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Estimation of permutation entropy (PE) using Bayesian statistical methods is presented for systems where the ordinal pattern sampling follows an independent, multinomial distribution. It is demonstrated that the PE posterior distribution is…

数据分析、统计与概率 · 物理学 2022-02-09 Douglas J. Little , Joshua P. Toomey , Deb M. Kane

In ecology, the description of species composition and biodiversity calls for statistical methods that involve estimating features of interest in unobserved samples based on an observed one. In the last decade, the Bayesian nonparametrics…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2026-04-28 Alessandro Colombi , Raffaele Argiento , Federico Camerlenghi , Lucia Paci

Advances in cellular imaging technologies, especially those based on fluorescence in situ hybridization (FISH) now allow detailed visualization of the spatial organization of human or bacterial cells. Quantifying this spatial organization…

Graphical models are powerful tools for capturing conditional dependence structures in complex systems but remain underexplored in analyzing ordinal data, especially in sports analytics. Ordinal variables, such as team rankings, player…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2025-12-05 Wang Wen , Ziqi Chen , Guanyu Hu

We introduce a flexible, scalable Bayesian inference framework for nonlinear dynamical systems characterised by distinct and hierarchical variability at the individual, group, and population levels. Our model class is a generalisation of…

机器学习 · 统计学 2019-10-03 Geoffrey Roeder , Paul K. Grant , Andrew Phillips , Neil Dalchau , Edward Meeds

Bayesian design can be used for efficient data collection over time when the process can be described by the solution to an ordinary differential equation (ODE). Typically, Bayesian designs in such settings are obtained by maximising the…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2024-07-10 Nushrath Najimuddin , David J. Warne , Helen Thompson , James M. McGree

In this project we are interested in performing clustering of observations such that the cluster membership is influenced by a set of predictors. To that end, we employ the Bayesian nonparameteric Common Atoms Model, which is a nested…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2025-12-11 Md Yasin Ali Parh , Jeremy T. Gaskins

We present a proof-of-concept of a model comparison approach for analyzing spatio-temporal observations of interacting populations. Our model variants are a collection of structurally similar Bayesian networks. Their distinct Noisy-Or…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2024-10-08 Nat Kendal-Freedman , Joseph Victor Fiorillo Meleshko , Aaron Yip , Brian Ingalls

Bayesian inference and the use of posterior or posterior predictive probabilities for decision making have become increasingly popular in clinical trials. The current practice in Bayesian clinical trials relies on a hybrid…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2024-04-30 Shirin Golchi , James Willard

Clustering is a crucial task in various domains of knowledge, including medicine, epidemiology, genomics, environmental science, economics, and visual sciences, among others. Methodologies for inferring the number of clusters have often…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2025-05-26 Clara Grazian

The availability of high-throughput parallel methods for sequencing microbial communities is increasing our knowledge of the microbial world at an unprecedented rate. Though most attention has focused on determining lower-bounds on the…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2011-09-15 Manuel Lladser , Raúl Gouet , Jens Reeder

A Bayesian non-parametric framework for studying time-to-event data is proposed, where the prior distribution is allowed to depend on an additional random source, and may update with the sample size. Such scenarios are natural, for…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2025-05-06 Martin Bladt , Jorge González Cázares

We propose a Bayesian nonparametric (BNP) approach to causal inference using observational data consisting of outcome, treatment, and a set of confounders. The conditional distribution of the outcome given treatment and confounders is…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2025-12-01 Yongseok Hur , Joonhyuk Jung , Juhee Lee

This work proposes a Bayesian inference method for the reduced-order modeling of time-dependent systems. Informed by the structure of the governing equations, the task of learning a reduced-order model from data is posed as a Bayesian…

数值分析 · 数学 2023-01-18 Mengwu Guo , Shane A. McQuarrie , Karen E. Willcox

The use of high-dimensional data for targeted therapeutic interventions requires new ways to characterize the heterogeneity observed across subgroups of a specific population. In particular, models for partially exchangeable data are needed…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2020-08-18 Francesco Denti , Federico Camerlenghi , Michele Guindani , Antonietta Mira

High-throughput sequencing technology provides unprecedented opportunities to quantitatively explore human gut microbiome and its relation to diseases. Microbiome data are compositional, sparse, noisy, and heterogeneous, which pose serious…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2020-10-12 Fangting Zhou , Kejun He , Qiwei Li , Robert S. Chapkin , Yang Ni

We study the framework of Bayesian statistics for analyzing the capabilities and results of future experiments looking to solve the issue of the neutrino mass ordering. Starting from the general scenario, we then give examples of the…

高能物理 - 唯象学 · 物理学 2015-06-17 Mattias Blennow

The vast majority of models for the spread of communicable diseases are parametric in nature and involve underlying assumptions about how the disease spreads through a population. In this article we consider the use of Bayesian…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2017-06-12 Theodore Kypraios , Philip D. O'Neill

Ordinary differential equation (ODE) models are widely used to describe systems in many areas of science. To ensure these models provide accurate and interpretable representations of real-world dynamics, it is often necessary to infer…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2026-03-24 Selva Salimi , David J. Warne , Christopher Drovandi

Multi-category data arise in diverse fields including marketing, chemistry, public policy, genomics, political science, and ecology. We consider the problem of estimating ratios of category-specific means in a fully nonparametric setting,…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2025-10-29 Grant Hopkins , Sarah Teichman , Ellen Graham , Amy D Willis