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相关论文: The Possibilities and Limitations of Private Predi…

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Prior work has investigated variations of prediction markets that preserve participants' (differential) privacy, which formed the basis of useful mechanisms for purchasing data for machine learning objectives. Such markets required…

计算机科学与博弈论 · 计算机科学 2018-10-30 Rafael Frongillo , Bo Waggoner

In a prediction market, individuals can sequentially place bets on the outcome of a future event. This leaves a trail of personal probabilities for the event, each being conditional on the current individual's private background knowledge…

统计理论 · 数学 2020-04-28 A. Philip Dawid , Julia Mortera

In many areas of industry and society, e.g., energy, healthcare, logistics, agents collect vast amounts of data that they deem proprietary. These data owners extract predictive information of varying quality and relevance from data…

理论经济学 · 经济学 2022-10-07 Aitazaz Ali Raja , Pierre Pinson , Jalal Kazempour , Sergio Grammatico

We consider a prediction market in which all aspects are controlled by market forces, in particular the correct outcomes of events are decided by the market itself rather than by trusted arbiters. This kind of a decentralized prediction…

密码学与安全 · 计算机科学 2017-03-09 Iddo Bentov , Alex Mizrahi , Meni Rosenfeld

We study a market for private data in which a data analyst publicly releases a statistic over a database of private information. Individuals that own the data incur a cost for their loss of privacy proportional to the differential privacy…

计算机科学与博弈论 · 计算机科学 2012-10-01 Pranav Dandekar , Nadia Fawaz , Stratis Ioannidis

Machine learning models leak information about their training data every time they reveal a prediction. This is problematic when the training data needs to remain private. Private prediction methods limit how much information about the…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2020-07-13 Laurens van der Maaten , Awni Hannun

We propose and analyze differentially private (DP) mechanisms for call auctions as an alternative to the complex and ad-hoc privacy efforts that are common in modern electronic markets. We prove that the number of shares cleared in the DP…

计算机科学与博弈论 · 计算机科学 2020-02-14 Emily Diana , Hadi Elzayn , Michael Kearns , Aaron Roth , Saeed Sharifi-Malvajerdi , Juba Ziani

Prediction markets mobilize financial incentives to forecast binary event outcomes through the aggregation of dispersed beliefs and heterogeneous information. Their growing popularity and demonstrated predictive accuracy in political…

综合经济学 · 经济学 2026-01-29 Bridget Smart , Ebba Mark , Anne Bastian , Josefina Waugh

Differential privacy is becoming a gold standard for privacy research; it offers a guaranteed bound on loss of privacy due to release of query results, even under worst-case assumptions. The theory of differential privacy is an active…

Although both data availability and the demand for accurate forecasts are increasing, collaboration between stakeholders is often constrained by data ownership and competitive interests. In contrast to recent proposals within cooperative…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2026-05-14 Michael Vitali , Pierre Pinson

Recent work has constructed economic mechanisms that are both truthful and differentially private. In these mechanisms, privacy is treated separately from the truthfulness; it is not incorporated in players' utility functions (and doing so…

计算机科学与博弈论 · 计算机科学 2012-11-14 Yiling Chen , Stephen Chong , Ian A. Kash , Tal Moran , Salil Vadhan

Differential privacy is a strong notion for privacy that can be used to prove formal guarantees, in terms of a privacy budget, $\epsilon$, about how much information is leaked by a mechanism. However, implementations of privacy-preserving…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2019-08-14 Bargav Jayaraman , David Evans

Algorithmic predictions are increasingly used to inform the allocation of scarce resources. The promise of these methods is that, through machine learning, they can better identify the people who would benefit most from interventions.…

密码学与安全 · 计算机科学 2026-04-24 Ben Jacobsen , Nitin Kohli

We examine two types of binary betting markets, whose primary goal is for profit (such as sports gambling) or to gain information (such as prediction markets). We articulate the interplay between belief and price-setting to analyse both…

计算机科学与博弈论 · 计算机科学 2024-06-07 Haiqing Zhu , Alexander Soen , Yun Kuen Cheung , Lexing Xie

Wagering mechanisms are one-shot betting mechanisms that elicit agents' predictions of an event. For deterministic wagering mechanisms, an existing impossibility result has shown incompatibility of some desirable theoretical properties. In…

计算机科学与博弈论 · 计算机科学 2022-03-31 Yiling Chen , Yang Liu , Juntao Wang

A personal data market is a platform including three participants: data owners (individuals), data buyers and market maker. Data owners who provide personal data are compensated according to their privacy loss. Data buyers can submit a…

计算机与社会 · 计算机科学 2018-01-03 Rachana Nget , Yang Cao , Masatoshi Yoshikawa

We consider the problem of designing a survey to aggregate non-verifiable information from a privacy-sensitive population: an analyst wants to compute some aggregate statistic from the private bits held by each member of a population, but…

计算机科学与博弈论 · 计算机科学 2014-04-25 Arpita Ghosh , Katrina Ligett , Aaron Roth , Grant Schoenebeck

Prediction markets are designed to elicit information from multiple agents in order to predict (obtain probabilities for) future events. A good prediction market incentivizes agents to reveal their information truthfully; such incentive…

计算机科学与博弈论 · 计算机科学 2012-05-14 Vincent Conitzer

Training reliable deep learning models which avoid making overconfident but incorrect predictions is a longstanding challenge. This challenge is further exacerbated when learning has to be differentially private: protection provided to…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2023-05-31 Stephan Rabanser , Anvith Thudi , Abhradeep Thakurta , Krishnamurthy Dvijotham , Nicolas Papernot

Suppliers (including companies and individual prosumers) may wish to protect their private information when selling items they have in stock. A market is envisaged where private information can be protected through the use of differential…

密码学与安全 · 计算机科学 2015-09-23 Maurizio Naldi , Giuseppe D'Acquisto
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