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In many practical situations, randomly assigning treatments to subjects is uncommon due to feasibility constraints. For example, economic aid programs and merit-based scholarships are often restricted to those meeting specific income or…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2025-04-25 Kevin Christian Wibisono , Debarghya Mukherjee , Moulinath Banerjee , Ya'acov Ritov

Analyzing data from multiple sources offers valuable opportunities to improve the estimation efficiency of causal estimands. However, this analysis also poses many challenges due to population heterogeneity and data privacy constraints.…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2025-10-23 Rong Zhao , Jason Falvey , Xu Shi , Vernon M. Chinchilli , Chixiang Chen

BART (Bayesian Additive Regression Trees) has become increasingly popular as a flexible and scalable nonparametric regression approach for modern applied statistics problems. For the practitioner dealing with large and complex nonlinear…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2018-07-11 Matthew Pratola , Hugh Chipman , Edward George , Robert McCulloch

In estimating the effects of a treatment/policy with a network, an unit is subject to two types of treatment: one is the direct treatment on the unit itself, and the other is the indirect treatment (i.e., network/spillover influence)…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2025-06-16 Myoung-jae Lee

Randomized trials typically estimate average relative treatment effects, but decisions on the benefit of a treatment are possibly better informed by more individualized predictions of the absolute treatment effect. In case of a binary…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2021-08-20 J Hoogland , J IntHout , M Belias , MM Rovers , RD Riley , FE Harrell , KGM Moons , TPA Debray , JB Reitsma

Evaluating treatment effect heterogeneity across patient subgroups is a fundamental aspect of clinical trial analysis. Yet, these analyses have inherent limitations due to small sample sizes and the substantial number of subgroups…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2026-03-24 Marcel Wolbers , Miriam Pedrera Gómez , Alex Ocampo , Isaac Gravestock

Heterogeneous treatment effect models allow us to compare treatments at subgroup and individual levels, and are of increasing popularity in applications like personalized medicine, advertising, and education. In this talk, we first survey…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2022-01-28 Zijun Gao , Trevor Hastie

In network settings, interference between units makes causal inference more challenging as outcomes may depend on the treatments received by others in the network. Typical estimands in network settings focus on treatment effects aggregated…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2025-07-25 Heejong Bong , Colin B. Fogarty , Elizaveta Levina , Ji Zhu

We develop a Bayesian nonparametric (BNP) approach to evaluate the causal effect of treatment in a randomized trial where a nonterminal event may be censored by a terminal event, but not vice versa (i.e., semi-competing risks). Based on the…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2019-07-23 Yanxun Xu , Daniel Scharfstein , Peter Müller , Michael Daniels

We combine two recently proposed nonparametric difference-in-differences methods, extending them to enable the examination of treatment effect heterogeneity in the staggered adoption setting using machine learning. The proposed method,…

计量经济学 · 经济学 2023-10-19 Julia Hatamyar , Noemi Kreif , Rudi Rocha , Martin Huber

Developing tools for estimating heterogeneous treatment effects (HTE) and individualized treatment effects has been an area of active research in recent years. While these tools have proven to be useful in many contexts, a concern when…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2025-03-07 Mahsa Ashouri , Nicholas C. Henderson

We propose a simple yet powerful extension of Bayesian Additive Regression Trees which we name Hierarchical Embedded BART (HE-BART). The model allows for random effects to be included at the terminal node level of a set of regression trees,…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2023-04-25 Bruna Wundervald , Andrew Parnell , Katarina Domijan

Random forests are a powerful method for non-parametric regression, but are limited in their ability to fit smooth signals, and can show poor predictive performance in the presence of strong, smooth effects. Taking the perspective of random…

机器学习 · 统计学 2020-09-08 Rina Friedberg , Julie Tibshirani , Susan Athey , Stefan Wager

Bayesian Additive Regression Trees (BART) is a popular Bayesian non-parametric regression model that is commonly used in causal inference and beyond. Its strong predictive performance is supported by well-developed estimation theory,…

机器学习 · 统计学 2026-02-10 Yan Shuo Tan , Omer Ronen , Theo Saarinen , Bin Yu

A major focus of causal inference is the estimation of heterogeneous average treatment effects (HTE) - average treatment effects within strata of another variable of interest such as levels of a biomarker, education, or age strata.…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2023-01-05 Arman Oganisian , Nandita Mitra , Jason Roy

This paper examines the identification and estimation of heterogeneous treatment effects in event studies, emphasizing the importance of both lagged dependent variables and treatment effect heterogeneity. We show that omitting lagged…

计量经济学 · 经济学 2025-09-18 Irene Botosaru , Laura Liu

Many time-to-event studies are complicated by the presence of competing risks. Such data are often analyzed using Cox models for the cause specific hazard function or Fine-Gray models for the subdistribution hazard. In practice regression…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2018-07-02 Rodney Sparapani , Brent R. Logan , Robert E. McCulloch , Purushottam W. Laud

Estimating heterogeneous treatment effects has become increasingly important in many fields and life and death decisions are now based on these estimates: for example, selecting a personalized course of medical treatment. Recently, a…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2019-04-01 Sören R. Künzel , Simon J. S. Walter , Jasjeet S. Sekhon

This paper focuses on the Bayesian Network Propensity Score (BNPS), a novel approach for estimating treatment effects in observational studies characterized by unknown (and likely unbalanced) designs and complex dependency structures among…

Estimating heterogeneous treatment effect is an important task in causal inference with wide application fields. It has also attracted increasing attention from machine learning community in recent years. In this work, we reinterpret the…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2018-10-26 Ran Chen , Hanzhong Liu