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Portfolio optimization constitutes a cornerstone of risk management by quantifying the risk-return trade-off. Since it inherently depends on accurate parameter estimation under conditions of future uncertainty, the selection of appropriate…

投资组合管理 · 定量金融 2025-08-15 Juchan Kim , Inwoo Tae , Yongjae Lee

We study an optimal dividend problem under a bankruptcy constraint. Firms face a trade-off between potential bankruptcy and extraction of profits. In contrast to previous works, general cash flow drifts, including Ornstein--Uhlenbeck and…

最优化与控制 · 数学 2018-03-05 Max Reppen , Jean-Charles Rochet , H. Mete Soner

In this paper, we study two classes of optimal reinsurance models from perspectives of both insurers and reinsurers by minimizing their convex combination where the risk is measured by a distortion risk measure and the premium is given by a…

风险管理 · 定量金融 2018-07-19 Yuxia Huang , Chuancun Yin

We investigate model risk and distributionally robust optimization (DRO) under marginal and martingale constraints. Building on our previous work, we address the previously open case of static hedging with second-period maturity vanilla…

概率论 · 数学 2026-01-29 Nathan Sauldubois

A retention strategy based on an enlightened lapse model is a powerful profitabilitylever for a life insurer. Some machine learning models are excellent at predicting lapse,but from the insurer's perspective, predicting which policyholder…

统计理论 · 数学 2023-07-14 Mathias Valla , Xavier Milhaud , Anani Ayodélé Olympio

Maintaining the predictive performance of pricing models is challenging when insurance portfolios and data-generating mechanisms evolve over time. Focusing on non-life insurance, we adopt the concept-drift terminology from machine learning…

机器学习 · 统计学 2025-12-09 Alexej Brauer , Paul Menzel , Mario V. Wüthrich

We propose a dependence-aware predictive modeling framework for multivariate risks stemmed from an insurance contract with bundling features - an important type of policy increasingly offered by major insurance companies. The bundling…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2023-10-17 Peng Shi , Zifeng Zhao

We derive valuations of a portfolio of financial instruments from a securities lending perspective, under different assumptions, and show a weighting scheme that converges to the true valuation. We illustrate conditions under which our…

证券定价 · 定量金融 2019-07-23 Ravi Kashyap

We consider a diffusive model for optimally distributing dividends, while allowing for Knightian model ambiguity concerning the drift of the surplus process. We show that the value function is the unique solution of a non-linear…

最优化与控制 · 数学 2021-09-21 Prakash Chakraborty , Asaf Cohen , Virginia R. Young

In this paper we revisit Burnett (2021) \& Burnett and Williams (2021)'s notion of hedging valuation adjustment (HVA), originally intended to deal with dynamic hedging frictions such as transaction costs, in the direction of model risk. The…

证券定价 · 定量金融 2024-08-29 Cyril Bénézet , Stéphane Crépey

Auto-bidding systems aim to maximize advertiser value over long horizons under budget constraints and ratio targets such as cost-per-acquisition, yet future traffic and auction dynamics are non-stationary and uncertain. Existing approaches…

人工智能 · 计算机科学 2026-05-28 Eunseok Yang , Xingdong Zuo , Kyung-Min Kim

We propose a versatile Monte-Carlo method for pricing and hedging options when the market is incomplete, for an arbitrary risk criterion (chosen here to be the expected shortfall), for a large class of stochastic processes, and in the…

凝聚态物理 · 物理学 2007-05-23 Benoît Pochart , Jean-Philippe Bouchaud

This paper studies an optimal insurance contracting problem in which the preferences of the decision maker given by the sum of the expected loss and a convex, increasing function of a deviation measure. As for the deviation measure, our…

风险管理 · 定量金融 2023-12-05 Tim J. Boonen , Xia Han

The existing literature on optimal auctions focuses on optimizing the expected revenue of the seller, and is appropriate for risk-neutral sellers. In this paper, we identify good mechanisms for risk-averse sellers. As is standard in the…

计算机科学与博弈论 · 计算机科学 2010-04-02 Mukund Sundararajan , Qiqi Yan

We study the design of an optimal insurance contract in which the insured maximizes her expected utility and the insurer limits the variance of his risk exposure while maintaining the principle of indemnity and charging the premium…

风险管理 · 定量金融 2020-08-18 Yichun Chi , Xun Yu Zhou , Sheng Chao Zhuang

In this paper, we are concerned with the valuation of Guaranteed Annuity Options (GAOs) under the most generalised modelling framework where both interest and mortality rates are stochastic and correlated. Pricing these type of options in…

证券定价 · 定量金融 2017-07-05 Raj Kumari Bahl , Sotirios Sabanis

This paper describes a general approach for stochastic modeling of assets returns and liability cash-flows of a typical pensions insurer. On the asset side, we model the investment returns on equities and various classes of fixed-income…

风险管理 · 定量金融 2020-05-27 Sergio Alvares Maffra , John Armstrong , Teemu Pennanen

Two-part models and Tweedie generalized linear models (GLMs) have been used to model loss costs for short-term insurance contract. For most portfolios of insurance claims, there is typically a large proportion of zero claims that leads to…

应用统计 · 统计学 2020-06-11 Zhiyu Quan , Zhiguo Wang , Guojun Gan , Emiliano A. Valdez

Non-linear hierarchical models are commonly used in many disciplines. However, inference in the presence of non-nested effects and on large datasets is challenging and computationally burdensome. This paper provides two contributions to…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2021-10-22 Max Goplerud

We study a notion of good-deal hedging, that corresponds to good-deal valuation for generalized good-deal constraints. Under model uncertainty about the market prices of risk of hedging assets, a robust approach leads to a reduction or even…

数理金融 · 定量金融 2019-06-27 Dirk Becherer , Klebert Kentia