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Network theory provides various tools for investigating the structural or functional topology of many complex systems found in nature, technology and society. Nevertheless, it has recently been realised that a considerable number of systems…

数据分析、统计与概率 · 物理学 2012-03-23 Jonathan F. Donges , Hanna C. H. Schultz , Norbert Marwan , Yong Zou , Juergen Kurths

In recent years, extreme weather events have surged, highlighting the urgent need for action on the climate emergency. The year 2023 saw record-breaking global temperatures, unprecedented heatwaves in Europe, devastating floods in Asia, and…

大气与海洋物理 · 物理学 2024-09-11 Chae-Hyun Yoon , Jubin Park , Myung-Ki Cheoun

The Atacama desert stands as the most arid, non-polar, region on Earth and has accommodated a considerable portion of the world's ground-based astronomical observatories for an extended period. The comprehension of factors important for…

天体物理仪器与方法 · 物理学 2023-09-27 Julia Victoria Seidel , Angel Otarola , Valentina Théron

Deep learning-based models have recently outperformed state-of-the-art seasonal forecasting models, such as for predicting El Ni\~no-Southern Oscillation (ENSO). However, current deep learning models are based on convolutional neural…

Monthly streamflow records from a set of gauging stations, selected to form a reference hydrologic network, are analyzed together with precipitation and temperature data to establish whether the streamflows in the Guadalquivir River Basin…

The El Ni\~no Southern Oscillation (ENSO) is a semi-periodic fluctuation in sea surface temperature (SST) over the tropical central and eastern Pacific Ocean that influences interannual variability in regional hydrology across the world…

大气与海洋物理 · 物理学 2023-01-24 Yumin Liu , Kate Duffy , Jennifer G. Dy , Auroop R. Ganguly

With rising global temperatures Earth's tipping elements are becoming increasingly more vulnerable to crossing their critical thresholds. The reaching of such tipping points does not only impact other tipping elements through their…

适应与自组织系统 · 物理学 2025-05-08 Tom Bdolach , Jürgen Kurths , Serhiy Yanchuk

Rainy years and dry years in SE Australia are known to be correlated with sea surface temperatures in the specific areas of the Indian Ocean. While over the past 100 years the correlation had been both positive and negative, it…

大气与海洋物理 · 物理学 2022-08-01 Stjepan Marcelja

Information theoretic (IT) approaches to quantifying causal influences have experienced some popularity in the literature, in both theoretical and applied (e.g. neuroscience and climate science) domains. While these causal measures are…

信息论 · 计算机科学 2020-08-26 Gabriel Schamberg , William Chapman , Shang-Ping Xie , Todd P. Coleman

The development of robust Early Warning Signals (EWS) is necessary to quantify the risk of crossing tipping points in the present-day climate change. Classically, EWS are statistical measures based on time series of climate state variables,…

大气与海洋物理 · 物理学 2025-03-25 Laure Moinat , Jérôme Kasparian , Maura Brunetti

This study estimates the relationships between street network characteristics and transport-sector CO2 emissions across every urban area in the world and investigates whether they are the same across development levels and urban design…

物理与社会 · 物理学 2024-01-04 Geoff Boeing , Clemens Pilgram , Yougeng Lu

Complex network theory provides an elegant and powerful framework to statistically investigate different types of systems such as society, brain or the structure of local and long-range dynamical interrelationships in the climate system.…

Extreme precipitation events with large spatial extents may have more severe impacts than localized events as they can lead to widespread flooding. It is debated how climate change may affect the spatial extent of precipitation extremes,…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2022-12-07 Peng Zhong , Manuela Brunner , Thomas Opitz , Raphaël Huser

With improvements in data resolution and quality, researchers can now represent complex systems as signed, weighted, and directed networks. In this article, we introduce a framework for measuring net and indirect effects without simplifying…

物理与社会 · 物理学 2025-10-10 Carlos Gómez-Ambrosi , Violeta Calleja-Solanas

Climate system teleconnections are crucial for improving climate predictability, but difficult to quantify. Standard approaches to identify teleconnections are often based on correlations between time series. Here we present a novel method…

We propose a method to reconstruct and analyze a complex network from data generated by a spatio-temporal dynamical system, relying on the nonlinear mutual information of time series analysis and betweenness centrality of complex network…

大气与海洋物理 · 物理学 2010-02-11 Jonathan F. Donges , Yong Zou , Norbert Marwan , Juergen Kurths

With the recent increase in deforestation, forest fires, and regional temperatures, the concerns around the rapid and complete collapse of the Amazon rainforest ecosystem have heightened. The thresholds of deforestation and the temperature…

大气与海洋物理 · 物理学 2025-07-04 Adam Giammarese , Jacob Brown , Nishant Malik

The spatial coherence of a measured variable (e.g. temperature or pressure) is often studied to determine the regions where this variable varies the most or to find teleconnections, i.e. correlations between specific regions. While usual…

数据分析、统计与概率 · 物理学 2020-01-29 Alberto Bernacchia , Philippe Naveau , Mathieu Vrac , Pascal Yiou

This project aims to shed light on how man-made carbon emissions are affecting global wind patterns by looking for temporal and geographical correlations between carbon emissions, surface temperatures anomalies, and wind speed anomalies at…

其他计算机科学 · 计算机科学 2018-12-09 Anshul Goyal , Kartikeya Bhardwaj , Radu Marculescu

This article analyzes SST remote forcing on the interannual variability of Sahel summer (June-September) moderate (below 75th percentile) and heavy (above 75th percentile) daily precipitation events during the period 1981-2016. Evidence is…