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We introduce the notion of p*-values (p*-variables), which generalizes p-values (p-variables) in several senses. The new notion has four natural interpretations: operational, probabilistic, Bayesian, and frequentist. A main example of a…

统计理论 · 数学 2022-02-24 Ruodu Wang

This article is an introduction to newly discovered relations between volumes of moduli spaces of Riemann surfaces or super Riemann surfaces, simple models of gravity or supergravity in two dimensions, and random matrix ensembles. (The…

辛几何 · 数学 2020-07-07 Edward Witten

Statistical models with latent structure have a history going back to the 1950s and have seen widespread use in the social sciences and, more recently, in computational biology and in machine learning. Here we study the basic latent class…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2007-09-25 S. E. Fienberg , P. Hersh , A. Rinaldo , Y. Zhou

Some Goedel centenary reflections on whether incompleteness is really serious, and whether mathematics should be done somewhat differently, based on using algorithmic complexity measured in bits of information. [Enriques lecture given…

历史与综述 · 数学 2007-05-23 G. J. Chaitin

In this essay, I attempt to provide supporting evidence as well as some balance for the thesis on `Transforming socio-economics with a new epistemology' presented by Hollingworth and Mueller (2008). First, I review a personal highlight of…

物理与社会 · 物理学 2014-08-26 D. Sornette

We study the probability that a random polynomial with integer coefficients is reducible when factored over the rational numbers. Using computer-generated data, we investigate a number of different models, including both monic and non-monic…

Master equations are of fundamental importance in modeling stochastic dynamical systems.However, solving master equations is challenging due to the exponential increase in the number of possible states or trajectories with the dimension of…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2024-02-27 Chuanbo Liu , Jin Wang

Mathematical reasoning in large language models (LMs) has garnered significant attention in recent work, but there is a limited understanding of how these models process and store information related to arithmetic tasks within their…

计算与语言 · 计算机科学 2023-10-23 Alessandro Stolfo , Yonatan Belinkov , Mrinmaya Sachan

Over the last decades, a class of important mathematical results have required an ever increasing amount of human effort to carry out. For some, the help of computers is now indispensable. We analyze the implications of this trend towards…

数学软件 · 计算机科学 2019-10-23 Jacques Carette , William M. Farmer , Michael Kohlhase , Florian Rabe

Chess championships are often organised as a Swiss-system tournament, causing great challenges in ranking the participants due to the different strength of schedules and possible circular triads. The paper suggests that pairwise comparison…

应用统计 · 统计学 2016-11-03 Lászlo Csató

Counting experiments often rely on Monte Carlo simulations for predictions of Poisson expectations. The accompanying uncertainty from the finite Monte Carlo sample size can be incorporated into parameter estimation by modifying the Poisson…

天体物理仪器与方法 · 物理学 2020-04-22 Thorsten Glüsenkamp

Since its debut in the 18th century, the P-value has been an important part of hypothesis testing-based scientific discoveries. As the statistical engine accelerates, questions are beginning to be raised, asking to what extent scientific…

Embeddings play a pivotal role across various disciplines, offering compact representations of complex data structures. Randomized methods like Johnson-Lindenstrauss (JL) provide state-of-the-art and essentially unimprovable theoretical…

机器学习 · 统计学 2024-12-11 Nikos Tsikouras , Constantine Caramanis , Christos Tzamos

For several years, students visit us on different occasions at the university. But how to bridge from the school curriculum to the contents of the university mathematics? And how to find a focal point at which an active contribute, despite…

最优化与控制 · 数学 2016-03-26 Miriam Kießling , Sascha Kurz , Tobias Kreisel , Jörg Rambau , Konra Schade , Cornelius Schwarz

This is the Habilitation Thesis manuscript presented at Besan\c{c}on on January 5, focusing on Matrix Analysis, Matrix Inequalities and Matrix Decompositions. There are also some topics in (Hilbert space) Operator Theory. The text should be…

泛函分析 · 数学 2023-07-07 Jean-Christophe Bourin

A master equation approach to the numerical solution of option pricing models is developed. The basic idea of the approach is to consider the Black--Scholes equation as the macroscopic equation of an underlying mesoscopic stochastic option…

统计力学 · 物理学 2009-11-07 Daniel Faller , Francesco Petruccione

Maximum likelihood (ML) estimation is widely used in statistics. The h-likelihood has been proposed as an extension of Fisher's likelihood to statistical models including unobserved latent variables of recent interest. Its advantage is that…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2022-07-21 Jeongseop Han , Youngjo Lee , Jae Kwang Kim

In the footsteps of the book \textit{Measure Theory and Integration By and For the Learner} of our series in Probability Theory and Statistics, we intended to devote a special volume of the very probabilistic aspects of the first cited…

概率论 · 数学 2018-08-07 Gane Samb Lo

This is an up-to-date introduction to, and overview of, marginal likelihood computation for model selection and hypothesis testing. Computing normalizing constants of probability models (or ratio of constants) is a fundamental issue in many…

统计计算 · 统计学 2023-02-13 Fernando Llorente , Luca Martino , David Delgado , Javier Lopez-Santiago

We treat the stochastic equation for large N master fields proposed by Greensite and Halpern using a construction of master fields modelled after work of Voiculescu, and show that it contains the same information as the usual factorized…

高能物理 - 理论 · 物理学 2009-10-28 Michael R. Douglas