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This article proposes an online bootstrap scheme for nonparametric level estimation in nonstationary time series. Our approach applies to a broad class of level estimators expressible as weighted sample averages over time windows, including…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2026-03-02 Thomas Nagler , Tobias Brock , Nicolai Palm

We establish the asymptotic validity of the bootstrap-based IVX estimator proposed by Phillips and Magdalinos (2009) for the predictive regression model parameter based on a local-to-unity specification of the autoregressive coefficient…

计量经济学 · 经济学 2023-07-28 Christis Katsouris

We derive strong approximations to the supremum of the non-centered empirical process indexed by a possibly unbounded VC-type class of functions by the suprema of the Gaussian and bootstrap processes. The bounds of these approximations are…

统计理论 · 数学 2015-09-08 Victor Chernozhukov , Denis Chetverikov , Kengo Kato

The second-order dependence structure of purely nondeterministic stationary process is described by the coefficients of the famous Wold representation. These coefficients can be obtained by factorizing the spectral density of the process.…

统计理论 · 数学 2017-12-21 Jonas Krampe , Jens-Peter Kreiss , Efstathios Paparoditis

In this paper, we propose a novel bootstrap algorithm that is more efficient than existing methods for approximating the distribution of the factor-augmented regression estimator for a rotated parameter vector. The regression is augmented…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2025-10-02 Peiyun Jiang , Takashi Yamagata

The challenge of noisy multi-objective optimization lies in the constant trade-off between exploring new decision points and improving the precision of known points through resampling. This decision should take into account both the…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2025-04-25 Timo Budszuhn , Mark Joachim Krallmann , Daniel Horn

We consider invariant transports of stationary random measures on $\mathbb{R}^d$ and establish natural mixing criteria that guarantee persistence of asymptotic variances. To check our mixing assumptions, which are based on two-point Palm…

概率论 · 数学 2025-06-09 Michael A. Klatt , Günter Last , Luca Lotz , D. Yogeshwaran

A factor copula model is proposed in which factors are either simulable or estimable from exogenous information. Point estimation and inference are based on a simulated methods of moments (SMM) approach with non-overlapping simulation…

计量经济学 · 经济学 2022-12-02 Alexander Mayer , Dominik Wied

A Bayesian non-parametric framework for studying time-to-event data is proposed, where the prior distribution is allowed to depend on an additional random source, and may update with the sample size. Such scenarios are natural, for…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2025-05-06 Martin Bladt , Jorge González Cázares

The bootstrap is a popular and powerful method for assessing precision of estimators and inferential methods. However, for massive datasets which are increasingly prevalent, the bootstrap becomes prohibitively costly in computation and its…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2015-08-06 Srijan Sengupta , Stanislav Volgushev , Xiaofeng Shao

Discrete random probability measures are a key ingredient of Bayesian nonparametric inferential procedures. A sample generates ties with positive probability and a fundamental object of both theoretical and applied interest is the…

统计理论 · 数学 2021-01-20 Pierpaolo De Blasi , Ramsés H. Mena , Igor Prünster

In this paper, we propose to construct confidence bands by bootstrapping the debiased kernel density estimator (for density estimation) and the debiased local polynomial regression estimator (for regression analysis). The idea of using a…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2019-06-06 Gang Cheng , Yen-Chi Chen

In this paper, we develop a comprehensive asymptotic and bootstrap theory for checkerboard-based estimation of lower and upper tail copulas under unknown marginal distributions. The estimator is constructed via local bilinear (checkerboard)…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2026-05-20 Mayukh Choudhury , Debraj Das , Sujit Ghosh

Strict stationarity is a common assumption used in the time series literature in order to derive asymptotic distributional results for second-order statistics, like sample autocovariances and sample autocorrelations. Focusing on weak…

统计理论 · 数学 2023-02-28 Yunyi Zhang , Efstathios Paparoditis , Dimitris N. Politis

Despite their deterministic nature, dynamical systems often exhibit seemingly random behaviour. Consequently, a dynamical system is usually represented by a probabilistic model of which the unknown parameters must be estimated using…

动力系统 · 数学 2021-08-20 Kasun Fernando , Nan Zou

We derive a new representation for $U$- and $V$-statistics. Using this representation, the asymptotic distribution of $U$- and $V$-statistics can be derived by a direct application of the Continuous Mapping theorem. That novel approach not…

统计理论 · 数学 2014-03-13 Eric Beutner , Henryk Zähle

This paper investigates the theoretical underpinnings of two fundamental statistical inference problems, the construction of confidence sets and large-scale simultaneous hypothesis testing, in the presence of heavy-tailed data. With…

统计理论 · 数学 2019-03-19 Xi Chen , Wen-Xin Zhou

The functional delta-method provides a convenient tool for deriving the asymptotic distribution of a plug-in estimator of a statistical functional from the asymptotic distribution of the respective empirical process. Moreover, it provides a…

统计理论 · 数学 2016-05-05 Eric Beutner , Henryk Zähle

To address the difficult problem of multi-step ahead prediction of non-parametric autoregressions, we consider a forward bootstrap approach. Employing a local constant estimator, we can analyze a general type of non-parametric time series…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2023-11-02 Dimitris N. Politis , Kejin Wu

In high-dimensional time series, the component processes are often assembled into a matrix to display their interrelationship. We focus on detecting mean shifts with unknown change point locations in these matrix time series. Series that…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2024-07-16 Xinyu Zhang , Kung-Sik Chan