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In system analysis and design optimization, multiple computational models are typically available to represent a given physical system. These models can be broadly classified as high-fidelity models, which provide highly accurate…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2024-11-01 Ruda Zhang , Negin Alemazkoor

Simulation models of critical systems often have parameters that need to be calibrated using observed data. For expensive simulation models, calibration is done using an emulator of the simulation model built on simulation output at…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2023-08-24 Özge Sürer , Matthew Plumlee , Stefan M. Wild

This chapter presents specific aspects of Gaussian process modeling in the presence of complex noise. Starting from the standard homoscedastic model, various generalizations from the literature are presented: input varying noise variance,…

最优化与控制 · 数学 2024-12-11 Mickael Binois , Arindam Fadikar , Abby Stevens

Gaussian Process (GP) emulators are widely used to approximate complex computer model behaviour across the input space. Motivated by the problem of coupling computer models, recently progress has been made in the theory of the analysis of…

应用统计 · 统计学 2022-04-20 Victoria Volodina , Nikki Sonenberg , Peter Challenor , Jim Q. Smith

Friction modeling has always been a challenging problem due to the complexity of real physical systems. Although a few state-of-the-art structured data-driven methods show their efficiency in nonlinear system modeling, deterministic…

系统与控制 · 电气工程与系统科学 2024-05-28 Rui Dai , Giulio Evangelisti , Sandra Hirche

Stochastic models of chemical systems are often analysed by solving the corresponding Fokker-Planck equation which is a drift-diffusion partial differential equation for the probability distribution function. Efficient numerical solution of…

数值分析 · 数学 2011-11-10 Simon L. Cotter , Tomas Vejchodsky , Radek Erban

Simulation-based inference has been popular for amortized Bayesian computation. It is typical to have more than one posterior approximation, from different inference algorithms, different architectures, or simply the randomness of…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2024-03-04 Yuling Yao , Bruno Régaldo-Saint Blancard , Justin Domke

Models of stochastic processes are widely used in almost all fields of science. Theory validation, parameter estimation, and prediction all require model calibration and statistical inference using data. However, data are almost always…

统计计算 · 统计学 2022-09-07 David J. Warne , Thomas P. Prescott , Ruth E. Baker , Matthew J. Simpson

Multi-fidelity methods combine inexpensive low-fidelity simulations with costly but highfidelity simulations to produce an accurate model of a system of interest at minimal cost. They have proven useful in modeling physical systems and have…

人工智能 · 计算机科学 2014-08-12 Erik J. Schlicht , Ritchie Lee , David H. Wolpert , Mykel J. Kochenderfer , Brendan Tracey

Multi-fidelity approaches combine different models built on a scarce but accurate data-set (high-fidelity data-set), and a large but approximate one (low-fidelity data-set) in order to improve the prediction accuracy. Gaussian Processes…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2020-06-30 Ali Hebbal , Loic Brevault , Mathieu Balesdent , El-Ghazali Talbi , Nouredine Melab

Multi-fidelity methods combine inexpensive low-fidelity simulations with costly but high-fidelity simulations to produce an accurate model of a system of interest at minimal cost. They have proven useful in modeling physical systems and…

人工智能 · 计算机科学 2012-06-27 Erik J. Schlicht , Ritchie Lee , David H. Wolpert , Mykel J. Kochenderfer , Brendan Tracey

Computer models are widely used in science and engineering to simulate complex systems. However, these models are affected by several sources of uncertainty, which may limit their use for decision making in risk management. We present a…

统计计算 · 统计学 2026-03-17 Oumar Baldé , Guillaume Damblin , Amandine Marrel , Antoine Bouloré , Loïc Giraldi

Many robotic tasks, such as human-robot interactions or the handling of fragile objects, require tight control and limitation of appearing forces and moments alongside sensible motion control to achieve safe yet high-performance operation.…

机器人学 · 计算机科学 2023-03-09 Janine Matschek , Johanna Bethge , Rolf Findeisen

We present a fully Bayesian sequential strategy for predicting the mean response surface of heteroscedastic stochastic simulation functions. Leveraging dual Gaussian processes as the surrogate model and a criterion based on empirical…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2025-06-12 Yuying Huang , Samuel W. K. Wong

A hybrid numerical model previously developed for combustion simulations is extended in this article to describe flame propagation and stabilization in porous media. The model, with a special focus on flame/wall interaction processes, is…

流体动力学 · 物理学 2023-07-12 S. A. Hosseini , Dominique Thevenin

Gaussian processes are employed for non-parametric regression in a Bayesian setting. They generalize linear regression, embedding the inputs in a latent manifold inside an infinite-dimensional reproducing kernel Hilbert space. We can…

数值分析 · 数学 2021-07-13 Francesco Romor , Marco Tezzele , Gianluigi Rozza

The process of calibrating computer models of natural phenomena is essential for applications in the physical sciences, where plenty of domain knowledge can be embedded into simulations and then calibrated against real observations. Current…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2025-01-20 Rafael Oliveira , Dino Sejdinovic , David Howard , Edwin V. Bonilla

Computer experiments have become ubiquitous in science and engineering. Commonly, runs of these simulations demand considerable time and computing, making experimental design extremely important in gaining high quality information with…

统计理论 · 数学 2017-05-15 Benjamin Haaland , Wenjia Wang , Vaibhav Maheshwari

Likelihood-based inference in stochastic non-linear dynamical systems, such as those found in chemical reaction networks and biological clock systems, is inherently complex and has largely been limited to small and unrealistically simple…

统计计算 · 统计学 2024-07-08 Ben Swallow , David A. Rand , Giorgos Minas

The computational cost for inference and prediction of statistical models based on Gaussian processes with Mat\'ern covariance functions scales cubicly with the number of observations, limiting their applicability to large data sets. The…

统计理论 · 数学 2025-03-04 David Bolin , Vaibhav Mehandiratta , Alexandre B. Simas