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Accurately estimating latent velocity vector fields of atmospheric winds is crucial for understanding weather phenomena. Direct measurement of atmospheric winds is costly, especially in the upper atmosphere, so researchers attempt to…

应用统计 · 统计学 2025-06-12 Youssef Fahmy , Maria Laura Battagliola , Joseph Guinness

This study presents a probabilistic surrogate model for localized wildfire spread based on a conditional flow matching algorithm. The approach models fire progression as a stochastic process by learning the conditional distribution of fire…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2026-03-31 Bryan Shaddy , Haitong Qin , Brianna Binder , James Haley , Riya Duddalwar , Kyle Hilburn , Assad Oberai

We study a discrete spatial model for invasive allele spread in which two alleles compete preemptively, initially only the "residents" (weaker competitors) being present. We find that the spread of the advantageous mutation is well…

统计力学 · 物理学 2015-06-25 J. A. Yasi , G. Korniss , T. Caraco

We consider a nonlocal Fisher-KPP equation that models a population structured in space and in phenotype. The population lives in a heterogeneous periodic environment: the diffusion coefficient, the mutation coefficient and the fitness of…

偏微分方程分析 · 数学 2024-10-28 Nathanaël Boutillon

We are concerned with the persistence of both predator and prey in a diffusive predator-prey system with a climate change effect, which is modeled by a spatial-temporal heterogeneity depending on a moving variable. Moreover, we consider…

偏微分方程分析 · 数学 2021-05-10 Wonhyung Choi , Thomas Giletti , Jong-Shenq Guo

We investigate a model for spatial epidemics explicitly taking into account bi-directional movements between base and destination locations on individual mobility networks. We provide a systematic analysis of generic dynamical features of…

物理与社会 · 物理学 2012-03-07 Vitaly Belik , Theo Geisel , Dirk Brockmann

To understand the spreading and interaction of prey and predator, in this paper we study the dynamics of the diffusive Lotka-Volterra type prey-predator model with different free boundaries. These two free boundaries, which may intersect…

偏微分方程分析 · 数学 2017-10-02 Mingxin Wang , Yang Zhang

We present a spatial, individual-based predator-prey model in which dispersal is dependent on the local community. We determine species suitability to the biotic conditions of their local environment through a time and space varying fitness…

种群与进化 · 定量生物学 2008-07-21 Elise Filotas , Martin Grant , Lael Parrott , Per Arne Rikvold

We consider the problem of estimating the topology of spatial interactions in a discrete state, discrete time spatio-temporal graphical model where the interactions affect the temporal evolution of each agent in a network. Among other…

机器学习 · 统计学 2010-04-15 Patrick L. Harrington , Alfred O. Hero

A biological competition model where the individuals of the same species perform a two-dimensional Markovian continuous-time random walk and undergo reproduction and death is studied. The competition is introduced through the assumption…

生物物理 · 物理学 2011-08-31 E. Heinsalu , E. Hernandez-Garcia , C. Lopez

We consider the problem of determining the time evolution of a trait distribution in a mathematical model of non-uniform populations with parametric heterogeneity. This means that we consider only heterogeneous populations in which…

种群与进化 · 定量生物学 2018-09-25 Georgy P. Karev , Artem S. Novozhilov

Spatio-temporal extensions of familiar compartment models for disease transmission incorporating diffusive behavior, or interactions between individuals at separate locations, are explored. The models considered have the character of…

生物物理 · 物理学 2022-06-28 Joseph Rudnick , David Jasnow , Jorge Vinals

Both evolution and ecology have long been concerned with the impact of variable environmental conditions on observed levels of genetic diversity within and between species. We model the evolution of a quantitative trait under selection that…

种群与进化 · 定量生物学 2014-11-17 Hannes Svardal , Claus Rueffler , Joachim Hermisson

Our models for detecting the effect of adaptation on population genomic diversity are often predicated on a single newly arisen mutation sweeping rapidly to fixation. However, a population can also adapt to a new situation by multiple…

种群与进化 · 定量生物学 2012-07-26 Peter Ralph , Graham Coop

Numerous experimental studies have demonstrated that the microenvironment is a key regulator influencing the proliferative and migrative potentials of species. Spatial and temporal disturbances lead to adverse and hazardous…

种群与进化 · 定量生物学 2015-10-07 Venkata. S. K. Manem , Kamran Kaveh , Mohammad Kohandel , Siv Sivaloganathan

Insect species subject to infection, predation, and anisotropic environmental conditions may exhibit preferential movement patterns. Given the innate stochasticity of exogenous factors driving these patterns over short timescales,…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2025-10-10 Seth Minor , Bret D. Elderd , Benjamin Van Allen , David M. Bortz , Vanja Dukic

Forecasting disease spread is a critical tool to help public health officials design and plan public health interventions. However, the expected future state of an epidemic is not necessarily well defined as disease spread is inherently…

种群与进化 · 定量生物学 2026-05-05 Mariah C. Boudreau , Andrea J. Allen , Nicholas J. Roberts , Antoine Allard , Laurent Hébert-Dufresne

Human mobility is a key factor in spatial disease dynamics and related phenomena. In computational models host mobility is typically modelled by diffusion in space or on metapolulation networks. Alternatively, an effective force of…

物理与社会 · 物理学 2012-03-07 Vitaly Belik , Theo Geisel , Dirk Brockmann

1. Anthropogenic actions cause rapid ecological changes, meaning that animals have to respond before they have time to adapt. Tools to quantify emergent spatial patterns from animal-habitat interaction mechanisms are vital for predicting…

种群与进化 · 定量生物学 2015-01-06 Jonathan R. Potts , Karl Mokross , Philip C Stouffer , Mark A. Lewis

The non-Markovian continuous-time random walk model, featuring fat-tailed waiting times and narrow distributed displacements with a non-zero mean, is a well studied model for anomalous diffusion. Using an analytical approach, we recently…

统计力学 · 物理学 2023-09-18 Wanli Wang , Eli Barkai