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A Boussinesq model for the Benard convection under random influences is considered as a system of stochastic partial differential equations. This is a coupled system of stochastic Navier-Stokes equations and the transport equation for…

概率论 · 数学 2009-05-12 Jinqiao Duan , Annie Millet

Complex models used to describe biological processes in epidemiology and ecology often have computationally intractable or expensive likelihoods. This poses significant challenges in terms of Bayesian inference but more significantly in the…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2019-03-12 Mahasen Dehideniya , Antony M. Overstall , Chris C. Drovandi , James M. McGree

This article presents a Bayesian inferential method where the likelihood for a model is unknown but where data can easily be simulated from the model. We discretize simulated (continuous) data to estimate the implicit likelihood in a…

We introduce a bootstrap procedure for high-frequency statistics of Brownian semistationary processes. More specifically, we focus on a hypothesis test on the roughness of sample paths of Brownian semistationary processes, which uses an…

统计理论 · 数学 2021-01-06 Mikkel Bennedsen , Ulrich Hounyo , Asger Lunde , Mikko S. Pakkanen

The convergence of properly time-scaled and normalized maxima of independent standard Brownian motions to the Brown-Resnick process is well-known in the literature. In this paper, we study the extremal functional behavior of non-Gaussian…

概率论 · 数学 2013-11-15 Bikramjit Das , Sebastian Engelke , Enkelejd Hashorva

In this paper, we consider nonparametric multidimensional finite mixture models and we are interested in the semiparametric estimation of the population weights. Here, the i.i.d. observations are assumed to have at least three components…

统计理论 · 数学 2017-12-14 Elisabeth Gassiat , Judith Rousseau , Elodie Vernet

We describe a Bayesian approach to estimating luminosity functions. We derive the likelihood function and posterior probability distribution for the luminosity function, given the observed data, and we compare the Bayesian approach with…

天体物理学 · 物理学 2009-11-13 Brandon C. Kelly , Xiaohui Fan , Marianne Vestergaard

In the following article we provide an exposition of exact computational methods to perform parameter inference from partially observed network models. In particular, we consider the duplication attachment (DA) model which has a likelihood…

统计计算 · 统计学 2013-06-20 Junshan Wang , Ajay Jasra , Maria De Iorio

This paper concerns the use of the expectation-maximisation (EM) algorithm for inference in partially observed diffusion processes. In this context, a well known problem is that all except a few diffusion processes lack closed-form…

统计理论 · 数学 2010-08-18 Jimmy Olsson , Jonas Ströjby

The analysis of data from multiple experiments, such as observations of several individuals, is commonly approached using mixed-effects models, which account for variation between individuals through hierarchical representations. This makes…

统计计算 · 统计学 2026-03-05 Henrik Häggström , Sebastian Persson , Marija Cvijovic , Umberto Picchini

Simulator-based models are models for which the likelihood is intractable but simulation of synthetic data is possible. They are often used to describe complex real-world phenomena, and as such can often be misspecified in practice.…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2022-12-20 Charita Dellaporta , Jeremias Knoblauch , Theodoros Damoulas , François-Xavier Briol

Stochastic Differential Equations (SDEs) are used as statistical models in many disciplines. However, intractable likelihood functions for SDEs make inference challenging, and we need to resort to simulation-based techniques to estimate and…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2014-08-12 Grant Schneider , Peter F. Craigmile , Radu Herbei

There is an increasing amount of literature focused on Bayesian computational methods to address problems with intractable likelihood. One approach is a set of algorithms known as Approximate Bayesian Computational (ABC) methods. One of the…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2015-10-27 Weixuan Zhu , Juan Miguel Marin , Fabrizio Leisen

The analysis of spatial extremes requires the joint modeling of a spatial process at a large number of stations and max-stable processes have been developed as a class of stochastic processes suitable for studying spatial extremes. Spatial…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2012-09-28 Soyoung Jeon , Richard L. Smith

Accurate assessment of systematic uncertainties is an increasingly vital task in physics studies, where large, high-dimensional datasets, like those collected at the Large Hadron Collider, hold the key to new discoveries. Common approaches…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2025-10-02 Alexis Romero , Kyle Cranmer , Daniel Whiteson

Gaussian process regression in its most simplified form assumes normal homoscedastic noise and utilizes analytically tractable mean and covariance functions of predictive posterior distribution using Gaussian conditioning. Its…

应用统计 · 统计学 2023-01-20 Pooja Algikar , Lamine Mili

Approximate Bayesian Computation (ABC) is a popular inference method when likelihoods are hard to come by. Practical bottlenecks of ABC applications include selecting statistics that summarize the data without losing too much information or…

统计计算 · 统计学 2026-05-15 Khanh N. Dinh , Cécile Liu , Zijin Xiang , Zhihan Liu , Simon Tavaré

This paper presents a detailed theoretical analysis of the three stochastic approximation proximal gradient algorithms proposed in our companion paper [49] to set regularization parameters by marginal maximum likelihood estimation. We prove…

统计理论 · 数学 2020-08-14 Valentin De Bortoli , Alain Durmus , Ana F. Vidal , Marcelo Pereyra

Stochastic motion of particles in a highly unstable potential generates a number of diverging trajectories leading to undefined statistical moments of the particle position. This makes experiments challenging and breaks down a standard…

We consider the problem of estimating rare event probabilities, focusing on systems whose evolution is governed by differential equations with uncertain input parameters. If the system dynamics is expensive to compute, standard sampling…

统计计算 · 统计学 2019-11-05 Siddhant Wahal , George Biros