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Risk assessment is an inevitable step in implementation of a cyber-defense strategy. An important part of this assessment is to reason about the impact of possible attacks. In this paper, we propose a framework for estimating the impact of…

系统与控制 · 计算机科学 2019-11-26 Jezdimir Milosevic , Henrik Sandberg , Karl Henrik Johansson

The accelerated development of social media websites has posed intricate security issues in cyberspace, where these sites have increasingly become victims of criminal activities including attempts to intrude into them, abnormal traffic…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2026-01-07 Aditi Sanjay Agrawal

The lack of high-quality public cyber incident data limits empirical research and predictive modeling for cyber risk assessment. This challenge persists due to the reluctance of companies to disclose incidents that could damage their…

风险管理 · 定量金融 2026-03-20 Jiayi Guo , Zhiyu Quan , Linfeng Zhang

Temporal network analysis and time evolution of network characteristics are powerful tools in describing the changing topology of dynamic networks. This paper uses such approaches to better visualize and provide analytical measures for the…

多智能体系统 · 计算机科学 2021-10-04 N. DiBrita , K. Eledlebi , H. Hildmann , L. Culley , A. F. Isakovic

The exponential growth of Common Vulnerabilities and Exposures (CVE) disclosures poses significant challenges for enterprise security management, necessitating automated and quantitative risk assessment methodologies. Existing vulnerability…

密码学与安全 · 计算机科学 2026-04-09 Wanru Shao

Attack graphs are one of the main techniques used to automate the risk assessment process. In order to derive a relevant attack graph, up-to-date information on known attack techniques should be represented as interaction rules. Designing…

密码学与安全 · 计算机科学 2020-08-12 Hodaya Binyamini , Ron Bitton , Masaki Inokuchi , Tomohiko Yagyu , Yuval Elovici , Asaf Shabtai

In this paper, we study the problem of assessing the effectiveness of a proactive defense-by-detection policy with a network-based moving target defense. We model the network system using a probabilistic attack graph--a graphical security…

密码学与安全 · 计算机科学 2020-07-10 Zhentian Qian , Jie Fu , Quanyan Zhu

Advanced Persistent Threats (APTs) are a main impendence in cyber security of computer networks. In 2015, a successful breach remains undetected 146 days on average, reported by [Fi16].With our work we demonstrate a feasible and fast way to…

数据库 · 计算机科学 2018-02-02 Timo Schindler

We propose a novel framework for modelling attack scenarios in cyber-physical control systems: we represent a cyber-physical system as a constrained switching system, where a single model embeds the dynamics of the physical process, the…

系统与控制 · 电气工程与系统科学 2023-01-02 Eleftherios Vlahakis , Gregory Provan , Gordon Werner , Shanchieh Yang , Nikolaos Athanasopoulos

We develop a queueing-theoretic framework to model the temporal evolution of cyber-attack surfaces, where the number of active vulnerabilities is represented as the backlog of a queue. Vulnerabilities arrive as they are discovered or…

密码学与安全 · 计算机科学 2026-04-17 Jihyeon Yun , Abdullah Yasin Etcibasi , Ming Shi , C. Emre Koksal

Signed graphs are widely used to analyze complex systems such as social, political, and biological networks. The notion of balance, a key concept of signed graphs, reflects the stability of relationships. While it has been extensively…

数据结构与算法 · 计算机科学 2026-05-19 Zeyu Wang , Kudria Sergei , Jingbang Chen , Jiawei Chen , Xinyu Wang , Xiaodong Luo , Can Wang

Modern cyber attackers use advanced zero-day exploits, highly targeted spear phishing, and other social engineering techniques to gain access and also use evasion techniques to maintain a prolonged presence within the victim network while…

密码学与安全 · 计算机科学 2023-10-03 Bibek Bhattarai , H. Howie Huang

As cybersecurity threats continue to evolve, the need for advanced tools to analyze and understand complex cyber environments has become increasingly critical. Graph theory offers a powerful framework for modeling relationships within cyber…

密码学与安全 · 计算机科学 2025-04-25 Goksel Kucukkaya , Murat Ozer , Kazim Ciris

In this paper we develop a novel hidden Markov graphical model to investigate time-varying interconnectedness between different financial markets. To identify conditional correlation structures under varying market conditions and…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2024-12-06 Beatrice Foroni , Luca Merlo , Lea Petrella

We live in a world increasingly dominated by networks -- communications, social, information, biological etc. A central attribute of many of these networks is that they are dynamic, that is, they exhibit structural changes over time. While…

网络与互联网体系结构 · 计算机科学 2010-12-02 Prithwish Basu , Amotz Bar-Noy , Ram Ramanathan , Matthew P. Johnson

The rapid advancement of quantum computing poses a significant threat to many current security algorithms used for secure communication, digital authentication, and information encryption. A sufficiently powerful quantum computer could…

Anomaly-based cyber threat detection using deep learning is on a constant growth in popularity for novel cyber-attack detection and forensics. A robust, efficient, and real-time threat detector in a large-scale operational enterprise…

密码学与安全 · 计算机科学 2024-10-30 Krishna Chandra Roy , Qian Chen

We introduce weighted Markovian graphs, a random walk model that decouples the transition dynamics of a Markov chain from (random) edge weights representing the cost of traversing each edge. This decoupling allows us to study the…

最优化与控制 · 数学 2026-03-30 Thao Le , Robbert van der Burg , Bernd Heidergott , Ines Lindner , Alessandro Zocca

Nowadays, companies are highly exposed to cyber security threats. In many industrial domains, protective measures are being deployed and actively supported by standards. However the global process remains largely dependent on document…

密码学与安全 · 计算机科学 2024-09-13 Christophe Ponsard

Most current studies estimate the invulnerability of complex networks using a qualitative method that analyzes the inaccurate decay rate of network efficiency. This method results in confusion over the invulnerability of various types of…

社会与信息网络 · 计算机科学 2014-02-18 Jun Qin , Hongrun Wu , Xiaonian Tong , Bojin Zheng