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Recent years have seen substantial advances in our understanding of high-dimensional ridge regression, but existing theories assume that training examples are independent. By leveraging techniques from random matrix theory and free…

机器学习 · 统计学 2025-11-06 Alexander Atanasov , Jacob A. Zavatone-Veth , Cengiz Pehlevan

We propose a new estimator for the high-dimensional linear regression model with observation error in the design where the number of coefficients is potentially larger than the sample size. The main novelty of our procedure is that the…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2019-09-09 Alexandre Belloni , Abhishek Kaul , Mathieu Rosenbaum

In machine learning one often assumes the data are independent when evaluating model performance. However, this rarely holds in practise. Geographic information data sets are an example where the data points have stronger dependencies among…

应用统计 · 统计学 2020-06-01 Jonne Pohjankukka , Tapio Pahikkala , Paavo Nevalainen , Jukka Heikkonen

We propose new methods for multivariate linear regression when the regression coefficient matrix is sparse and the error covariance matrix is dense. We assume that the error covariance matrix has equicorrelation across the response…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2025-08-13 Daeyoung Ham , Bradley S. Price , Adam J. Rothman

Despite impressive state-of-the-art performance on a wide variety of machine learning tasks, deep learning methods can produce over-confident predictions, particularly with limited training data. Therefore, quantifying uncertainty is…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2022-04-27 Haleh Akrami , Anand Joshi , Sergul Aydore , Richard Leahy

We consider the estimation of the transition matrix in the high-dimensional time-varying vector autoregression (TV-VAR) models. Our model builds on a general class of locally stationary VAR processes that evolve smoothly in time. We propose…

统计理论 · 数学 2017-10-03 Xin Ding , Ziyi Qiu , Xiaohui Chen

As the main workhorse for model selection, Cross Validation (CV) has achieved an empirical success due to its simplicity and intuitiveness. However, despite its ubiquitous role, CV often falls into the following notorious dilemmas. On the…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2020-12-29 Weikai Li , Chuanxing Geng , Songcan Chen

Surrogate-modelling techniques including Polynomial Chaos Expansion (PCE) is commonly used for statistical estimation (aka. Uncertainty Quantification) of quantities of interests obtained from expensive computational models. PCE is a…

计算工程、金融与科学 · 计算机科学 2019-09-05 Alexander Tarakanov , Ahmed H. Elsheikh

The conditional value-at-risk (CVaR) is a useful risk measure in fields such as machine learning, finance, insurance, energy, etc. When measuring very extreme risk, the commonly used CVaR estimation method of sample averaging does not work…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2021-03-10 Dylan Troop , Frédéric Godin , Jia Yuan Yu

The Value-at-Risk (VaR) and the Expected Shortfall (ES) are the two most popular risk measures in banking and insurance regulation. To bridge between the two regulatory risk measures, the Probability Equivalent Level of VaR-ES (PELVE) was…

风险管理 · 定量金融 2023-06-30 Hirbod Assa , Liyuan Lin , Ruodu Wang

This paper presents a theory of error in cross-validation testing of algorithms for predicting real-valued attributes. The theory justifies the claim that predicting real-valued attributes requires balancing the conflicting demands of…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2007-05-23 Peter D. Turney

In sparse coding, we attempt to extract features of input vectors, assuming that the data is inherently structured as a sparse superposition of basic building blocks. Similarly, neural networks perform a given task by learning features of…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2022-02-16 Deborah Pereg , Israel Cohen , Anthony A. Vassiliou

Many machine learning algorithms require precise estimates of covariance matrices. The sample covariance matrix performs poorly in high-dimensional settings, which has stimulated the development of alternative methods, the majority based on…

机器学习 · 统计学 2016-11-04 Daniel Bartz

Inverse problems involving partial differential equations (PDEs) are widely used in science and engineering. Although such problems are generally ill-posed, different regularisation approaches have been developed to ameliorate this problem.…

应用统计 · 统计学 2022-03-23 Jan Povala , Ieva Kazlauskaite , Eky Febrianto , Fehmi Cirak , Mark Girolami

In Compressed Sensing, a real-valued sparse vector has to be estimated from an underdetermined system of linear equations. In many applications, however, the elements of the sparse vector are drawn from a finite set. For the estimation of…

信息论 · 计算机科学 2016-08-24 Susanne Sparrer , Robert F. H. Fischer

Modern data analysis and statistical learning are marked by complex data structures and black-box algorithms. Data complexity stems from technologies such as imaging, remote sensing, wearable devices, and genomic sequencing. At the same…

统计理论 · 数学 2025-10-30 Jing Lei

Gravitational lensing of gravitational waves (GWs) provides a unique opportunity to study cosmology and astrophysics at multiple scales. Detecting microlensing signatures, in particular, requires efficient parameter estimation methods due…

广义相对论与量子宇宙学 · 物理学 2025-05-02 Roberto Bada-Nerin , Oleg Bulashenko , Osvaldo Gramaxo Freitas , José A. Font

Using a Bayesian approach, we consider the problem of recovering sparse signals under additive sparse and dense noise. Typically, sparse noise models outliers, impulse bursts or data loss. To handle sparse noise, existing methods…

机器学习 · 统计学 2015-01-13 Martin Sundin , Saikat Chatterjee , Magnus Jansson

In machine learning, statistics, econometrics and statistical physics, cross-validation (CV) is used asa standard approach in quantifying the generalisation performance of a statistical model. A directapplication of CV in time-series leads…

机器学习 · 统计学 2021-12-14 Mehmet Süzen , Alper Yegenoglu

In many applications, we have access to the complete dataset but are only interested in the prediction of a particular region of predictor variables. A standard approach is to find the globally best modeling method from a set of candidate…

机器学习 · 统计学 2022-02-21 Jiawei Zhang , Jie Ding , Yuhong Yang