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Survival analysis is a widely used statistical framework for modeling time-to-event data under censoring. Classical methods, such as the Cox proportional hazards (Cox PH) model, offer a semiparametric approach to estimating the effects of…

机器学习 · 统计学 2026-04-23 Yang Xu , Wenbin Lu , Rui Song

Detecting anomalies in a temporal sequence of graphs can be applied is areas such as the detection of accidents in transport networks and cyber attacks in computer networks. Existing methods for detecting abnormal graphs can suffer from…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2025-02-03 Sevvandi Kandanaarachchi , Conrad Sanderson , Rob J. Hyndman

Hazard models are the most commonly used tool to analyse time-to-event data. If more than one time scale is relevant for the event under study, models are required that can incorporate the dependence of a hazard along two (or more) time…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2025-01-14 Angela Carollo , Paul H. C. Eilers , Hein Putter , Jutta Gampe

This paper considers a variant of the online paging problem, where the online algorithm has access to multiple predictors, each producing a sequence of predictions for the page arrival times. The predictors may have occasional prediction…

数据结构与算法 · 计算机科学 2020-11-20 Yuval Emek , Shay Kutten , Yangguang Shi

We provide the first formal definition of reward hacking, a phenomenon where optimizing an imperfect proxy reward function leads to poor performance according to the true reward function. We say that a proxy is unhackable if increasing the…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2025-03-07 Joar Skalse , Nikolaus H. R. Howe , Dmitrii Krasheninnikov , David Krueger

In this paper we propose a recursive online algorithm for estimating the parameters of a time-varying ARCH process. The estimation is done by updating the estimator at time point $t-1$ with observations about the time point $t$ to yield an…

统计理论 · 数学 2009-09-29 Rainer Dahlhaus , Suhasini Subba Rao

Recently, we can observe a significant increase of the phishing attacks in the Internet. In a typical phishing attack, the attacker sets up a malicious website that looks similar to the legitimate website in order to obtain the end-users'…

密码学与安全 · 计算机科学 2025-08-14 Zijiang Yang

We study online algorithms with predictions using distributional advice, a type of prediction that arises when leveraging expert knowledge or historical data. To demonstrate the usefulness and versatility of this framework, we focus on the…

数据结构与算法 · 计算机科学 2025-09-09 Clément L. Canonne , Kenny Chen , Julián Mestre

We propose an indirect inference strategy for estimating heterogeneous-agent business cycle models with micro data. At its heart is a first-order vector autoregression that is grounded in linear filtering theory as the cross-section grows…

综合经济学 · 经济学 2024-02-20 Man Chon Iao , Yatheesan J. Selvakumar

With rise in security breaches over the past few years, there has been an increasing need to mine insights from social media platforms to raise alerts of possible attacks in an attempt to defend conflict during competition. We use…

社会与信息网络 · 计算机科学 2018-11-16 Soumajyoti Sarkar , Mohammad Almukaynizi , Jana Shakarian , Paulo Shakarian

In intrusion detection systems, classifiers still suffer from several drawbacks such as data dimensionality and dominance, different network feature types, and data impact on the classification. In this paper two significant enhancements…

密码学与安全 · 计算机科学 2012-12-12 Maher Salem , Ulrich Buehler

Motivated by the need to analyze continuously updated data sets in the context of time-to-event modeling, we propose a novel nonparametric approach to estimate the conditional hazard function given a set of continuous and discrete…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2025-07-03 Daphné Aurouet , Valentin Patilea

The Proportional Hazards (PH) model is one of the most widely used models in survival analysis, typically assuming a log-linear relationship between covariates and the hazard function. However, in the context of spatial survival data, where…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2026-02-17 Lorenzo Tedesco , Francesco Finazzi

To understand how the interconnected and interdependent world of the twenty-first century operates and make model-based predictions, joint probability models for networks and interdependent outcomes are needed. We propose a comprehensive…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2025-07-03 Cornelius Fritz , Michael Schweinberger , Subhankar Bhadra , David R. Hunter

In many real-world learning scenarios, features are only acquirable at a cost constrained under a budget. In this paper, we propose a novel approach for cost-sensitive feature acquisition at the prediction-time. The suggested method…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2019-02-19 Mohammad Kachuee , Orpaz Goldstein , Kimmo Karkkainen , Sajad Darabi , Majid Sarrafzadeh

In many real-world machine learning problems, feature values are not readily available. To make predictions, some of the missing features have to be acquired, which can incur a cost in money, computational time, or human time, depending on…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2019-12-20 Kimmo Kärkkäinen , Mohammad Kachuee , Orpaz Goldstein , Majid Sarrafzadeh

Prognostic models in survival analysis are aimed at understanding the relationship between patients' covariates and the distribution of survival time. Traditionally, semi-parametric models, such as the Cox model, have been assumed. These…

机器学习 · 统计学 2020-11-06 Denise Rava , Jelena Bradic

In many real-world scenarios, it is nearly impossible to collect explicit social network data. In such cases, whole networks must be inferred from underlying observations. Here, we formulate the problem of inferring latent social networks…

社会与信息网络 · 计算机科学 2010-10-28 Seth A. Myers , Jure Leskovec

This paper investigates the vulnerability of the nearest neighbors search, which is a pivotal tool in data analysis and machine learning. The vulnerability is gauged as the relative amount of perturbation that an attacker needs to add onto…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2022-05-23 Teddy Furon

In real-world machine learning applications, there is a cost associated with sampling of different features. Budgeted learning can be used to select which feature-values to acquire from each instance in a dataset, such that the best model…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2019-03-14 Eran Fainman , Bracha Shapira , Lior Rokach , Yisroel Mirsky