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相关论文: Bounding the Probability of Causation in Mediation…

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Using observed language to understand interpersonal interactions is important in high-stakes decision making. We propose a causal research design for observational (non-experimental) data to estimate the natural direct and indirect effects…

计算与语言 · 计算机科学 2021-09-17 Katherine A. Keith , Douglas Rice , Brendan O'Connor

Causal mediation analysis decomposes the total effect of a treatment on an outcome into the indirect effect, operating through the mediator, and the direct effect, operating through other pathways. One can estimate only the pure indirect…

应用统计 · 统计学 2025-07-16 Vindyani Herath , Ronald J. Bosch , Judith J. Lok

The presence of latent variables can greatly complicate inferences about causal relations between measured variables from statistical data. In many cases, the presence of latent variables makes it impossible to determine for two measured…

人工智能 · 计算机科学 2013-03-26 Peter L. Spirtes

The estimation of causal effects using quasiexperiments often relies on the use of unusual or serendipitous sources of exogenous variation. When the goal is estimating the same causal effects across many different settings, the same unusual…

计量经济学 · 经济学 2026-05-26 Nick Huntington-Klein

In experiments that study social phenomena, such as peer influence or herd immunity, the treatment of one unit may influence the outcomes of others. Such "interference between units" violates traditional approaches for causal inference, so…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2023-08-30 David Choi

Causality lays the foundation for the trajectory of our world. Causal inference (CI), which aims to infer intrinsic causal relations among variables of interest, has emerged as a crucial research topic. Nevertheless, the lack of observation…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2024-06-21 Yaochen Zhu , Yinhan He , Jing Ma , Mengxuan Hu , Sheng Li , Jundong Li

Transported mediation effects provide an avenue to understand how upstream interventions (such as improved neighborhood conditions like green spaces) would work differently when applied to different populations as a result of factors that…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2024-03-14 Vishwali Mhasawade , Rumi Chunara

The flow of information reaching us via the online media platforms is optimized not by the information content or relevance but by popularity and proximity to the target. This is typically performed in order to maximise platform usage. As a…

物理与社会 · 物理学 2019-06-19 Alina Sîrbu , Dino Pedreschi , Fosca Giannotti , János Kertész

We study causal inference under case-control and case-population sampling. Specifically, we focus on the binary-outcome and binary-treatment case, where the parameters of interest are causal relative and attributable risks defined via the…

计量经济学 · 经济学 2023-10-24 Sung Jae Jun , Sokbae Lee

Mediation analysis in causal inference typically concentrates on one binary exposure, using deterministic interventions to split the average treatment effect into direct and indirect effects through a single mediator. Yet, real-world…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2023-07-07 David B. McCoy , Alan E. Hubbard , Mark van der Laan , Alejandro Schuler

We describe the interface between measure theoretic probability and causal inference by constructing causal models on probability spaces within the potential outcomes framework. We find that measure theory provides a precise and instructive…

统计理论 · 数学 2019-07-04 Irineo Cabreros , John D. Storey

Distinguishing causal connections from correlations is important in many scenarios. However, the presence of unobserved variables, such as the latent confounder, can introduce bias in conditional independence testing commonly employed in…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2024-05-03 Mingzhou Liu , Xinwei Sun , Yu Qiao , Yizhou Wang

The possibility of unmeasured confounding is one of the main limitations for causal inference from observational studies. There are different methods for (partially) empirically assessing the plausibility of unconfoundedness. However, most…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2025-10-28 Fernando Pires Hartwig , Kate Tilling , George Davey Smith

Mediation analysis is widely used in health science research to evaluate the extent to which an intermediate variable explains an observed exposure-outcome relationship. However, the validity of analysis can be compromised when the exposure…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2025-03-06 Chao Cheng , Donna Spiegelman , Fan Li

In contrast to evaluating treatment effects, causal attribution analysis focuses on identifying the key factors responsible for an observed outcome. For two binary exposure variables and a binary outcome variable, researchers need to assess…

应用统计 · 统计学 2026-01-21 Shanshan Luo , Wei Li , Xueli Wang , Shaojie Wei , Zhi Geng

Adjusting for latent covariates is crucial for estimating causal effects from observational textual data. Most existing methods only account for confounding covariates that affect both treatment and outcome, potentially leading to biased…

计算与语言 · 计算机科学 2023-11-27 Yuxiang Zhou , Yulan He

Causal effect estimation from observational data is one of the essential problems in causal inference. However, most estimation methods rely on the strong assumption that all confounders are observed, which is impractical and untestable in…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2023-02-14 Yubai Yuan , Annie Qu

Although the existing causal inference literature focuses on the forward-looking perspective by estimating effects of causes, the backward-looking perspective can provide insights into causes of effects. In backward-looking causal…

统计理论 · 数学 2025-08-26 Chao Zhang , Zhi Geng , Wei Li , Peng Ding

Machine Learning explainability techniques have been proposed as a means of `explaining' or interrogating a model in order to understand why a particular decision or prediction has been made. Such an ability is especially important at a…

机器学习 · 统计学 2022-02-28 Matthew J. Vowels

Probabilities of causation (PoCs) are fundamental quantities for counterfactual analysis and personalized decision making. However, existing analytical results are largely confined to binary settings. This paper extends PoCs to multi-valued…

人工智能 · 计算机科学 2026-02-02 Xin Shu , Shuai Wang , Ang Li