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We consider a discrete time stochastic model with infinite variance and study the mean estimation problem as in Wang and Ramdas (2023). We refine the Catoni-type confidence sequence (abbr. CS) and use an idea of Bhatt et al. (2022) to…

统计理论 · 数学 2024-09-10 Chengfu Wei , Jordan Stoyanov , Yiming Chen , Zijun Chen

In this paper, we provide a general methodology to draw statistical inferences on individual signal coordinates or linear combinations of them in sparse phase retrieval. Given an initial estimator for the targeting parameter (some simple…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2020-09-29 Yisha Yao

We consider the problem of estimating confidence intervals for the mean of a random variable, where the goal is to produce the smallest possible interval for a given number of samples. While minimax optimal algorithms are known for this…

机器学习 · 统计学 2020-06-19 Shengjia Zhao , Christopher Yeh , Stefano Ermon

The purpose of this paper is to construct confidence intervals for the regression coefficients in the Fine-Gray model for competing risks data with random censoring, where the number of covariates can be larger than the sample size. Despite…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2019-04-10 Jue Hou , Jelena Bradic , Ronghui Xu

Prediction intervals are a valuable way of quantifying uncertainty in regression problems. Good prediction intervals should be both correct, containing the actual value between the lower and upper bound at least a target percentage of the…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2018-07-02 Dongqi Su , Ying Yin Ting , Jason Ansel

Income inequality is an important issue that has to be solved in order to make progress in our society. The study of income inequality is well received through the Gini coefficient, which is used to measure degrees of inequality in general.…

综合经济学 · 经济学 2025-06-26 Wanetha Sudswong , Anon Plangprasopchok , Chainarong Amornbunchornvej

In this paper, we derive an explicit formula for constructing the confidence interval of binomial parameter with guaranteed coverage probability. The formula overcomes the limitation of normal approximation which is asymptotic in nature and…

统计理论 · 数学 2008-05-12 Xinjia Chen , Kemin Zhou , Jorge L. Aravena

The categorical Gini correlation, $\rho_g$, was proposed by Dang et al. to measure the dependence between a categorical variable, $Y$ , and a numerical variable, $X$. It has been shown that $\rho_g$ has more appealing properties than…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2023-10-17 Sameera Hewage , Yongli Sang

In the analysis of survey data it is of interest to estimate and quantify uncertainty about means or totals for each of several non-overlapping subpopulations, or areas. When the sample size for a given area is small, standard confidence…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2018-09-26 Kyle Burris , Peter Hoff

The Gini score is a popular tool in statistical modeling and machine learning for model validation and model selection. It is a purely rank based score that allows one to assess risk rankings. The Gini score for statistical modeling has…

机器学习 · 统计学 2025-11-20 Alexej Brauer , Mario V. Wüthrich

This paper introduces Conformal Thresholded Intervals (CTI), a novel conformal regression method that aims to produce the smallest possible prediction set with guaranteed coverage. Unlike existing methods that rely on nested conformal…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2025-01-03 Rui Luo , Zhixin Zhou

We propose a new method to approximate the posterior distribution of probabilistic programs by means of computing guaranteed bounds. The starting point of our work is an interval-based trace semantics for a recursive, higher-order…

编程语言 · 计算机科学 2022-06-07 Raven Beutner , Luke Ong , Fabian Zaiser

We consider the problem of finding a proper confidence interval for the mean based on a single observation from a normal distribution with both mean and variance unknown. Portnoy (2017) characterizes the scale-sign invariant rules and shows…

统计理论 · 数学 2018-05-15 Stephen Portnoy

The construction of confidence intervals for the mean of a bounded random variable is a classical problem in statistics with numerous applications in machine learning and virtually all scientific fields. In particular, obtaining the…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2025-11-12 Václav Voráček , Francesco Orabona

In this study, we extend the research on the dynamic poverty indexes, namely the dynamic Headcount ratio, the dynamic income-gap ratio, the dynamic Gini and the dynamic Sen, proposed in D'Amico and Regnault (2018). The contribution is…

计量经济学 · 经济学 2020-06-12 Guglielmo D'Amico , Riccardo De Blasis , Philippe Regnault

In this paper, we develop statistical inference techniques for the unknown coefficient functions and single-index parameters in single-index varying-coefficient models. We first estimate the nonparametric component via the local linear…

统计理论 · 数学 2012-07-26 Liugen Xue , Qihua Wang

Data following an interval structure are increasingly prevalent in many scientific applications. In medicine, clinical events are often monitored between two clinical visits, making the exact time of the event unknown and generating…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2025-04-01 Carlos García Meixide , Michael R. Kosorok , Marcos Matabuena

In statistical inference, confidence set procedures are typically evaluated based on their validity and width properties. Even when procedures achieve rate-optimal widths, confidence sets can still be excessively wide in practice due to…

统计理论 · 数学 2025-03-20 Kenta Takatsu

We study the empirical likelihood approach to construct confidence intervals for the optimal value and the optimality gap of a given solution, henceforth quantify the statistical uncertainty of sample average approximation, for optimization…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2016-10-25 Henry Lam , Enlu Zhou

In several recent works on infinite-dimensional systems of ODEs \cite{cao_derivation_2021,cao_explicit_2021,cao_iterative_2024,cao_sticky_2024}, which arise from the mean-field limit of agent-based models in economics and social sciences…

数理金融 · 定量金融 2024-09-24 Fei Cao