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Deep latent generative models have attracted increasing attention due to the capacity of combining the strengths of deep learning and probabilistic models in an elegant way. The data representations learned with the models are often…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2023-04-04 Zhao Xu , Daniel Onoro Rubio , Giuseppe Serra , Mathias Niepert

Recent advances in the estimation of deep directed graphical models and recurrent networks let us contribute to the removal of a blind spot in the area of probabilistc modelling of time series. The proposed methods i) can infer distributed…

机器学习 · 统计学 2014-10-01 Justin Bayer , Christian Osendorfer

The information bottleneck framework provides a systematic approach to learning representations that compress nuisance information in the input and extract semantically meaningful information about predictions. However, the choice of a…

In variational inference, the benefits of Bayesian models rely on accurately capturing the true posterior distribution. We propose using neural samplers that specify implicit distributions, which are well-suited for approximating complex…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2023-11-10 Anshuk Uppal , Kristoffer Stensbo-Smidt , Wouter Boomsma , Jes Frellsen

This paper proposes an information-based inference method for partially identified parameters in incomplete models that is valid both when the model is correctly specified and when it is misspecified. Key features of the method are: (i) it…

计量经济学 · 经济学 2026-02-25 Hiroaki Kaido , Francesca Molinari

This paper develops an approach to inference in a linear regression model when the number of potential explanatory variables is larger than the sample size. The approach treats each regression coefficient in turn as the interest parameter,…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2022-11-14 Heather S. Battey , Nancy Reid

We study the problem of estimating from data, a sparse approximation to the inverse covariance matrix. Estimating a sparsity constrained inverse covariance matrix is a key component in Gaussian graphical model learning, but one that is…

机器学习 · 统计学 2011-06-28 Suvrit Sra , Dongmin Kim

We establish a general form of explicit, input-dependent, measure-valued warpings for learning nonstationary kernels. While stationary kernels are ubiquitous and simple to use, they struggle to adapt to functions that vary in smoothness…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2020-10-12 Anthony Tompkins , Rafael Oliveira , Fabio Ramos

Modern applications of Bayesian inference involve models that are sufficiently complex that the corresponding posterior distributions are intractable and must be approximated. The most common approximation is based on Markov chain Monte…

机器学习 · 统计学 2019-05-15 Yue Yang , Ryan Martin , Howard Bondell

Learning to sample from intractable distributions over discrete sets without relying on corresponding training data is a central problem in a wide range of fields, including Combinatorial Optimization. Currently, popular deep learning-based…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2025-08-25 Sebastian Sanokowski , Sepp Hochreiter , Sebastian Lehner

Various approaches to stochastic processes exist, noting that key properties such as measurability and continuity are not trivially satisfied. We introduce a new theory for Gaussian processes using improper linear functionals. Using a…

统计理论 · 数学 2020-10-15 Niels Lundtorp Olsen

For statistical inference on regression models with a diverging number of covariates, the existing literature typically makes sparsity assumptions on the inverse of the Fisher information matrix. Such assumptions, however, are often…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2021-06-08 Lu Xia , Bin Nan , Yi Li

We study pointwise estimation and uncertainty quantification for a sparse variational Gaussian process method with eigenvector inducing variables. For a rescaled Brownian motion prior, we derive theoretical guarantees and limitations for…

统计理论 · 数学 2023-11-01 Luke Travis , Kolyan Ray

We show that the Kullback-Leibler distance is a good measure of the statistical uncertainty of correlation matrices estimated by using a finite set of data. For correlation matrices of multivariate Gaussian variables we analytically…

数据分析、统计与概率 · 物理学 2008-12-02 Michele Tumminello , Fabrizio Lillo , Rosario Nunzio Mantegna

Gaussian process (GP) models form a core part of probabilistic machine learning. Considerable research effort has been made into attacking three issues with GP models: how to compute efficiently when the number of data is large; how to…

Robustness to outliers is a central issue in real-world machine learning applications. While replacing a model to a heavy-tailed one (e.g., from Gaussian to Student-t) is a standard approach for robustification, it can only be applied to…

机器学习 · 统计学 2018-03-01 Futoshi Futami , Issei Sato , Masashi Sugiyama

We present the first framework for Gaussian-process-modulated Poisson processes when the temporal data appear in the form of panel counts. Panel count data frequently arise when experimental subjects are observed only at discrete time…

机器学习 · 统计学 2018-03-13 Hongyi Ding , Young Lee , Issei Sato , Masashi Sugiyama

Although there is a rich literature on methods for allowing the variance in a univariate regression model to vary with predictors, time and other factors, relatively little has been done in the multivariate case. Our focus is on developing…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2015-03-17 Emily Fox , David Dunson

This paper studies nonparametric series estimation and inference for the effect of a single variable of interest x on an outcome y in the presence of potentially high-dimensional conditioning variables z. The context is an additively…

统计理论 · 数学 2020-04-07 Damian Kozbur

Stochastic variational inference for collapsed models has recently been successfully applied to large scale topic modelling. In this paper, we propose a stochastic collapsed variational inference algorithm in the sequential data setting.…

机器学习 · 统计学 2015-12-08 Pengyu Wang , Phil Blunsom
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