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相关论文: On Robustness of the Shiryaev-Roberts Procedure fo…

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We propose a numerical method to evaluate the performance of the emerging Generalized Shiryaev--Roberts (GSR) change-point detection procedure in a "minimax-ish" multi-cyclic setup where the procedure of choice is applied repetitively…

统计计算 · 统计学 2013-12-19 Aleksey S. Polunchenko , Grigory Sokolov , Wenyu Du

Change-of-measure is a powerful technique used across statistics, probability and analysis. Particularly known as Wald's likelihood ratio identity, the technique enabled the proof of a number of exact and asymptotic optimality results…

统计计算 · 统计学 2013-10-16 Aleksey S. Polunchenko , Grigory Sokolov , Wenyu Du

Assume that there are multiple data streams (channels, sensors) and in each stream the process of interest produces generally dependent and non-identically distributed observations. When the process is in a normal mode (in-control), the…

统计理论 · 数学 2018-07-25 Alexander Tartakovsky

We consider the simple changepoint problem setting, where observations are independent, iid pre-change and iid post-change, with known pre- and post-change distributions. The Shiryaev-Roberts detection procedure is known to be…

统计理论 · 数学 2010-06-07 Moshe Pollak , Alexander G. Tartakovsky

We consider a sequential Bayesian changepoint detection problem for a general stochastic model, assuming that the observed data may be dependent and non-identically distributed and the prior distribution of the change point is arbitrary,…

统计理论 · 数学 2016-01-15 Alexander G. Tartakovsky

In this paper, we study the quickest change detection with mismatched post-change models. A change point is the time instant at which the distribution of a random process changes. The objective of quickest change detection is to minimize…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2016-01-27 Jingxian Wu , Jing Yang

We consider the problem of efficient on-line anomaly detection in computer network traffic. The problem is approached statistically, as that of sequential (quickest) changepoint detection. A multi-cyclic setting of quickest change detection…

应用统计 · 统计学 2013-07-23 Alexander G. Tartakovsky , Aleksey S. Polunchenko , Grigory Sokolov

A weighted Shiryaev-Roberts change detection procedure is shown to approximately minimize the expected delay to detection as well as higher moments of the detection delay among all change-point detection procedures with the given low…

统计理论 · 数学 2019-09-04 Serguei Pergamenchtchikov , Alexander G. Tartakovsky

In this paper, the problem of quickly detecting an abrupt change on a stochastic process under Bayesian framework is considered. Different from the classic Bayesian quickest change-point detection problem, this paper considers the case…

信息论 · 计算机科学 2017-08-24 Jun Geng , Erhan Bayraktar , Lifeng Lai

We consider the problem of efficient financial surveillance aimed at "on-the-go" detection of structural breaks (anomalies) in "live"-monitored financial time series. With the problem approached statistically, viz. as that of multi-cyclic…

应用统计 · 统计学 2015-12-04 Andrey Pepelyshev , Aleksey S. Polunchenko

We address the sequential change-point detection problem for the Gaussian model where baseline distribution is Gaussian with variance \sigma^2 and mean \mu such that \sigma^2=a\mu, where a>0 is a known constant; the change is in \mu from…

The paper addresses a sequential changepoint detection problem for a general stochastic model, assuming that the observed data may be non-i.i.d. (i.e., dependent and non-identically distributed) and the prior distribution of the change…

统计理论 · 数学 2018-07-25 Alexander G. Tartakovsky

The problem of detecting a change in the drift of a Brownian motion is considered. The change point is assumed to have a modified exponential prior distribution with unknown parameters. A worst-case analysis with respect to these parameters…

统计理论 · 数学 2016-10-11 Taposh Banerjee , George V. Moustakides

We consider the quickest change-point detection problem where the aim is to detect the onset of a pre-specified drift in "live"-monitored standard Brownian motion; the change-point is assumed unknown (nonrandom). The object of interest is…

统计理论 · 数学 2016-04-19 Aleksey S. Polunchenko

We consider the quickest change-point detection problem in pointwise and minimax settings for general dependent data models. Two new classes of sequential detection procedures associated with the maximal "local" probability of a false alarm…

统计理论 · 数学 2016-01-18 Serguei M. Pergamenchtchikov , Alexander G. Tartakovsky

This paper investigates change point detection in state space models, in which the pre-change distribution $f^{\theta_0}$ is given, while the poster distribution $f^{\theta}$ after change is unknown. The problem is to raise an alarm as soon…

概率论 · 数学 2019-06-11 Cheng-Der Fuh

Several variations of the Shiryaev-Roberts detection procedure in the context of the simple changepoint problem are considered: starting the procedure at $R_0=0$ (the original Shiryaev-Roberts procedure), at $R_0=r$ for fixed $r>0$, and at…

统计理论 · 数学 2015-03-17 Alexander G. Tartakovsky , Moshe Pollak , Aleksey S. Polunchenko

The problem of quickest detection of a change in the distribution of a sequence of random variables is studied. The objective is to detect the change with the minimum possible delay, subject to constraints on the rate of false alarms and…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2024-12-31 Yingze Hou , Hoda Bidkhori , Taposh Banerjee

We consider the problem of quickest change-point detection where the observations form a first-order autoregressive (AR) process driven by temporally independent standard Gaussian noise. Subject to possible change are both the drift of the…

统计计算 · 统计学 2017-06-06 Aleksey S. Polunchenko , Vasanthan Raghavan

For the most popular sequential change detection rules such as CUSUM, EWMA, and the Shiryaev-Roberts test, we develop integral equations and a concise numerical method to compute a number of performance metrics, including average detection…

统计计算 · 统计学 2011-09-15 George V. Moustakides , Aleksey S. Polunchenko , Alexander G. Tartakovsky
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