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Graphical model has been widely used to investigate the complex dependence structure of high-dimensional data, and it is common to assume that observed data follow a homogeneous graphical model. However, observations usually come from…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2016-01-01 Kevin Lee , Lingzhou Xue

In this paper, we introduce the use of a personalized Gaussian Process model (pGP) to predict the key metrics of Alzheimer's Disease progression (MMSE, ADAS-Cog13, CDRSB and CS) based on each patient's previous visits. We start by learning…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2018-05-07 Kelly Peterson , Ognjen Rudovic , Ricardo Guerrero , Rosalind W. Picard

Fintech lending has become a central mechanism through which digital platforms stimulate consumption, offering dynamic, personalized credit limits that directly shape the purchasing power of consumers. Although prior research shows that…

综合经济学 · 经济学 2025-09-04 Cheuk Hang Leung , Yijun Li , Qi Wu

Many marketing applications, including credit card incentive programs, offer rewards to customers who exceed specific spending thresholds to encourage increased consumption. Quantifying the causal effect of these thresholds on customers is…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2026-01-19 Kohsuke Kubota , Shonosuke Sugasawa

Statistical models and methods for determinantal point processes (DPPs) seem largely unexplored. We demonstrate that DPPs provide useful models for the description of spatial point pattern datasets where nearby points repel each other. Such…

统计理论 · 数学 2016-04-28 Frédéric Lavancier , Jesper Møller , Ege Rubak

Although machine learning is increasingly applied in control approaches, only few methods guarantee certifiable safety, which is necessary for real world applications. These approaches typically rely on well-understood learning algorithms,…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2020-06-16 Armin Lederer , Markus Kessler , Sandra Hirche

The graphics processing unit (GPU) has emerged as a powerful and cost effective processor for general performance computing. GPUs are capable of an order of magnitude more floating-point operations per second as compared to modern central…

统计计算 · 统计学 2012-07-24 Mark Franey , Pritam Ranjan , Hugh Chipman

With continuous glucose monitoring (CGM), data-driven models on blood glucose prediction have been shown to be effective in related work. However, such (CGM) systems are not always available, e.g., for a patient at home. In this work, we…

计算机与社会 · 计算机科学 2024-04-10 Tu Nguyen , Markus Rokicki

High frequency data in finance have led to a deeper understanding on probability distributions of market prices. Several facts seem to be well stablished by empirical evidence. Specifically, probability distributions have the following…

统计力学 · 物理学 2009-10-31 Jaume Masoliver , Miquel Montero , Josep M. Porra

In this paper, we explore the application of Gaussian Processes (GPs) for predicting mean-reverting time series with an underlying structure, using relatively unexplored functional and augmented data structures. While many conventional…

统计金融 · 定量金融 2024-03-05 Narayan Tondapu

Dynamic topic models (DTMs) model the evolution of prevalent themes in literature, online media, and other forms of text over time. DTMs assume that word co-occurrence statistics change continuously and therefore impose continuous…

机器学习 · 统计学 2018-03-22 Patrick Jähnichen , Florian Wenzel , Marius Kloft , Stephan Mandt

In this paper, we present a data-driven Model Predictive Controller that leverages a Gaussian Process to generate optimal motion policies for connected autonomous vehicles in regions with uncertainty in the wireless channel. The…

系统与控制 · 电气工程与系统科学 2021-06-24 Hassan Jafarzadeh , Cody Fleming

Goods can exhibit positive externalities impacting decisions of customers in socials networks. Suppliers can integrate these externalities in their pricing strategies to increase their revenue. Besides optimizing the prize, suppliers also…

多智能体系统 · 计算机科学 2021-04-15 Pegah Rokhforoz , Olga Fink

Educational games are being increasingly used to support self-paced learning. However, educators and system designers often face challenges in monitoring student affect and cognitive load. Existing assessments in game-based learning…

人机交互 · 计算机科学 2024-05-10 Minghao Cai , Carrie Demmans Epp

Interactive simulations allow students to discover the underlying principles of a scientific phenomenon through their own exploration. Unfortunately, students often struggle to learn effectively in these environments. Classifying students'…

计算机与社会 · 计算机科学 2022-07-05 Jade Maï Cock , Mirko Marras , Christian Giang , Tanja Käser

Decades of research in control theory have shown that simple controllers, when provided with timely feedback, can control complex systems. Pushing is an example of a complex mechanical system that is difficult to model accurately due to…

机器人学 · 计算机科学 2018-10-10 Maria Bauza , Francois R. Hogan , Alberto Rodriguez

Learning uncertain dynamics models using Gaussian process~(GP) regression has been demonstrated to enable high-performance and safety-aware control strategies for challenging real-world applications. Yet, for computational tractability,…

最优化与控制 · 数学 2024-09-17 Manish Prajapat , Amon Lahr , Johannes Köhler , Andreas Krause , Melanie N. Zeilinger

This paper proposes a hybrid Gaussian process (GP) approach to robust economic model predictive control under unknown future disturbances in order to reduce the conservatism of the controller. The proposed hybrid GP is a combination of two…

系统与控制 · 电气工程与系统科学 2020-01-08 Mohammadreza Rostam , Ryozo Nagamune , Vladimir Grebenyuk

In a multi-channel marketing world, the purchase decision journey encounters many interactions (e.g., email, mobile notifications, display advertising, social media, and so on). These impressions have direct (main effects), as well as…

应用统计 · 统计学 2022-06-01 Ritwik Sinha , David Arbour , Aahlad Manas Puli

We present new Bayesian methodology for consumer sales forecasting. With a focus on multi-step ahead forecasting of daily sales of many supermarket items, we adapt dynamic count mixture models to forecast individual customer transactions,…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2022-06-07 Lindsay R. Berry , Paul Helman , Mike West