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Markov basis for statistical model of contingency tables gives a useful tool for performing the conditional test of the model via Markov chain Monte Carlo method. In this paper we derive explicit forms of Markov bases for change point…

统计理论 · 数学 2013-01-14 Mitsunori Ogawa , Akimichi Takemura

We consider Markov chain Monte Carlo methods for calculating conditional p values of statistical models for count data arising in Box-Behnken designs. The statistical model we consider is a discrete version of the first-order model in the…

统计理论 · 数学 2018-08-22 Satoshi Aoki , Takayuki Hibi , Hidefumi Ohsugi

It is known that a Markov basis of the binary graph model of a graph $G$ corresponds to a set of binomial generators of cut ideals $I_{\widehat{G}}$ of the suspension $\widehat{G}$ of $G$. In this paper, we give another application of cut…

统计理论 · 数学 2014-05-15 Satoshi Aoki , Takayuki Hibi , Hidefumi Ohsugi

In this paper we study the computation of Markov bases for contingency tables whose cell entries have an upper bound. In general a Markov basis for unbounded contingency table under a certain model differs from a Markov basis for bounded…

组合数学 · 数学 2010-01-19 Fabio Rapallo , Ruriko Yoshida

Switching dynamical systems are an expressive model class for the analysis of time-series data. As in many fields within the natural and engineering sciences, the systems under study typically evolve continuously in time, it is natural to…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2022-05-19 Lukas Köhs , Bastian Alt , Heinz Koeppl

We present a computational approach for generating Markov bases for multi-way contingency tables whose cells counts might be constrained by fixed marginals and by lower and upper bounds. Our framework includes tables with structural zeros…

统计计算 · 统计学 2014-08-21 Adrian Dobra

It has been well-known that for two-way contingency tables with fixed row sums and column sums the set of square-free moves of degree two forms a Markov basis. However when we impose an additional constraint that the sum of a subtable is…

组合数学 · 数学 2009-04-27 Hisayuki Hara , Akimichi Takemura , Ruriko Yoshida

Full Bayesian computational inference for model determination in undirected graphical models is currently restricted to decomposable graphs, except for problems of very small scale. In this paper we develop new, more efficient methodology…

统计计算 · 统计学 2012-06-05 Peter J. Green , Alun Thomas

In this paper, we introduce the fundamental notion of a Markov basis, which is one of the first connections between commutative algebra and statistics. The notion of a Markov basis is first introduced by Diaconis and Sturmfels (1998) for…

统计理论 · 数学 2016-07-27 Satoshi Aoki

We present a method to sample Markov-chain trajectories constrained to both the initial and final conditions, which we term Markov bridges. The trajectories are conditioned to end in a specific state at a given time. We derive the master…

统计力学 · 物理学 2025-01-07 Guillaume Le Treut , Sarah Ancheta , Greg Huber , Henri Orland , David Yllanes

We consider the problem of Bayesian inference for changepoints where the number and position of the changepoints are both unknown. In particular, we consider product partition models where it is possible to integrate out model parameters…

统计计算 · 统计学 2017-03-14 Alan Benson , Nial Friel

Bayesian analysis often concerns an evaluation of models with different dimensionality as is necessary in, for example, model selection or mixture models. To facilitate this evaluation, transdimensional Markov chain Monte Carlo (MCMC)…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2018-08-13 Daniel W. Heck , Antony M. Overstall , Quentin F. Gronau , Eric-Jan Wagenmakers

We consider Markov basis arising from fractional factorial designs with three-level factors. Once we have a Markov basis, $p$ values for various conditional tests are estimated by the Markov chain Monte Carlo procedure. For designed…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2009-11-22 Satoshi Aoki , Akimichi Takemura

We introduce efficient Markov chain Monte Carlo methods for inference and model determination in multivariate and matrix-variate Gaussian graphical models. Our framework is based on the G-Wishart prior for the precision matrix associated…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2010-05-25 Adrian Dobra , Alex Lenkoski , Abel Rodriguez

A Markov network characterizes the conditional independence structure, or Markov property, among a set of random variables. Existing work focuses on specific families of distributions (e.g., exponential families) and/or certain structures…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2023-05-22 Yujia Zheng , Ignavier Ng , Yewen Fan , Kun Zhang

The parameters of a discrete stationary Markov model are transition probabilities between states. Traditionally, data consist in sequences of observed states for a given number of individuals over the whole observation period. In such a…

统计计算 · 统计学 2012-04-30 Alberto Pasanisi , Shuai Fu , Nicolas Bousquet

We consider conditional exact tests of factor effects in designed experiments for discrete response variables. Similarly to the analysis of contingency tables, Markov chain Monte Carlo methods can be used for performing exact tests,…

统计理论 · 数学 2014-03-14 Satoshi Aoki

This paper is concerned with the topological invariant of a graph given by the maximum degree of a Markov basis element for the corresponding graph model for binary contingency tables. We describe a degree four Markov basis for the model…

组合数学 · 数学 2007-06-13 Mike Develin , Seth Sullivant

Markov chains are fundamental models for stochastic dynamics, with applications in a wide range of areas such as population dynamics, queueing systems, reinforcement learning, and Monte Carlo methods. Estimating the transition matrix and…

统计理论 · 数学 2026-01-26 Lasse Leskelä , Maximilien Dreveton

We determine an explicit Gr\"obner basis, consisting of linear forms and determinantal quadrics, for the prime ideal of Raftery's mixture transition distribution model for Markov chains. When the states are binary, the corresponding…

统计理论 · 数学 2012-07-10 Bernd Sturmfels
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