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Vaccination against the SARS-CoV-2 disease has significantly reduced its mortality rate and spread. However, despite its availability, a considerable proportion of the public has either refused or delayed getting vaccinated. This reluctance…

Vaccination is crucial for the control of epidemics. Yet it is a social dilemma since non-vaccinators can benefit from the herd immunity created by the vaccinators. Thus the optimum vaccination level is not reached via voluntary vaccination…

种群与进化 · 定量生物学 2019-02-06 Yuting Wei , Yaosen Lin , Bin Wu

Life expectancy is a fundamental indicator of population health and socio-economic well-being, yet accurately forecasting it remains challenging due to the interplay of demographic, environmental, and healthcare factors. This study…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2025-10-02 Roman Dolgopolyi , Ioanna Amaslidou , Agrippina Margaritou

Vaccine hesitancy, which has recently been driven by online narratives, significantly degrades the efficacy of vaccination strategies, such as those for COVID-19. Despite broad agreement in the medical community about the safety and…

社会与信息网络 · 计算机科学 2022-11-07 Matheus Schmitz , Goran Murić , Keith Burghardt

Studies have shown that exposure to air pollution, even at low levels, significantly increases mortality. As regulatory actions are becoming prohibitively expensive, robust evidence to guide the development of targeted interventions to…

应用统计 · 统计学 2018-02-20 Kwonsang Lee , Dylan S. Small , Francesca Dominici

Process mining is a discipline sitting between data mining and process science, whose goal is to provide theoretical methods and software tools to analyse process execution data, known as event logs. Although process mining was originally…

数据库 · 计算机科学 2021-12-13 Adriano Augusto , Timothy Deitz , Noel Faux , Jo-Anne Manski-Nankervis , Daniel Capurro

In diseases with long-term immunity, vaccination is known to increase the average age at infection as a result of the decrease in the pathogen circulation. This implies that a vaccination campaign can have negative effects when a disease is…

种群与进化 · 定量生物学 2024-06-04 Fabio A. C. C. Chalub , Paulo Doutor , Paula Patrício , Maria do Céu Soares

Childhood vaccination is a cornerstone of public health, yet disparities in vaccination coverage persist across England. These disparities are shaped by complex interactions among various factors, including geographic, demographic,…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2025-04-21 Amin Noroozi , Sidratul Muntaha Esha , Mansoureh Ghari

Vaccination campaigns have both direct and indirect effects that act to control an infectious disease as it spreads through a population. Indirect effects arise when vaccinated individuals block disease transmission in any infection chains…

种群与进化 · 定量生物学 2024-05-08 Lixin Lin , Homayoun Hamedmoghadam , Robert Shorten , Lewi Stone

Despite ample supply of COVID-19 vaccines, the proportion of fully vaccinated individuals remains suboptimal across much of the US. Rapid vaccination of additional people will prevent new infections among both the unvaccinated and the…

The advent and subsequent widespread availability of preventive vaccines has altered the course of public health over the past century. Despite this success, effective vaccines to prevent many high-burden diseases, including HIV, have been…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2020-11-17 Nima S. Hejazi , Mark J. van der Laan , Holly E. Janes , Peter B. Gilbert , David C. Benkeser

Vaccine randomized trials are typically designed to be blinded, ensuring that the estimated vaccine efficacy (VE) reflects the immunological effect of the vaccine. When blinding is broken, however, the estimated VE reflects not only the…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2026-03-12 Rachel Axelrod , Uri Obolski , Daniel Nevo

Studies of HPV vaccine efficacy usually record infections with vaccine targeted and nontargeted strains. Contrary to blinded randomized controlled trials, confounding bias can be a threat and risk compensation may occur in observational…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2026-05-13 Lola Etievant

In order for epidemiological forecasts to be useful for decision-makers the forecasts need to be properly validated and evaluated. Although several metrics fore evaluation have been proposed and used none of them account for the potential…

定量方法 · 定量生物学 2026-01-12 Philip Gerlee , Torbjörn Lundh , Anna Saxne Jöud , Henrik Thorén

We investigated the negative relationship between mortality and COVID-19 vaccination at ecological level, which has been established through clinical trials and other investigations at the individual level. We conducted an exploratory,…

定量方法 · 定量生物学 2022-07-26 Cosima Rughinis , Mihai Dima , Simona-Nicoleta Vulpe , Razvan Rughinis , Sorina Vasile

Public health interventions are a fundamental tool for mitigating the spread of an infectious disease. However, it is not always possible to obtain a conclusive estimate for the impact of an intervention, especially in situations where the…

计算机与社会 · 计算机科学 2017-12-22 Vasileios Lampos

The dynamics of strongly immunizing childhood infections is still not well understood. Although reports of successful modeling of several incidence data records can be found in the literature, the key determinants of the observed temporal…

种群与进化 · 定量生物学 2012-10-09 Ganna Rozhnova , Ana Nunes

Understanding the COVID-19 vaccine hesitancy, such as who and why, is very crucial since a large-scale vaccine adoption remains as one of the most efficient methods of controlling the pandemic. Such an understanding also provides insights…

社会与信息网络 · 计算机科学 2023-04-17 Raed Alharbi , Sylvia Chan-Olmsted , Huan Chen , My T. Thai

The threat of avian influenza and the 2004-2005 influenza vaccine supply shortage in the United States has sparked a debate about optimal vaccination strategies to reduce the burden of morbidity and mortality caused by the influenza virus.…

种群与进化 · 定量生物学 2010-02-10 Shweta Bansal , Babak Pourbohloul , Lauren Ancel Meyers

In this work we analyze the evolution of voluntary vaccination in networked populations by entangling the spreading dynamics of an influenza-like disease with an evolutionary framework taking place at the end of each influenza season so…