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This paper examines the asymptotic inference for AR(1) models with a possible structural break in the AR parameter $\beta $ near the unity at an unknown time $k_{0}$. Consider the model $y_{t}=\beta_{1}y_{t-1}I\{t\leq k_{0}\}+\beta…

统计理论 · 数学 2013-06-07 Pang Tianxiao , Zhang Danna , Chong Terence Tai-Leung

Statistical inference for stochastic processes with time-varying spectral characteristics has received considerable attention in recent decades. We develop a nonparametric test for stationarity against the alternative of a smoothly…

统计理论 · 数学 2010-01-14 Efstathios Paparoditis

Generalized method of moments estimators based on higher-order moment conditions derived from independent shocks can be used to identify and estimate the simultaneous interaction in structural vector autoregressions. This study highlights…

计量经济学 · 经济学 2023-10-13 Sascha A. Keweloh

We prove the strong consistency and the asymptotic normality of the maximum likelihood estimator of the parameters of a general conditionally heteroscedastic model with $\alpha$-stable innovations. Then, we relax the assumptions and only…

统计理论 · 数学 2013-01-01 Guillaume Lepage

With the rise of Deep Neural Networks, machine learning systems are nowadays ubiquitous in a number of real-world applications, which bears the need for highly reliable models. This requires a thorough look not only at the accuracy of such…

计算机视觉与模式识别 · 计算机科学 2024-03-19 Pedro Conde , Tiago Barros , Rui L. Lopes , Cristiano Premebida , Urbano J. Nunes

We establish the validity of bootstrap methods for empirical likelihood (EL) inference under the density ratio model (DRM). In particular, we prove that the bootstrap maximum EL estimators share the same limiting distribution as their…

统计理论 · 数学 2025-10-24 Weiwei Zhuang , Weiqi Yang , Jiahua Chen

The presence of outlying observations may adversely affect statistical testing procedures that result in unstable test statistics and unreliable inferences depending on the distortion in parameter estimates. In spite of the fact that the…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2021-04-19 Beste Hamiye Beyaztas , Soutir Bandyopadhyay , Abhijit Mandal

Test-Time Adaptation (TTA) has recently emerged as a promising approach for tackling the robustness challenge under distribution shifts. However, the lack of consistent settings and systematic studies in prior literature hinders thorough…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2023-06-07 Hao Zhao , Yuejiang Liu , Alexandre Alahi , Tao Lin

When randomized ensemble methods such as bagging and random forests are implemented, a basic question arises: Is the ensemble large enough? In particular, the practitioner desires a rigorous guarantee that a given ensemble will perform…

机器学习 · 统计学 2019-08-06 Miles E. Lopes , Suofei Wu , Thomas C. M. Lee

Testing earthquake forecasts is essential to obtain scientific information on forecasting models and sufficient credibility for societal usage. We aim at enhancing the testing phase proposed by the Collaboratory for the Study of Earthquake…

应用统计 · 统计学 2026-02-03 Jonas R. Brehmer , Kristof Kraus , Tilmann Gneiting , Marcus Herrmann , Warner Marzocchi

We consider two hypothesis testing problems for low-rank and high-dimensional tensor signals, namely the tensor signal alignment and tensor signal matching problems. These problems are challenging due to the high dimension of tensors and…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2026-02-10 Ruihan Liu , Zhenggang Wang , Jianfeng Yao

In this paper, we present a technically simple method to establish upper bounds on the expected injective norm of real and complex random tensors. Our approach is somewhat analogous to the moment method in random matrix theory, and is based…

概率论 · 数学 2026-03-03 Stephane Dartois , Benjamin McKenna

P-hacking poses challenges to traditional hypothesis testing. In this paper, we propose a robust method for the one-sample significance test that can protect against p-hacking from sample manipulation. Precisely, assuming a sequential…

统计理论 · 数学 2025-02-18 Xifeng Li , Shuzhen Yang , Jianfeng Yao

We investigate the problem of jointly testing multiple hypotheses and estimating a random parameter of the underlying distribution in a sequential setup. The aim is to jointly infer the true hypothesis and the true parameter while using on…

信号处理 · 电气工程与系统科学 2024-02-02 Dominik Reinhard , Michael Fauß , Abdelhak M. Zoubir

We propose testing procedures for the hypothesis that a given set of discrete observations may be formulated as a particular time series of counts with a specific conditional law. The new test statistics incorporate the empirical…

统计理论 · 数学 2014-10-24 Šárka Hudecová , Marie Hušková , Simos G. Meintanis

We introduce a unified approach to testing a variety of rather general null hypotheses that can be formulated in terms of covariances matrices. These include as special cases, for example, testing for equal variances, equal traces, or for…

统计理论 · 数学 2020-12-23 Paavo Sattler , Arne C. Bathke , Markus Pauly

Let $X_{1},\ldots,X_{n}$ be i.i.d. sample in $\mathbb{R}^{p}$ with zero mean and the covariance matrix $\mathbf{\Sigma}$. The problem of recovering the projector onto an eigenspace of $\mathbf{\Sigma}$ from these observations naturally…

统计理论 · 数学 2017-03-03 Alexey Naumov , Vladimir Spokoiny , Vladimir Ulyanov

Test-time adaptation (TTA) aims to address distributional shifts between training and testing data using only unlabeled test data streams for continual model adaptation. However, most TTA methods assume benign test streams, while test…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2023-10-17 Taesik Gong , Yewon Kim , Taeckyung Lee , Sorn Chottananurak , Sung-Ju Lee

In this paper, we investigate the adequacy testing problem of high-dimensional factor-augmented regression model. Existing test procedures perform not well under dense alternatives. To address this critical issue, we introduce a novel…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2025-04-04 Yanmei Shi , Leheng Cai , Xu Guo , Shurong Zheng

The quasi-maximum likelihood estimation is a commonly-used method for estimating GARCH parameters. However, such estimators are sensitive to outliers and their asymptotic normality is proved under the finite fourth moment assumption on the…

统计理论 · 数学 2020-09-03 Hang Liu , Kanchan Mukherjee