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World models have emerged as a unifying paradigm for learning latent dynamics, simulating counterfactual futures, and supporting planning under uncertainty. In this paper, we argue that computational epidemiology is a natural and…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2026-04-14 Zeeshan Memon , Yiqi Su , Christo Kurisummoottil Thomas , Walid Saad , Liang Zhao , Naren Ramakrishnan

We investigate the strategic behavior of a large population of agents who decide whether to adopt a costly partially effective protection or remain unprotected against the susceptible-infected-susceptible epidemic. In contrast with most…

系统与控制 · 电气工程与系统科学 2024-09-05 Ashish R. Hota , Abhisek Satapathi , Urmee Maitra

Dynamic treatment regimes have been proposed to personalize treatment decisions by utilizing historical patient data, but they may not always improve on the current standard of care. It is thus meaningful to integrate the standard of care…

应用统计 · 统计学 2025-12-11 Johannes Hruza , Arvid Sjölander , Erin Gabriel , Samir Bhatt , Michael Sachs

The recent pandemic emphasized the need to consider the role of human behavior in shaping epidemic dynamics. In particular, it is necessary to extend beyond the classical epidemiological structures to fully capture the interplay between the…

动力系统 · 数学 2025-01-22 Leah LeJeune , Navid Ghaffarzadegan , Lauren Childs , Omar Saucedo

Understanding the social determinants of preventive behavior is vital for epidemic modelling and effective policy making. Traditional models emphasize imitation or rational trade-offs, but recent evidence highlights the role of social…

物理与社会 · 物理学 2025-11-18 Christos Charalambous

Clinical prognostic models help inform decision-making by estimating a patient's risk of experiencing an outcome in the future. The net benefit is increasingly being used to assess the clinical utility of models. By calculating an…

We study the relation between different social behaviors and the onset of epidemics in a model for the dynamics of sexual transmitted diseases. The model considers the society as a system of individual sexuated agents that can be organized…

适应与自组织系统 · 物理学 2009-11-10 Sebastian Goncalves , Marcelo Kuperman , Marcelo Ferreira da Costa Gomes

Identifying who should be treated is a central question in economics. There are two competing approaches to targeting - paternalistic and autonomous. In the paternalistic approach, policymakers optimally target the policy given observable…

The prediction of the behavior of the disease, the level of affectation in a population and the ways to control it are the most important aspects studied by epidemiology using tools such as historical data and mathematical models. So, our…

动力系统 · 数学 2022-04-04 Jorge Andrés Ibáñez Huertas , Carlos Isaac Zainea Maya

Game theoretic approaches have gained traction as robust methodologies for designing distributed local algorithms that induce a desired overall system configuration in multi-agent settings. However, much of the emphasis in these approaches…

系统与控制 · 电气工程与系统科学 2021-11-03 Rohit Konda , Rahul Chandan , David Grimsman , Jason R. Marden

Understanding how to effectively control an epidemic spreading on a network is a problem of paramount importance for the scientific community. The ongoing COVID-19 pandemic has highlighted the need for policies that mitigate the spread,…

种群与进化 · 定量生物学 2021-09-14 Carlo Cenedese , Lorenzo Zino , Michele Cucuzzella , Ming Cao

We exhibit optimal control strategies for a simple toy problem in which the underlying dynamics depend on a parameter that is initially unknown and must be learned. We consider a cost function posed over a finite time interval, in contrast…

最优化与控制 · 数学 2020-02-27 Charles L. Fefferman , Bernat Guillen Pegueroles , Clarence W. Rowley , Melanie Weber

Discrete and Continuous Dynamics is the first in a series of articles on Network Models for Epidemiology. This project began in the Fall quarter of 2014 in my continuous modeling course. Since then, it has taken off and turned into a series…

种群与进化 · 定量生物学 2015-11-04 Edward Rusu

We consider an SLIARS mathematical epidemiology model including intervention in the form of vaccination and treatment. Contrary to classical models, it is assumed that treatment doses can be limited in availability. Mathematically, we show…

This paper is a survey paper on stochastic epidemic models. A simple stochastic epidemic model is defined and exact and asymptotic model properties (relying on a large community) are presented. The purpose of modelling is illustrated by…

概率论 · 数学 2009-11-05 Tom Britton

The success of a vaccination program is crucially dependent on its adoption by a critical fraction of the population, as the resulting herd immunity prevents future outbreaks of an epidemic. However, the effectiveness of a campaign can…

物理与社会 · 物理学 2019-07-02 Anupama Sharma , Shakti N. Menon , V. Sasidevan , Sitabhra Sinha

Faced with a dangerous epidemic humans will spontaneously social distance to reduce their risk of infection at a socio-economic cost. Compartmentalised epidemic models have been extended to include this endogenous decision making:…

理论经济学 · 经济学 2024-07-08 Simon K. Schnyder , John J. Molina , Ryoichi Yamamoto , Matthew S. Turner

This work introduces the concept of Variable Size Game Theory (VSGT), in which the number of players in a game is a strategic decision made by the players themselves. We start by discussing the main examples in game theory: dominance,…

种群与进化 · 定量生物学 2024-05-07 Matheus Hansen , Fabio A. C. C. Chalub

Understanding dynamics of an infectious disease helps in designing appropriate strategies for containing its spread in a population. Recent mathematical models are aimed at studying dynamics of some specific types of infectious diseases. In…

动力系统 · 数学 2015-02-05 P. Raja Sekhara Rao , M. Naresh Kumar

In many epidemiological and ecological contexts, there is a trade-off between infections and interactions. This arises because the links between individuals capable of spreading infections are also often associated with beneficial…

物理与社会 · 物理学 2025-04-04 Bunlang Thatchai , Christopher E. Overton , Thomas House