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In a broad class of reinforcement learning applications, stochastic rewards have heavy-tailed distributions, which lead to infinite second-order moments for stochastic (semi)gradients in policy evaluation and direct policy optimization. In…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2023-06-21 Semih Cayci , Atilla Eryilmaz

Let $P$ be an irreducible and reversible transition matrix on a finite state space $V$ with invariant distribution $\pi$. We let $k$ chains start by choosing independent locations distributed according to $\pi$ and then they evolve…

概率论 · 数学 2025-10-30 Jonathan Hermon , Perla Sousi

For an ergodic Markov chain $\{X(t)\}$ on $\Bbb N$, with a stationary distribution $\pi$, let $T_n>0$ denote a hitting time for $[n]^c$, and let $X_n=X(T_n)$. Around 2005 Guy Louchard popularized a conjecture that, for $n\to \infty$, $T_n$…

组合数学 · 数学 2010-05-13 Boris Pittel

Consider a system of coalescing random walks where each individual performs random walk over a finite graph G, or (more generally) evolves according to some reversible Markov chain generator Q. Let C be the first time at which all walkers…

概率论 · 数学 2010-12-17 Roberto Imbuzeiro Oliveira

We introduce a Markov chain for sampling from the uniform distribution on a Riemannian manifold $\mathcal{M}$, which we call the $\textit{geodesic walk}$. We prove that the mixing time of this walk on any manifold with positive sectional…

概率论 · 数学 2017-11-28 Oren Mangoubi , Aaron Smith

A Markov-switching observation-driven model is a stochastic process $((S_t,Y_t))_{t \in \mathbb{Z}}$ where $(S_t)_{t \in \mathbb{Z}}$ is an unobserved Markov chain on a finite set and $(Y_t)_{t \in \mathbb{Z}}$ is an observed stochastic…

计量经济学 · 经济学 2025-12-30 Frederik Krabbe

This paper considers the speed of convergence (mixing) of a finite Markov kernel $P$ with respect to the Kullback-Leibler divergence (entropy). Given a Markov kernel one defines either a discrete-time Markov chain (with the $n$-step…

概率论 · 数学 2024-09-13 Pietro Caputo , Zongchen Chen , Yuzhou Gu , Yury Polyanskiy

The $L_2$-norm, or collision norm, is a core entity in the analysis of distributions and probabilistic algorithms. Batu and Canonne (FOCS 2017) presented an extensive analysis of algorithmic aspects of the $L_2$-norm and its connection to…

数据结构与算法 · 计算机科学 2026-03-26 Tomer Adar

A criterion for subnormality of unbounded composition operators in L2-spaces, written in terms of measurable families of probability measures satisfying the so-called consistency condition, is established. It becomes a new characterization…

泛函分析 · 数学 2013-03-27 Piotr Budzynski , Zenon Jan Jablonski , Il Bong Jung , Jan Stochel

We study the following model of hidden Markov chain: $Y_i=X_i+\epsilon_i$, $ i=1,...,n+1$ with $(X_i)$ a real-valued positive recurrent and stationary Markov chain and $(\epsilon_i)_{1\leq i\leq n+1}$ a noise independent of the sequence…

统计理论 · 数学 2008-03-27 Claire Lacour

We present a new algorithm for the statistical model checking of Markov chains with respect to unbounded temporal properties, such as reachability and full linear temporal logic. The main idea is that we monitor each simulation run on the…

计算机科学中的逻辑 · 计算机科学 2016-03-04 Przemysław Daca , Thomas A. Henzinger , Jan Křetínský , Tatjana Petrov

An irreversible Markov-chain Monte Carlo (MCMC) algorithm with skew detailed balance conditions originally proposed by Turitsyn et al. is extended to general discrete systems on the basis of the Metropolis-Hastings scheme. To evaluate the…

统计力学 · 物理学 2016-04-21 Yuji Sakai , Koji Hukushima

The mixing time of a Markov chain determines how fast the iterates of the Markov chain converge to the stationary distribution; however, it does not control the dependencies between samples along the Markov chain. In this paper, we study…

统计理论 · 数学 2025-06-30 Jiaming Liang , Siddharth Mitra , Andre Wibisono

Persistent homology is a popular method for computing topological features of (metric) data. Standard approaches based on the \v{C}ech or Rips filtration are stable under small perturbations of the data, but highly sensitive to outliers.…

代数拓扑 · 数学 2026-02-27 Pepijn Roos Hoefgeest , Lucas Slot

Perturbation theory for Markov chains addresses the question how small differences in the transitions of Markov chains are reflected in differences between their distributions. We prove powerful and flexible bounds on the distance of the…

统计计算 · 统计学 2017-02-27 Daniel Rudolf , Nikolaus Schweizer

This paper studies the exponential stability of random matrix products driven by a general (possibly unbounded) state space Markov chain. It is a cornerstone in the analysis of stochastic algorithms in machine learning (e.g. for parameter…

机器学习 · 统计学 2021-02-02 Alain Durmus , Eric Moulines , Alexey Naumov , Sergey Samsonov , Hoi-To Wai

We study steady-state current fluctuations in hardcore lattice gases on a ring of $L$ sites, where $N$ particles perform symmetric, {\it extended-ranged} hopping. The hop length is a random variable depending on a length scale $l_0$…

统计力学 · 物理学 2025-12-23 Tanmoy Chakraborty , Punyabrata Pradhan

Describing the complex dependence structure of extreme phenomena is particularly challenging. To tackle this issue we develop a novel statistical algorithm that describes extremal dependence taking advantage of the inherent hierarchical…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2018-07-24 Sabrina Vettori , Raphaël Huser , Johan Segers , Marc G. Genton

Hybrid systems whose mode dynamics are governed by non-linear ordinary differential equations (ODEs) are often a natural model for biological processes. However such models are difficult to analyze. To address this, we develop a…

系统与控制 · 计算机科学 2015-06-23 Benjamin M. Gyori , Bing Liu , Soumya Paul , R. Ramanathan , P. S. Thiagarajan

When two graphs have a correlated Bernoulli distribution, we prove that the alignment strength of their natural bijection strongly converges to a novel measure of graph correlation $\rho_T$ that neatly combines intergraph with intragraph…

组合数学 · 数学 2020-01-22 Donniell E. Fishkind , Lingyao Meng , Ao Sun , Carey E. Priebe , Vince Lyzinski