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We study Bayesian methods for large-scale linear inverse problems, focusing on the challenging task of hyperparameter estimation. Typical hierarchical Bayesian formulations that follow a Markov Chain Monte Carlo approach are possible for…

数值分析 · 数学 2024-01-05 Khalil A Hall-Hooper , Arvind K Saibaba , Julianne Chung , Scot M Miller

We propose a framework for computing, optimizing and integrating with respect to a smooth marginal likelihood in statistical models that involve high-dimensional parameters/latent variables and continuous low-dimensional hyperparameters.…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2026-02-10 Omiros Papaspiliopoulos , Timothée Stumpf-Fétizon , Jonathan Weare

We present a survey of some of our recent results on Bayesian nonparametric inference for a multitude of stochastic processes. The common feature is that the prior distribution in the cases considered is on suitable sets of piecewise…

统计理论 · 数学 2024-06-04 Denis Belomestny , Frank van der Meulen , Peter Spreij

The partition function and specific heat of a system consisting of a finite number of bosons confined in an external potential are calculated in canonical ensemble. Using the grand partition function as the generating function of the…

凝聚态物理 · 物理学 2009-10-30 Wenji Deng , P. M. Hui

The problem of matching unlabelled point sets using Bayesian inference is considered. Two recently proposed models for the likelihood are compared, based on the Procrustes size-and-shape and the full configuration. Bayesian inference is…

统计计算 · 统计学 2010-09-17 Kim Kenobi , Ian L. Dryden

A vital stage in the mathematical modelling of real-world systems is to calibrate a model's parameters to observed data. Likelihood-free parameter inference methods, such as Approximate Bayesian Computation, build Monte Carlo samples of the…

统计计算 · 统计学 2021-12-23 Thomas P Prescott , Ruth E Baker

Let $X_{i,n},n\in \mathbb{N},1\leq i\leq n$, be a triangular array of independent $\mathbb{R}^d$-valued Gaussian random vectors with correlation matrices $\Sigma_{i,n}$. We give necessary conditions under which the row-wise maxima converge…

概率论 · 数学 2015-04-08 Sebastian Engelke , Zakhar Kabluchko , Martin Schlather

Approaches to Bayesian inference for problems with intractable likelihoods have become increasingly important in recent years. Approximate Bayesian computation (ABC) and "likelihood free" Markov chain Monte Carlo techniques are popular…

统计计算 · 统计学 2014-10-03 Jamie Owen , Darren J. Wilkinson , Colin S. Gillespie

Likelihood-free methods, such as approximate Bayesian computation, are powerful tools for practical inference problems with intractable likelihood functions. Markov chain Monte Carlo and sequential Monte Carlo variants of approximate…

统计计算 · 统计学 2019-02-26 David J. Warne , Ruth E. Baker , Matthew J. Simpson

Bayesian inference is a principled framework for dealing with uncertainty. The practitioner can perform an initial assumption for the physical phenomenon they want to model (prior belief), collect some data and then adjust the initial…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2020-11-10 Vasileios Gkolemis , Michael Gutmann

Many statistical problems include model parameters that are defined as the solutions to optimization sub-problems. These include classical approaches such as profile likelihood as well as modern applications involving flow networks or…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2025-03-17 Cheng Zeng , Yaozhi Yang , Jason Xu , Leo L Duan

There is increasing interest to develop Bayesian inferential algorithms for point process models with intractable likelihoods. A purpose of this paper is to illustrate the utility of using simulation based strategies, including Approximate…

统计计算 · 统计学 2026-02-02 Chaoyi Lu , Nial Friel

Bayesian inference is a widely used technique for real-time characterization of quantum systems. It excels in experimental characterization in the low data regime, and when the measurements have degrees of freedom. A decisive factor for its…

量子物理 · 物理学 2025-07-10 Alexandra Ramôa , Raffaele Santagati , Nathan Wiebe

Using quasi-Newton methods in stochastic optimization is not a trivial task given the difficulty of extracting curvature information from the noisy gradients. Moreover, pre-conditioning noisy gradient observations tend to amplify the noise.…

最优化与控制 · 数学 2024-04-02 Andre Carlon , Luis Espath , Raul Tempone

Process mining is a technique that performs an automatic analysis of business processes from a log of events with the promise of understanding how processes are executed in an organisation. Several models have been proposed to address this…

人工智能 · 计算机科学 2015-03-26 Catarina Moreira

Complex simulator-based models are now routinely used to perform inference across the sciences and engineering, but existing inference methods are often unable to account for outliers and other extreme values in data which occur due to…

机器学习 · 统计学 2026-02-18 Ayush Bharti , Charita Dellaporta , Yuga Hikida , François-Xavier Briol

Maximum likelihood estimators are proposed for the parameters and the densities in a semiparametric density ratio model in which the nonparametric baseline density is approximated by the Bernstein polynomial model. The EM algorithm is used…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2021-03-02 Zhong Guan

Bayesian nonparametric (BNP) models provide elegant methods for discovering underlying latent features within a data set, but inference in such models can be slow. We exploit the fact that completely random measures, which commonly used…

机器学习 · 统计学 2020-07-17 Avinava Dubey , Michael Minyi Zhang , Eric P. Xing , Sinead A. Williamson

Extreme mass ratio inspirals (EMRIs) are thought to be one of the most exciting gravitational wave sources to be detected with LISA. Due to their complicated nature and weak amplitudes the detection and parameter estimation of such sources…

广义相对论与量子宇宙学 · 物理学 2013-01-04 Asad Ali , Nelson Christensen , Renate Meyer , Christian Röver

In Bayesian inference, predictive distributions are typically in the form of samples generated via Markov chain Monte Carlo (MCMC) or related algorithms. In this paper, we conduct a systematic analysis of how to make and evaluate…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2020-06-25 Fabian Krüger , Sebastian Lerch , Thordis L. Thorarinsdottir , Tilmann Gneiting