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We propose an online algorithm for tracking a multidimensional time-varying parameter of a time series, which is also allowed to be a predictable process with respect to the underlying time series. The algorithm is driven by a gain…

统计理论 · 数学 2013-11-15 Eduard Belitser , Paulo Serra

Motivated by reduction of computational complexity, this work develops sign-error adaptive filtering algorithms for estimating time-varying system parameters. Different from the previous work on sign-error algorithms, the parameters are…

最优化与控制 · 数学 2016-11-17 Araz Hashemi , G. Yin , Le Yi Wang

Stochastic approximation is a framework unifying many random iterative algorithms occurring in a diverse range of applications. The stability of the process is often difficult to verify in practical applications and the process may even be…

概率论 · 数学 2014-03-10 Christophe Andrieu , Matti Vihola

In this paper we study the asymptotic behavior of a stochastic approximation scheme on two timescales with set-valued drift functions and in the presence of non-additive iterate-dependent Markov noise. It is shown that the recursion on each…

系统与控制 · 计算机科学 2016-11-21 Vinayaka Yaji , Shalabh Bhatnagar

This paper is concerned with the development of rigorous approximations to various expectations associated with Markov chains and processes having non-stationary transition probabilities. Such non-stationary models arise naturally in…

概率论 · 数学 2018-05-07 Zeyu Zheng , Harsha Honnappa , Peter W. Glynn

In the target tracking and its engineering applications, recursive state estimation of the target is of fundamental importance. This paper presents a recursive performance bound for dynamic estimation and filtering problem, in the framework…

应用统计 · 统计学 2015-06-04 Huisi Tong , Hao Zhang , Huadong Meng , Xiqin Wang

In this paper we propose a recursive online algorithm for estimating the parameters of a time-varying ARCH process. The estimation is done by updating the estimator at time point $t-1$ with observations about the time point $t$ to yield an…

统计理论 · 数学 2009-09-29 Rainer Dahlhaus , Suhasini Subba Rao

Can stochastic gradient methods track a moving target? We study the problem of tracking multidimensional time-varying parameters under noisy observations and possible model misspecification. Gradient-based filters update the time-varying…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2026-05-05 Simon Donker van Heel , Rutger-Jan Lange , Bram van Os , Dick van Dijk

In this article we consider an optimization problem where the objective function is evaluated at the fixed-point of a contraction mapping parameterized by a control variable, and optimization takes place over this control variable. Since…

最优化与控制 · 数学 2020-05-04 Thomas Flynn

We consider the problem of estimating the asymptotic variance of a function defined on a Markov chain, an important step for statistical inference of the stationary mean. We design a novel recursive estimator that requires $O(1)$…

统计理论 · 数学 2024-09-24 Shubhada Agrawal , Prashanth L. A. , Siva Theja Maguluri

In this paper we estimate the expected error of a stochastic approximation algorithm where the maximum of a function is found using finite differences of a stochastic representation of that function. An error estimate of $O(n^{-1/5})$ for…

最优化与控制 · 数学 2021-09-02 Miklos Rasonyi , Kinga Tikosi

We propose a moving horizon estimation scheme for estimating the states and time-varying parameters of nonlinear systems. We consider the case where observability of the parameters depends on the excitation of the system and may be absent…

系统与控制 · 电气工程与系统科学 2025-08-21 Julian D. Schiller , Matthias A. Müller

In this paper, we consider the problem of estimating parameters of a linear regression model. Using a hybrid systems framework, a hybrid algorithm is proposed allowing the estimate to converge to the exact value of the unknown parameters in…

系统与控制 · 电气工程与系统科学 2026-03-04 Adnane Saoud , Ryan S. Johnson , Ricardo G. Sanfelice

Stochastic processes find applications in modelling systems in a variety of disciplines. A large number of stochastic models considered are Markovian in nature. It is often observed that higher order Markov processes can model the data…

概率论 · 数学 2021-04-13 Suryadeepto Nag

Imprecise continuous-time Markov chains are a robust type of continuous-time Markov chains that allow for partially specified time-dependent parameters. Computing inferences for them requires the solution of a non-linear differential…

概率论 · 数学 2018-10-11 Alexander Erreygers , Jasper De Bock

We consider the problem of fitting variational posterior approximations using stochastic optimization methods. The performance of these approximations depends on (1) how well the variational family matches the true posterior…

This paper considers a simulation-based estimator for a general class of Markovian processes and explores some strong consistency properties of the estimator. The estimation problem is defined over a continuum of invariant distributions…

概率论 · 数学 2010-01-14 Manuel S. Santos

This paper considers stochastic-constrained stochastic optimization where the stochastic constraint is to satisfy that the expectation of a random function is below a certain threshold. In particular, we study the setting where data samples…

最优化与控制 · 数学 2026-01-27 Yeongjong Kim , Dabeen Lee

We give a development of the ODE method for the analysis of recursive algorithms described by a stochastic recursion. With variability modelled via an underlying Markov process, and under general assumptions, the following results are…

概率论 · 数学 2007-05-23 J. Huang , I. Kontoyiannis , S. P. Meyn

Estimating the mixing density of a mixture distribution remains an interesting problem in statistics literature. Using a stochastic approximation method, Newton and Zhang (1999) introduced a fast recursive algorithm for estimating the…

统计理论 · 数学 2022-03-29 Nilabja Guha , Anindya Roy
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