相关论文: Fractional Order Malaria Model With Temporary Immu…
We adapt the article of Forien, Pang, Pardoux and Zotsa: Arxiv preprint Arxiv2210.04667(2022), on epidemic models with varying infectivity and waning immunity, to incorporate the memory of the last infection. To this end, we introduce a…
We consider an inverse source problem in the two-time-scale mobile-immobile fractional diffusion model from partial interior observation. Theoretically, we combine the fractional Duhamel's principle with the weak vanishing property to…
We consider a fractional version of the classical nonlinear birth process of which the Yule--Furry model is a particular case. Fractionality is obtained by replacing the first order time derivative in the difference-differential equations…
In this paper we consider a fractional stochastic volatility model, that is a model in which the volatility may exhibit a long-range dependent or a rough/antipersistent behavior. We propose a dynamic sequential Monte Carlo methodology that…
We propose a novel method for fast and scalable evaluation of periodic solutions of systems of ordinary differential equations for a given set of parameter values and initial conditions. The equations governing the system dynamics are…
In this paper we describe the dynamics of a vector-borne relapsing disease, such as tick-borne relapsing fever, using the methods of compartmental models. After some motivation, model description, and a brief overview of the theory of…
An initial-boundary value problem with a Caputo time derivative of fractional order $\alpha\in(0,1)$ is considered, solutions of which typically exhibit a singular behaviour at an initial time. An L2-type discrete fractional-derivative…
Fractional differential equations provide a tractable mathematical framework to describe anomalous behavior in complex physical systems, yet they introduce new sensitive model parameters, i.e. derivative orders, in addition to model…
We develop a variable population age-structured ODE model to investigate the role of Intermittent Preventive Treatment (IPT) in averting malaria-induced mortalities in children, as well as its related cost in promoting the spread of…
\noindent We formulate an age-structured three-staged nonlinear partial differential equation model that features {\it nonlinear} recidivism to the infected ({\it infectious}) class from the {\it temporarily} recovered class. Equilibria are…
In this paper we propose a model predictive control scheme for constrained fractional-order discrete-time systems. We prove that all constraints are satisfied at all time instants and we prescribe conditions for the origin to be an…
To study population dynamics, ecologists and wildlife biologists use relative abundance data, which are often subject to temporal preferential sampling. Temporal preferential sampling occurs when sampling effort varies across time. To…
We review recent results obtained to solve fractional order optimal control problems with free terminal time and a dynamic constraint involving integer and fractional order derivatives. Some particular cases are studied in detail. A…
We study two simple mathematical models of the epidemic. At first, we study the repetitive infection spreading in a simplified SIRS model including the effect of the decay of the acquired immune. The model is an intermediate model of the…
In this paper we introduce the notion of fractional martingale as the fractional derivative of order $\alpha$ of a continuous local martingale, where $\alpha\in(-{1/2},{1/2})$, and we show that it has a nonzero finite variation of order…
This paper contributes to the design of a fractional order (FO) internal model controller (IMC) for a first order plus time delay (FOPTD) process model to satisfy a given set of desired robustness specifications in terms of gain margin (Am)…
In this work we introduce the class of beta autoregressive fractionally integrated moving average models for continuous random variables taking values in the continuous unit interval $(0,1)$. The proposed model accommodates a set of…
In a study of the heterogeneity in malaria infection rates among children Smith et al.1 fitted several mathematical models to data from community studies in Africa. They concluded that 20% of children receive 80% of infections, that…
We study an infection-age structured epidemic model in which both the infectivity and the rate of loss of immunity depend on the time-since-infection. The model can be equivalently viewed as a nonlinear renewal equation for the incidence of…
Classical compartmental models of epidemiology rely on well-mixed, local interaction approximations that fail to capture the heavy-tailed burst dynamics and long-range spatial correlations observed in real-world outbreaks. While fractional…