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We introduce an estimation method of covariance matrices in a high-dimensional setting, i.e., when the dimension of the matrix, , is larger than the sample size . Specifically, we propose an orthogonally equivariant estimator. The…

统计理论 · 数学 2020-12-04 Samprit Banerjee , Stefano Monni

We consider the estimation of large covariance and precision matrices from high-dimensional sub-Gaussian or heavier-tailed observations with slowly decaying temporal dependence. The temporal dependence is allowed to be long-range so with…

统计理论 · 数学 2019-12-23 Hai Shu , Bin Nan

We develop a novel procedure for estimating the optimizer of general convex stochastic optimization problems of the form $\min_{x\in\mathcal{X}} \mathbb{E}[F(x,\xi)]$, when the given data is a finite independent sample selected according to…

统计理论 · 数学 2022-01-26 Daniel Bartl , Shahar Mendelson

We present a sample- and time-efficient differentially private algorithm for ordinary least squares, with error that depends linearly on the dimension and is independent of the condition number of $X^\top X$, where $X$ is the design matrix.…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2024-04-25 Gavin Brown , Jonathan Hayase , Samuel Hopkins , Weihao Kong , Xiyang Liu , Sewoong Oh , Juan C. Perdomo , Adam Smith

The spectral measure plays a key role in the statistical modeling of multivariate extremes. Estimation of the spectral measure is a complex issue, given the need to obey a certain moment condition. We propose a Euclidean likelihood-based…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2012-04-17 Miguel de Carvalho , Boris Oumow , Johan Segers , Michał Warchoł

Recent research has focused on $\ell_1$ penalized least squares (Lasso) estimators for high-dimensional linear regressions in which the number of covariates $p$ is considerably larger than the sample size $n$. However, few studies have…

统计理论 · 数学 2022-05-05 Yuefeng Han , Ruey S. Tsay

We study semiparametric varying-coefficient partially linear models when some linear covariates are not observed, but ancillary variables are available. Semiparametric profile least-square based estimation procedures are developed for…

统计理论 · 数学 2009-03-04 Yong Zhou , Hua Liang

Various natural phenomena exhibit spatial extremal dependence at short spatial distances. However, existing models proposed in the spatial extremes literature often assume that extremal dependence persists across the entire domain. This is…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2024-05-01 Arnab Hazra , Raphaël Huser , David Bolin

We present sharp tail asymptotics for the density and the distribution function of linear combinations of correlated log-normal random variables, that is, exponentials of components of a correlated Gaussian vector. The asymptotic behavior…

概率论 · 数学 2016-01-07 Archil Gulisashvili , Peter Tankov

We propose a methodology for computing single and multi-asset European option prices, and more generally expectations of scalar functions of (multivariate) random variables. This new approach combines the ability of Monte Carlo simulation…

计算金融 · 定量金融 2019-10-21 Damir Filipović , Kathrin Glau , Yuji Nakatsukasa , Francesco Statti

We address the inference problem concerning regression coefficients in a classical linear regression model using least squares estimates. The analysis is conducted under circumstances where network dependency exists across units in the…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2024-04-03 Jing Lei , Kehui Chen , Haeun Moon

We study the problem of constructing honest and adaptive confidence intervals for the tail coefficient in the second order Pareto model, when the second order coefficient is unknown. This problem is translated into a testing problem on the…

统计理论 · 数学 2014-09-18 Alexandra Carpentier , Arlene K. H. Kim

This paper establishes bounds on the performance of empirical risk minimization for large-dimensional linear regression. We generalize existing results by allowing the data to be dependent and heavy-tailed. The analysis covers both the…

计量经济学 · 经济学 2025-04-23 Christian Brownlees , Guðmundur Stefán Guðmundsson

Analysing dependent risks is an important task for insurance companies. A dependency is reflected in the fact that information about one random variable provides information about the likely distribution of values of another random…

应用统计 · 统计学 2021-03-22 Sen Hu , Adrian O'Hagan

Bayesian inference has many advantages for complex models, but standard Monte Carlo methods for summarizing the posterior can be computationally demanding, and it is attractive to consider optimization-based variational methods. Our work…

统计计算 · 统计学 2025-10-09 Aoxiang Chen , David J. Nott , Linda S. L. Tan

Given any domain $X\subseteq \mathbb{R}^d$ and a probability measure $\rho$ on $X$, we study the problem of approximating in $L^2(X,\rho)$ a given function $u:X\to\mathbb{R}$, using its noiseless pointwise evaluations at random samples. For…

数值分析 · 数学 2019-07-11 Giovanni Migliorati

This paper considers the problem of robustly estimating a structured covariance matrix with an elliptical underlying distribution with known mean. In applications where the covariance matrix naturally possesses a certain structure, taking…

应用统计 · 统计学 2016-06-29 Ying Sun , Prabhu Babu , Daniel P. Palomar

We study the accuracy of a scaled Poisson approximation to the weighted sum of independent Poisson random variables, focusing on in particular the relative error of the tail distribution. A bound on the relative approximation error is…

概率论 · 数学 2024-03-18 Yue Tan , Yingdong Lu , Cathy Xia

In this paper we discuss new adaptive proposal strategies for sequential Monte Carlo algorithms--also known as particle filters--relying on criteria evaluating the quality of the proposed particles. The choice of the proposal distribution…

统计计算 · 统计学 2008-08-25 Julien Cornebise , Eric Moulines , Jimmy Olsson

We develop an unsupervised mixture model for non-negative, skewed and heavy-tailed data, such as losses in actuarial and risk management applications. The mixture has a lognormal component, which is usually appropriate for the body of the…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2025-05-29 Marco Bee , Flavio Santi