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相关论文: Model Prior Distribution for Variable Selection in…

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We reexamine the classical linear regression model when the model is subject to two types of uncertainty: (i) some of covariates are either missing or completely inaccessible, and (ii) the variance of the measurement error is undetermined…

统计理论 · 数学 2021-08-05 Shuzhen Yang , Jianfeng Yao

Prior Networks are a recently developed class of models which yield interpretable measures of uncertainty and have been shown to outperform state-of-the-art ensemble approaches on a range of tasks. They can also be used to distill an…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2020-12-10 Andrey Malinin , Sergey Chervontsev , Ivan Provilkov , Mark Gales

Deep Bayesian neural networks (BNNs) are a powerful tool, though computationally demanding, to perform parameter estimation while jointly estimating uncertainty around predictions. BNNs are typically implemented using arbitrary…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2020-05-12 Daniele Silvestro , Tobias Andermann

We derive a maximum a posteriori estimator for the linear observation model, where the signal and noise covariance matrices are both uncertain. The uncertainties are treated probabilistically by modeling the covariance matrices with prior…

In high-dimensional problems, choosing a prior distribution such that the corresponding posterior has desirable practical and theoretical properties can be challenging. This begs the question: can the data be used to help choose a good…

统计理论 · 数学 2019-09-25 Ryan Martin , Stephen G. Walker

We propose a fast and theoretically grounded method for Bayesian variable selection and model averaging in latent variable regression models. Our framework addresses three interrelated challenges: (i) intractable marginal likelihoods, (ii)…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2025-09-16 Gregor Zens , Mark F. J. Steel

The article develops marginal models for multivariate longitudinal responses. Overall, the model consists of five regression submodels, one for the mean and four for the covariance matrix, with the latter resulting by considering various…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2020-12-18 Georgios Papageorgiou

Generalized linear models play an essential role in a wide variety of statistical applications. This paper discusses an approximation of the likelihood in these models that can greatly facilitate computation. The basic idea is to replace a…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2013-05-27 Alexandro D. Ramirez , Liam Paninski

It is argued that all model based approaches to the selection of covariates in linear regression have failed. This applies to frequentist approaches based on P-values and to Bayesian approaches although for different reasons. In the first…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2022-02-23 Laurie Davies

This paper develops a slice sampler for Bayesian linear regression models with arbitrary priors. The new sampler has two advantages over current approaches. One, it is faster than many custom implementations that rely on auxiliary latent…

统计计算 · 统计学 2018-06-18 P. Richard Hahn , Jingyu He , Hedibert Lopes

Varying coefficient models are useful in applications where the effect of the covariate might depend on some other covariate such as time or location. Various applications of these models often give rise to case-specific prior distributions…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2019-12-05 Maria Franco-Villoria , Massimo Ventrucci , Håvard Rue

This is an overview of the R package iprior, which implements a unified methodology for fitting parametric and nonparametric regression models, including additive models, multilevel models, and models with one or more functional covariates.…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2019-12-04 Haziq Jamil , Wicher Bergsma

A Bayesian approach is used to estimate the covariance matrix of Gaussian data. Ideas from Gaussian graphical models and model selection are used to construct a prior for the covariance matrix that is a mixture over all decomposable graphs.…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2007-06-12 Helen Armstrong , Christopher K. Carter , Kevin F. Wong , Robert Kohn

Many pre-trained models (PTMs) are available in modern applications. Because different PTMs are often trained on different datasets, their performances can vary substantially for different new tasks, and the ranking of the candidates may…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2026-05-14 Ziwen Gao , Baihua He , Yuhong Yang

We consider regression problems where the number of predictors greatly exceeds the number of observations. We propose a method for variable selection that first estimates the regression function, yielding a "pre-conditioned" response…

统计理论 · 数学 2013-04-16 Debashis Paul , Eric Bair , Trevor Hastie , Robert Tibshirani

To improve word representation learning, we propose a probabilistic prior which can be seamlessly integrated with word embedding models. Different from previous methods, word embedding is taken as a probabilistic generative model, and it…

计算与语言 · 计算机科学 2023-09-22 Shaogang Ren , Dingcheng Li , Ping Li

Bayesian model selection with improper priors is not well-defined because of the dependence of the marginal likelihood on the arbitrary scaling constants of the within-model prior densities. We show how this problem can be evaded by…

统计理论 · 数学 2020-04-28 A. Philip Dawid , Monica Musio

The goal of this paper is to compare several widely used Bayesian model selection methods in practical model selection problems, highlight their differences and give recommendations about the preferred approaches. We focus on the variable…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2017-12-18 Juho Piironen , Aki Vehtari

Relying on recent advances in statistical estimation of covariance distances based on random matrix theory, this article proposes an improved covariance and precision matrix estimation for a wide family of metrics. The method is shown to…

机器学习 · 统计学 2021-02-03 Malik Tiomoko , Florent Bouchard , Guillaume Ginholac , Romain Couillet

We consider the problem of variable selection in linear models when $p$, the number of potential regressors, may exceed (and perhaps substantially) the sample size $n$ (which is possibly small).

统计方法学 · 统计学 2016-07-12 James O. Berger , Gonzalo Garcia-Donato , Miguel A. Martinez-Beneito , Victor Peña