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Anomalies in economic and financial data -- often linked to rare yet impactful events -- are of theoretical interest, but can also severely distort inference. Although outlier-robust methodologies can be used, many researchers prefer…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2025-09-01 Monica Billio , Roberto Casarin , Fausto Corradin , Antonio Peruzzi

The random-effects or normal-normal hierarchical model is commonly utilized in a wide range of meta-analysis applications. A Bayesian approach to inference is very attractive in this context, especially when a meta-analysis is based only on…

统计计算 · 统计学 2020-04-29 Christian Röver

Auxiliary information is increasingly available from administrative and other data sources, but it is often incomplete and of non-probability origin. We propose a two-step small area estimation approach in which the first step relies on…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2026-02-16 Donatas Šlevinskas , Ieva Burakauskaitė , Andrius Čiginas

A general random effects model is proposed that allows for continuous as well as discrete distributions of the responses. Responses can be unrestricted continuous, bounded continuous, binary, ordered categorical or given in the form of…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2024-04-30 Gerhard Tutz

Ordinal response model is a popular and commonly used regression for ordered categorical data in a wide range of fields such as medicine and social sciences. However, it is empirically known that the existence of ``outliers'', combinations…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2023-05-15 Tomotaka Momozaki , Tomoyuki Nakagawa

Bayesian statistics emphasizes the importance of prior distributions, yet finding an appropriate one is practically challenging. When multiple sample results are taken regarding the frequency of the same event, these samples may be…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2024-11-27 Yu-Fu Shen

Modern machine learning applications should be able to address the intrinsic challenges arising over inference on massive real-world datasets, including scalability and robustness to outliers. Despite the multiple benefits of Bayesian…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2020-11-10 Dionysis Manousakas , Cecilia Mascolo

We propose a Bayesian approach using improper priors for hierarchical linear mixed models with flexible random effects and residual error distributions. The error distribution is modelled using scale mixtures of normals, which can capture…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2018-02-06 F. J. Rubio , M. F. J. Steel

The paper concerns small-area estimation in the Fay-Herriot type area-level model with random dispersions, which models the case that the sampling errors change from area to area. The resulting Bayes estimator shrinks both means and…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2015-07-30 Hiromasa Tamae , Tatsuya Kubokawa

Small area estimation models are essential for estimating population characteristics in regions with limited sample sizes, thereby supporting policy decisions, demographic studies, and resource allocation, among other use cases. The spatial…

机器学习 · 统计学 2025-03-20 Zhenhua Wang , Paul A. Parker , Scott H. Holan

Linear mixed models (LMMs) are a popular class of methods for analyzing longitudinal and clustered data. However, such models can be sensitive to outliers, and this can lead to biased inference on model parameters and inaccurate prediction…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2025-03-28 Shonosuke Sugasawa , Francis K. C. Hui , Alan H. Welsh

Outliers widely occur in big-data applications and may severely affect statistical estimation and inference. In this paper, a framework of outlier-resistant estimation is introduced to robustify an arbitrarily given loss function. It has a…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2023-04-20 Yiyuan She , Zhifeng Wang , Jiahui Shen

The multivariate Fay-Herriot model is quite effective in combining information through correlations among small area survey estimates of related variables or historical survey estimates of the same variable or both. Though the literature on…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2020-06-29 Takumi Saegusa , Shonosuke Sugasawa , Partha Lahiri

A novel data-driven methodology is presented for the joint selection of prior parameters for both fixed and random effects in Linear Mixed Models (LMMs). This approach facilitates the estimation of complex random-effects structures, as well…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2026-04-28 Matteo Amestoy , R. Vermeulen , Mark A. van de Wiel , Wessel N. van Wieringen

Spike-and-slab and horseshoe regression are arguably the most popular Bayesian variable selection approaches for linear regression models. However, their performance can deteriorate if outliers and heteroskedasticity are present in the…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2022-10-20 Alberto Cabezas , Marco Battiston , Christopher Nemeth

We propose a Bayesian test of normality for univariate or multivariate data against alternative nonparametric models characterized by Dirichlet process mixture distributions. The alternative models are based on the principles of embedding…

统计理论 · 数学 2023-04-12 Surya T. Tokdar , Ryan Martin

Linear model prediction with a large number of potential predictors is both statistically and computationally challenging. The traditional approaches are largely based on shrinkage selection/estimation methods, which are applicable even…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2024-09-17 Hanmei Sun , Jiangshan Zhang , Jiming Jiang

Principal component regression uses principal components as regressors. It is particularly useful in prediction settings with high-dimensional covariates. The existing literature treating of Bayesian approaches is relatively sparse. We…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2020-01-28 Philippe Gagnon , Mylène Bédard , Alain Desgagné

Nonlinear mixed effects models have received a great deal of attention in the statistical literature in recent years because of their flexibility in handling longitudinal studies, including human immunodeficiency virus viral dynamics,…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2021-09-28 Fernanda L. Schumacher , Dipak K. Dey , Victor H. Lachos

Sparse estimation methods capable of tolerating outliers have been broadly investigated in the last decade. We contribute to this research considering high-dimensional regression problems contaminated by multiple mean-shift outliers which…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2025-10-21 Luca Insolia , Ana Kenney , Francesca Chiaromonte , Giovanni Felici