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相关论文: Discovering the laws of urbanisation

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The share of the world population living in cities with more than one million people rose from 11% in 1975 to 24% in 2025 (our estimates). Will this trend towards greater concentration in large cities continue or level off? We introduce two…

物理与社会 · 物理学 2026-03-31 Andrea Musso , Diego Rybski , Dirk Helbing , Frank Neffke

The interaction of all mobile species with their environment hinges on their movement patterns: the places they visit and how frequently they go there. In human society, where the prevalent form of cohabitation is in cities, the highly…

物理与社会 · 物理学 2020-02-17 Markus Schläpfer , Michael Szell , Hadrien Salat , Carlo Ratti , Geoffrey B. West

Analysis of the urban population fraction data for sixteen populous countries over the last fifty years reveals a universal increase in urbanization, exhibiting four qualitatively distinct temporal patterns: (i) continuously accelerating…

物理与社会 · 物理学 2026-01-06 Neeraj Pandey , Abhineet Agarwal , Raju Roychowdhury , Karmeshu , Parth Pratim Pandey

Understanding demographic and migrational patterns constitutes a great challenge. Millions of individual decisions, motivated by economic, political, demographic, rational, and/or emotional reasons underlie the high complexity of…

物理与社会 · 物理学 2013-12-09 A. Hernando , R. Hernando , A. Plastino

Human settlements on Earth are scattered in a multitude of shapes, sizes and spatial arrangements. These patterns are often not random but a result of complex geographical, cultural, economic and historical processes that have profound…

物理与社会 · 物理学 2021-06-03 Emanuele Strano , Filippo Simini , Marco De Nadai , Thomas Esch , Mattia Marconcini

Commuting is a key mechanism that governs the dynamics of cities. Despite its importance, very little is known of the properties and mechanisms underlying this crucial urban process. Here, we capitalize on $\sim$ 50 million individuals'…

物理与社会 · 物理学 2022-04-28 Lei Dong , Paolo Santi , Yu Liu , Siqi Zheng , Carlo Ratti

Urbanization has been the dominant demographic trend in the entire world, during the last half century. Rural to urban migration, international migration, and the re-classification or expansion of existing city boundaries have been among…

物理与社会 · 物理学 2013-12-19 Philippe Blanchard , Dimitri Volchenkov

The science of cities seeks to understand and explain regularities observed in the world's major urban systems. Modelling the population evolution of cities is at the core of this science and of all urban studies. Quantitatively, the most…

物理与社会 · 物理学 2021-10-14 Vincent Verbavatz , Marc Barthelemy

Urban land growth presents a major sustainability challenge, yet its growth patterns and dynamics remain unclear. We quantified urban land evolution by analyzing its statistical distribution in 14 regions and countries over 29 years. The…

A good understanding of cities is crucial to implement urban planning policies leading to social and economic sustainability and an efficient use of resources. While urban concentration has been associated with both positive and negative…

物理与社会 · 物理学 2025-09-09 Gaëtan Laziou , Rémi Lemoy

Challenges due to the rapid urbanization of the world -- especially in emerging countries -- range from an increasing dependence on energy, to air pollution, socio-spatial inequalities, environmental and sustainability issues. Modelling the…

物理与社会 · 物理学 2019-05-07 Marc Barthelemy

The spatial heterogeneity of cities -- the uneven distribution of population and activities -- is fundamental to urban dynamics and related to critical issues such as infrastructure overload, housing affordability, and social inequality.…

物理与社会 · 物理学 2025-11-14 Hao Huang , Yuming Lin , Jiazhen Liu

Evidences are presented concerning tantalizing regularities in cities' population-flows in what regards to space and time correlations. The former exhibit a distance-behavior (for large distances) compatible with the inverse square law,…

应用统计 · 统计学 2012-07-30 A. Hernando , A. Plastino

It is very important to understand urban mobility patterns because most trips are concentrated in urban areas. In the paper, a new model is proposed to model collective human mobility in urban areas. The model can be applied to predict…

物理与社会 · 物理学 2014-10-28 Xiao Liang , Jichang Zhao , Li Dong , Ke Xu

The process of urbanization is one of the most important phenomenon of our societies and it is only recently that the availability of massive amounts of geolocalized historical data allows us to address quantitatively some of its features.…

物理与社会 · 物理学 2017-10-20 Giulia Carra , Marc Barthelemy

The intrinsic factor that drives the human movement remains unclear for decades. While our observations from intra-urban and inter-urban trips both demonstrate a universal law in human mobility. Be specific, the probability from one…

物理与社会 · 物理学 2014-01-17 Xiao Liang , Jichang Zhao , Ke Xu

The distribution of the population of cities has attracted a great deal of attention, in part because it sharply constrains models of local growth. However, to this day, there is no consensus on the distribution below the very upper tail,…

物理与社会 · 物理学 2016-03-29 Hernan Rozenfeld , Diego Rybski , Xavier Gabaix , Hernan A. Makse

Understanding scaling relations of social and environmental attributes of urban systems is necessary for effectively managing cities. Urban scaling theory (UST) has assumed that population density scales positively with city size. We…

Human development has far-reaching impacts on the surface of the globe. The transformation of natural land cover occurs in different forms and urban growth is one of the most eminent transformative processes. We analyze global land cover…

The vast majority of travel takes place within cities. Recently, new data has become available which allows for the discovery of urban mobility patterns which differ from established results about long distance travel. Specifically, the…

物理与社会 · 物理学 2014-10-28 Xiao Liang , Jichang Zhao , Li Dong , Ke Xu
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