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In this paper, we study causal inference when the treatment variable is an aggregation of multiple sub-treatment variables. Researchers often report marginal causal effects for the aggregated treatment, implicitly assuming that the target…

计量经济学 · 经济学 2026-01-08 Carolina Caetano , Gregorio Caetano , Brantly Callaway , Derek Dyal

How should researchers conduct causal inference when the outcome of interest is latent and measured imperfectly by multiple indicators? We develop a general nonparametric framework for identifying and estimating average treatment effects on…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2026-04-22 Jiawei Fu , Donald P. Green

In clinical trials, inferences on clinical outcomes are often made conditional on specific selective processes. For instance, only when a treatment demonstrates a significant effect on the primary outcome, further analysis is conducted to…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2025-04-15 Tianyu Pan , Vivek Charu , Ying Lu , Lu Tian

Understanding the effect of a particular treatment or a policy pertains to many areas of interest, ranging from political economics, marketing to healthcare. In this paper, we develop a non-parametric algorithm for detecting the effects of…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2022-08-24 Davide Viviano , Jelena Bradic

This paper provides a new approach for identifying and estimating the Average Treatment Effect on the Treated under a linear factor model that allows for multiple time-varying unobservables. Unlike the majority of the literature on…

计量经济学 · 经济学 2025-03-28 Koki Fusejima , Takuya Ishihara

Empirical researchers routinely invoke the no-interference or \textit{individualistic treatment response} (ITR) assumption to identify causal effects in observational studies, despite concerns that interference across units may arise in…

计量经济学 · 经济学 2026-04-27 Julius Owusu , Monika Avila Márquez

The estimation of treatment effects is a pervasive problem in medicine. Existing methods for estimating treatment effects from longitudinal observational data assume that there are no hidden confounders, an assumption that is not testable…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2020-09-21 Ioana Bica , Ahmed M. Alaa , Mihaela van der Schaar

Difference-in-differences is based on a parallel trends assumption, which states that changes over time in average potential outcomes are independent of treatment assignment, possibly conditional on covariates. With time-varying treatments,…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2024-06-25 Nicholas Illenberger , Iván Díaz , Audrey Renson

Recent literature proposes combining short-term experimental and long-term observational data to provide alternatives to conventional observational studies for the identification of long-term average treatment effects (LTEs). This paper…

计量经济学 · 经济学 2026-03-20 Filip Obradović

In most real-world systems units are interconnected and can be represented as networks consisting of nodes and edges. For instance, in social systems individuals can have social ties, family or financial relationships. In settings where…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2018-07-31 Laura Forastiere , Fabrizia Mealli , Albert Wu , Edoardo Airoldi

Intercurrent events, common in clinical trials and observational studies, affect the existence or interpretation of final outcomes. Principal stratification addresses this challenge by defining local average treatment effect estimands…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2025-09-22 Jiaqi Tong , Brennan Kahan , Michael O. Harhay , Fan Li

Instrumental variable methods have been widely used to identify causal effects in the presence of unmeasured confounding. A key identification condition known as the exclusion restriction states that the instrument cannot have a direct…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2022-08-05 Baoluo Sun , Yifan Cui , Eric Tchetgen Tchetgen

Missingness is ubiquitous in multivariate time series and poses an obstacle to reliable downstream analysis. Although recurrent network imputation achieved the SOTA, existing models do not scale to deep architectures that can potentially…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2024-01-05 Linglong Qian , Zina Ibrahim , Richard Dobson

We propose a doubly robust approach to characterizing treatment effect heterogeneity in observational studies. We develop a frequentist inferential procedure that utilizes posterior distributions for both the propensity score and outcome…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2022-07-21 Heejun Shin , Joseph Antonelli

The goal of causal inference is to understand the outcome of alternative courses of action. However, all causal inference requires assumptions. Such assumptions can be more influential than in typical tasks for probabilistic modeling, and…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2016-10-31 Dustin Tran , Francisco J. R. Ruiz , Susan Athey , David M. Blei

Three critical issues for causal inference that often occur in modern, complicated experiments are interference, treatment nonadherence, and missing outcomes. A great deal of research efforts has been dedicated to developing causal…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2023-04-06 Yuki Ohnishi , Arman Sabbaghi

We provide guidance on multiple imputation of missing at random treatments in observational studies. Specifically, analysts should account for both covariates and outcomes, i.e., not just use propensity scores, when imputing the missing…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2025-01-23 Joseph Feldman , Jerome P. Reiter

We study causal inference under case-control and case-population sampling. Specifically, we focus on the binary-outcome and binary-treatment case, where the parameters of interest are causal relative and attributable risks defined via the…

计量经济学 · 经济学 2023-10-24 Sung Jae Jun , Sokbae Lee

In many empirical settings, directly observing a treatment variable may be infeasible although an error-prone surrogate measurement of the latter will often be available. Causal inference based solely on the surrogate measurement is…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2024-09-26 Ying Zhou , Eric Tchetgen Tchetgen

We investigate large-sample properties of treatment effect estimators under unknown interference in randomized experiments. The inferential target is a generalization of the average treatment effect estimand that marginalizes over potential…

统计理论 · 数学 2019-10-25 Fredrik Sävje , Peter M. Aronow , Michael G. Hudgens