , Takeshi Mifune

In this paper continuous time random walk models approximating fractional space-time diffusion processes are studied. Stochastic processes associated with the considered equations represent time-changed processes, where the time-change…

概率论 · 数学 2014-09-16 Sabir Umarov

Spatio-temporal prediction of levels of an environmental exposure is an important problem in environmental epidemiology. Our work is motivated by multiple studies on the spatio-temporal distribution of mobile source, or traffic related,…

应用统计 · 统计学 2014-11-14 Nikolay Bliznyuk , Christopher J. Paciorek , Joel Schwartz , Brent Coull

Stationary processes have been extensively studied in the literature. Their applications include modeling and forecasting numerous real life phenomena such as natural disasters, sales and market movements. When stationary processes are…

统计理论 · 数学 2018-01-10 Marko Voutilainen , Lauri Viitasaari , Pauliina Ilmonen

The first motivation of this paper is to study stationarity and ergodic properties for a general class of time series models defined conditional on an exogenous covariates process. The dynamic of these models is given by an autoregressive…

统计理论 · 数学 2020-07-16 Paul Doukhan , Michael H. Neumann , Lionel Truquet

This paper proposes a simple yet effective convolutional module for long-term time series forecasting. The proposed block, inspired by the Auto-Regressive Integrated Moving Average (ARIMA) model, consists of two convolutional components:…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2025-09-15 Myung Jin Kim , YeongHyeon Park , Il Dong Yun

In this paper, we consider linear state-space models with compressible innovations and convergent transition matrices in order to model spatiotemporally sparse transient events. We perform parameter and state estimation using a dynamic…

机器学习 · 统计学 2016-10-21 Abbas Kazemipour , Ji Liu , Patrick Kanold , Min Wu , Behtash Babadi

It is well-known that Abstract State Machines (ASMs) can simulate "step-by-step" any type of machines (Turing machines, RAMs, etc.). We aim to overcome two facts: 1) simulation is not identification, 2) the ASMs simulating machines of some…

形式语言与自动机理论 · 计算机科学 2010-03-26 Serge Grigorieff , Pierre Valarcher

Linear processes on functional spaces were born about fifteen years ago. And this original topic went through the same fast development as the other areas of functional data modeling such as PCA or regression. They aim at generalizing to…

统计理论 · 数学 2009-09-30 André Mas , Besnik Pumo

Multi-state models are commonly used for intermittent observations of a state over time, but these are generally based on the Markov assumption, that transition rates are independent of the time spent in current and previous states. In a…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2026-05-07 Christopher Jackson

In this paper, we propose a novel variable selection approach in the framework of sparse high-dimensional GLARMA models. It consists in combining the estimation of the autoregressive moving average (ARMA) coefficients of these models with…

统计理论 · 数学 2019-10-14 Céline Lévy-Leduc , Sarah Ouadah , Laure Sansonnet

The modeling of time-varying graph signals as stationary time-vertex stochastic processes permits the inference of missing signal values by efficiently employing the correlation patterns of the process across different graph nodes and time…

机器学习 · 统计学 2023-10-16 Eylem Tugce Guneyi , Berkay Yaldiz , Abdullah Canbolat , Elif Vural

The aim of this paper is to demonstrate how the COSMA environment can be used for system modeling. This environment is a set of tools based on Concurrent State Machines paradigm and is developed in the Institute of Computer Science at the…

分布式、并行与集群计算 · 计算机科学 2017-02-14 Wiktor B. Daszczuk , Waldemar Grabski , Jerzy Mieścicki , Jacek Wytrębowicz

This report presents an Expectation-Maximization (EM) algorithm for estimation of the maximum-likelihood parameter values of constrained multivariate autoregressive Gaussian state-space (MARSS) models. The MARSS model can be written:…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2013-02-19 Elizabeth E. Holmes