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In this paper, we present the description of a simplified model of the dynamic of a mono-specific even-aged forest. The model studied is a tree-growth model based on a system of two ordinary differential equations concerning the tree basal…

最优化与控制 · 数学 2014-01-21 Patrice Loisel , Jean-François Dhôte

We investigate a forest-fire model with the density of empty sites as control parameter. The model exhibits three phases, separated by one first-order phase transition and one 'mixed' phase transition which shows critical behavior on only…

统计力学 · 物理学 2009-10-30 Siegfried Clar , Klaus Schenk , Franz Schwabl

Observed bimodal tree cover distributions at particular environmental conditions and theoretical models indicate that some areas in the tropics can be in either of the alternative stable vegetation states forest or savanna. However, when…

种群与进化 · 定量生物学 2021-05-27 Bert Wuyts , Alan R. Champneys , Nicolas Verschueren , Jo I. House

Random walks on multidimensional nonlinear landscapes are of interest in many areas of science and engineering. In particular, properties of adaptive trajectories on fitness landscapes determine population fates and thus play a central role…

种群与进化 · 定量生物学 2014-10-08 Michael Manhart , Alexandre V. Morozov

Forest fires pose a natural threat with devastating social, environmental, and economic implications. The rapid and highly uncertain rate of spread of wildfires necessitates a trustworthy digital tool capable of providing real-time…

In nature, barchan dunes typically exist as members of larger fields that display striking, enigmatic structures that cannot be readily explained by examining the dynamics at the scale of single dunes, or by appealing to patterns in…

软凝聚态物质 · 物理学 2013-07-15 S. Worman , A. B. Murray , R. Littlewood , B. Andreotti , P. Claudin

In this work, we employ autoregressive models developed in financial engineering for modeling of forest dynamics. Autoregressive models have some theoretical advantage over currently employed forest modeling approaches such as Markov chains…

定量方法 · 定量生物学 2019-11-22 Olga Rumyantseva , Andrey Sarantsev , Nikolay Strigul

The Alaskan landscape has undergone substantial changes in recent decades, most notably the expansion of shrubs and trees across the Arctic. We developed a dynamic statistical model to quantify the impact of climate change on the structural…

应用统计 · 统计学 2022-08-17 Xinyi Lu , Mevin B. Hooten , Ann M. Raiho , David K. Swanson , Carl A. Roland , Sarah E. Stehn

When complex systems are driven to extinction by some external factor, their non-stationary dynamics can present an intermittent behaviour between relative tranquility and burst of activity whose consequences are often catastrophic. To…

物理与社会 · 物理学 2018-03-21 Juan V Escobar , Isaac Pérez Castillo

In this work, we present and analyze a general framework for vegetation dynamics in arid and semi-arid ecosystems in which non-local interactions are purely competitive. The generality of the formulation enables a systematic search for…

斑图形成与孤子 · 物理学 2026-04-21 Jelle van der Voort , Ricardo Martinez-Garcia , Arjen Doelman

Changes in the frequency, duration, and severity of climate extremes are forecast to occur under global climate change. The impacts of climate extremes on forest productivity and health are complicated by potential interactions with…

The contact process is a simple model for the spread of an infection in a structured population. We investigate the case when the underlying structure evolves dynamically as a degree-dependent dynamical percolation model. Starting with a…

概率论 · 数学 2026-03-11 Natalia Cardona-Tobón , Marcel Ortgiese , Marco Seiler , Anja Sturm

Patches of vegetation consist of dense clusters of shrubs, grass, or trees, often found to be circular characteristic size, defined by the properties of the vegetation and terrain. Therefore, vegetation patches can be interpreted as…

斑图形成与孤子 · 物理学 2017-11-29 Mustapha Tlidi , Ignacio Bordeu , Marcel G. Clerc , Daniel Escaff

The increasing frequency and severity of wildfires highlight the need for accurate fire and plume spread models. We introduce an approach that effectively isolates and tracks fire and plume behavior across various spatial and temporal…

计算机视觉与模式识别 · 计算机科学 2024-12-13 Daryn Sagel , Bryan Quaife

The objective of the present study is twofold. First, the last developments and validation results of a hybrid model designed to simulate fire patterns in heterogeneous landscapes are presented. The model combines the features of a…

大气与海洋物理 · 物理学 2016-02-08 Mohamed Drissi

Networks having the geometry and the connectivity of trees are considered as the spatial support of spatiotemporal dynamical processes. A tree is characterized by two parameters: its ramification and its depth. The local dynamics at the…

斑图形成与孤子 · 物理学 2009-11-07 M. G. Cosenza , K. Tucci

Many mathematical models describing vegetation patterns are based on biomass--water interactions, due to the impact of this limited resource in arid and semi-arid environments. However, in recent years, a novel biological factor called…

动力系统 · 数学 2026-04-20 Francesco Giannino , Annalisa Iuorio , Cinzia Soresina

Barchans are isolated mobile dunes often organized in large dune fields. Dune fields seem to present a characteristic dune size and spacing, which suggests a cooperative behavior based on dune interaction. In Duran et al. (2009), we propose…

软凝聚态物质 · 物理学 2011-05-20 Orencio Durán , Veit Schwämmle , Pedro G. Lind , Hans J. Herrmann

The forest fire model is a reaction-diffusion model where energy, in the form of trees, is injected uniformly, and burned (dissipated) locally. We show that the spatial distribution of fires forms a novel geometric structure where the…

统计力学 · 物理学 2009-10-31 Kan Chen , Per Bak

We study the mechanisms of pattern formation for vegetation dynamics in water-limited regions. Our analysis is based on a set of two partial differential equations (PDEs) of reaction-diffusion type for the biomass and water and one ordinary…