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Recent innovations in diffusion probabilistic models have paved the way for significant progress in image, text and audio generation, leading to their applications in generative time series forecasting. However, leveraging such abilities to…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2025-11-07 Yuansan Liu , Sudanthi Wijewickrema , Dongting Hu , Christofer Bester , Stephen O'Leary , James Bailey

We propose a novel distributional regression model for a multivariate response vector based on a copula process over the covariate space. It uses the implicit copula of a Gaussian multivariate regression, which we call a ``regression…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2024-03-06 Nadja Klein , Michael Stanley Smith , David Nott , Ryan Chisholm

Solving multiple parametrised related systems is an essential component of many numerical tasks, and learning from the already solved systems will make this process faster. In this work, we propose a novel probabilistic linear solver over…

机器学习 · 统计学 2025-08-21 Disha Hegde , Jon Cockayne

In this paper, we propose a novel variable selection approach in the framework of multivariate linear models taking into account the dependence that may exist between the responses. It consists in estimating beforehand the covariance matrix…

Selecting a subset of variables for linear models remains an active area of research. This paper reviews many of the recent contributions to the Bayesian model selection and shrinkage prior literature. A posterior variable selection summary…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2014-08-05 P. Richard Hahn , Carlos M. Carvalho

A general class of models is proposed that is able to estimate the whole predictive distribution of a dependent variable $Y$ given a vector of explanatory variables $\xb$. The models exploit that the strength of explanatory variables to…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2021-03-25 Gerhard Tutz

There is a rich literature proposing methods and establishing asymptotic properties of Bayesian variable selection methods for parametric models, with a particular focus on the normal linear regression model and an increasing emphasis on…

统计理论 · 数学 2011-08-16 Suprateek Kundu , David B. Dunson

We consider linear models with scalar responses and covariates from a separable Hilbert space. The aim is to detect change points in the error distribution, based on sequential residual empirical distribution functions. Expansions for those…

统计理论 · 数学 2024-11-08 Natalie Neumeyer , Leonie Selk

Bayesian inverse problems use observed data to update a prior probability distribution for an unknown state or parameter of a scientific system to a posterior distribution conditioned on the data. In many applications, the unknown parameter…

数值分析 · 数学 2026-05-12 Josie König , Elizabeth Qian , Melina A. Freitag

We provide a flexible framework for selecting among a class of additive partial linear models that allows both linear and nonlinear additive components. In practice, it is challenging to determine which additive components should be…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2021-09-20 Seonghyun Jeong , Taeyoung Park , David A. van Dyk

We consider statistical inference for errors-in-variables regression models with dependent observations under the high dimensionality of the error covariance matrix. It is tempting to prewhiten the model and data that had led to efficient…

应用统计 · 统计学 2026-05-08 Jingkun Qiu , Hanyue Chen , Song Xi Chen

In variational inference, the benefits of Bayesian models rely on accurately capturing the true posterior distribution. We propose using neural samplers that specify implicit distributions, which are well-suited for approximating complex…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2023-11-10 Anshuk Uppal , Kristoffer Stensbo-Smidt , Wouter Boomsma , Jes Frellsen

When the sample size is not too small, M-estimators of regression coefficients are approximately normal and unbiased. This leads to the familiar frequentist inference in terms of normality-based confidence intervals and p-values. From a…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2018-10-19 Erik van Zwet

The goal of this paper is to provide theorems on convergence rates of posterior distributions that can be applied to obtain good convergence rates in the context of density estimation as well as regression. We show how to choose priors so…

统计理论 · 数学 2007-06-13 Tzee-Ming Huang

We propose a new structure for the variational auto-encoders (VAEs) prior, with the weakly informative multivariate Student's t-distribution. In the proposed model all distribution parameters are trained, thereby allowing for a more robust…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2020-04-07 Najmeh Abiri , Mattias Ohlsson

Data from spectrophotometers form vectors of a large number of exploitable variables. Building quantitative models using these variables most often requires using a smaller set of variables than the initial one. Indeed, a too large number…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2007-09-26 Fabrice Rossi , Amaury Lendasse , Damien François , Vincent Wertz , Michel Verleysen

We propose a method for variable selection in multiple regression with random predictors. This method is based on a criterion that permits to reduce the variable selection problem to a problem of estimating suitable permutation and…

统计理论 · 数学 2015-06-29 Alban Mbina Mbina , Guy Martial Nkiet , Assi Nguessan

Additive regression models with interactions are widely studied in the literature, using methods such as splines or Gaussian process regression. However, these methods can pose challenges for estimation and model selection, due to the…

统计理论 · 数学 2023-06-14 Wicher Bergsma , Haziq Jamil

Probability density estimation is a central task in statistics. Copula-based models provide a great deal of flexibility in modelling multivariate distributions, allowing for the specifications of models for the marginal distributions…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2024-05-08 Nicolás Kuschinski , Richard Warr , Alejandro Jara

Researchers often face choices between multiple data sources that differ in quality, cost, and representativeness. Which sources will most improve predictive performance? We study this data prioritization problem under a random distribution…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2025-12-16 Ivy Zhang , Dominik Rothenhäusler