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Model monitoring is a critical component of the machine learning lifecycle, safeguarding against undetected drops in the model's performance after deployment. Traditionally, performance monitoring has required access to ground truth labels,…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2026-03-10 Juhani Kivimäki , Jakub Białek , Wojtek Kuberski , Jukka K. Nurminen

Reward models play an essential role in training vision-language models (VLMs) by assessing output quality to enable aligning with human preferences. Despite their importance, the research community lacks comprehensive open benchmarks for…

计算机视觉与模式识别 · 计算机科学 2025-02-21 Michihiro Yasunaga , Luke Zettlemoyer , Marjan Ghazvininejad

An important tool to evaluate the performance of any design is an optimal benchmark proposed by O'Quigley and others (2002, Biostatistics 3(1), 51-56) that provides an upper bound on the performance of a design under a given scenario. The…

统计理论 · 数学 2018-03-06 Pavel Mozgunov , Thomas Jaki , Xavier Paoletti

This paper addresses the challenge of model uncertainty in quantitative finance, where decisions in portfolio allocation, derivative pricing, and risk management rely on estimating stochastic models from limited data. In practice, the…

计算金融 · 定量金融 2025-06-10 Hans Buehler , Blanka Horvath , Yannick Limmer , Thorsten Schmidt

Multiple Choice Question (MCQ) answering is a widely used method for evaluating the performance of Large Language Models (LLMs). However, LLMs often exhibit selection bias in MCQ tasks, where their choices are influenced by factors like…

计算与语言 · 计算机科学 2025-12-01 Blessed Guda , Lawrence Francis , Gabrial Zencha Ashungafac , Carlee Joe-Wong , Moise Busogi

Complex biological processes are usually experimented along time among a collection of individuals. Longitudinal data are then available and the statistical challenge is to better understand the underlying biological mechanisms. The…

统计理论 · 数学 2015-06-11 Pierre Barbillon , Célia Barthélémy , Adeline Samson

Quantile regression is a powerful tool for detecting exposure-outcome associations given covariates across different parts of the outcome's distribution, but has two major limitations when the aim is to infer the effect of an exposure.…

When outcomes are missing for reasons beyond an investigator's control, there are two different ways to adjust a parameter estimate for covariates that may be related both to the outcome and to missingness. One approach is to model the…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2008-12-18 Joseph D. Y. Kang , Joseph L. Schafer

In the presence of multiscale dynamics in a reaction network, direct simulation methods become inefficient as they can only advance the system on the smallest scale. This work presents stochastic averaging techniques to accelerate…

概率论 · 数学 2016-03-23 Araz Hashemi , Marcel Nunez , Petr Plechac , Dionisios G. Vlachos

This paper develops new insights into quantitative methods for the validation of computational model prediction. Four types of methods are investigated, namely classical and Bayesian hypothesis testing, a reliability-based method, and an…

数据分析、统计与概率 · 物理学 2012-06-25 You Ling , Sankaran Mahadevan

It is well documented that NLP models learn social biases, but little work has been done on how these biases manifest in model outputs for applied tasks like question answering (QA). We introduce the Bias Benchmark for QA (BBQ), a dataset…

Engineers are often faced with the decision to select the most appropriate model for simulating the behavior of engineered systems, among a candidate set of models. Experimental monitoring data can generate significant value by supporting…

应用统计 · 统计学 2023-10-17 Antonios Kamariotis , Eleni Chatzi

We present a Quality-Diversity benchmark suite for Deep Neuroevolution in Reinforcement Learning domains for robot control. The suite includes the definition of tasks, environments, behavioral descriptors, and fitness. We specify different…

神经与进化计算 · 计算机科学 2022-11-07 Manon Flageat , Bryan Lim , Luca Grillotti , Maxime Allard , Simón C. Smith , Antoine Cully

Confounding and exposure measurement error can introduce bias when drawing inference about the marginal effect of an exposure on an outcome of interest. While there are broad methodologies for addressing each source of bias individually,…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2025-01-29 Brian D. Richardson , Bryan S. Blette , Peter B. Gilbert , Michael G. Hudgens

Meta-analysis is a statistical method used in evidence synthesis for combining, analyzing and summarizing studies that have the same target endpoint and aims to derive a pooled quantitative estimate using fixed and random effects models or…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2022-04-25 Ivette Raices Cruz , Matthias C. M. Troffaes , Johan Lindström , Ullrika Sahlin

Prediction models are used amongst others to inform medical decisions on interventions. Typically, individuals with high risks of adverse outcomes are advised to undergo an intervention while those at low risk are advised to refrain from…

In 1951 Robbins and Monro published the seminal article on stochastic approximation and made a specific reference to its application to the "estimation of a quantal using response, nonresponse data." Since the 1990s, statistical methodology…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2010-11-30 Ying Kuen Cheung

An accurately identified maximum tolerated dose (MTD) serves as the cornerstone of successful subsequent phases in oncology drug development. Bayesian logistic regression model (BLRM) is a popular and versatile model-based dose-finding…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2021-05-17 Hongtao Zhang , Alan Y Chiang , Jixian Wang

We consider two problems that are attracting increasing attention in clinical dose finding studies. First, we assess the similarity of two non-linear regression models for two non-overlapping subgroups of patients over a restricted…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2017-09-12 Frank Bretz , Kathrin Möllenhoff , Holger Dette , Wei Liu , Matthias Trampisch

Estimating percentiles of black-box deterministic functions with random inputs is a challenging task when the number of function evaluations is severely restricted, which is typical for computer experiments. This article proposes two new…

统计理论 · 数学 2016-05-23 T Labopin-Richard , V Picheny