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We study a class of importance sampling methods for stochastic differential equations (SDEs). A small-noise analysis is performed, and the results suggest that a simple symmetrization procedure can significantly improve the performance of…

数值分析 · 数学 2018-07-04 Andrew Leach , Kevin K. Lin , Matthias Morzfeld

Implicit sampling is a weighted sampling method that is used in data assimilation, where one sequentially updates estimates of the state of a stochastic model based on a stream of noisy or incomplete data. Here we describe how to use…

数值分析 · 数学 2016-01-20 Matthias Morzfeld , Xuemin Tu , Jon Wilkening , Alexandre J. Chorin

Calculating the expected information gain in optimal Bayesian experimental design typically relies on nested Monte Carlo sampling. When the model also contains nuisance parameters, which are parameters that contribute to the overall…

数值分析 · 数学 2023-02-24 Arved Bartuska , Luis Espath , Raúl Tempone

We consider continuous-time sparse stochastic processes from which we have only a finite number of noisy/noiseless samples. Our goal is to estimate the noiseless samples (denoising) and the signal in-between (interpolation problem). By…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2015-06-11 Arash Amini , Ulugbek S. Kamilov , Emrah Bostan , Michael Unser

Adaptive importance sampling is a class of techniques for finding good proposal distributions for importance sampling. Often the proposal distributions are standard probability distributions whose parameters are adapted based on the…

统计计算 · 统计学 2021-03-10 Topi Paananen , Juho Piironen , Paul-Christian Bürkner , Aki Vehtari

In variational inference, the benefits of Bayesian models rely on accurately capturing the true posterior distribution. We propose using neural samplers that specify implicit distributions, which are well-suited for approximating complex…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2023-11-10 Anshuk Uppal , Kristoffer Stensbo-Smidt , Wouter Boomsma , Jes Frellsen

We construct importance sampling schemes for stochastic differential equations with small noise and fast oscillating coefficients. Standard Monte Carlo methods perform poorly for these problems in the small noise limit. With multiscale…

概率论 · 数学 2012-02-03 Paul Dupuis , Konstantinos Spiliopoulos , Hui Wang

The applicability and usefulness of implicit sampling in stochastic optimal control, stochastic localization, and simultaneous localization and mapping (SLAM), is explored; implicit sampling is a recently-developed variationally-enhanced…

最优化与控制 · 数学 2014-11-17 Matthias Morzfeld

This article presents new methodology for sample-based Bayesian inference when data are partitioned and communication between the parts is expensive, as arises by necessity in the context of "big data" or by choice in order to take…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2022-11-01 Marc Box

This article presents a Bayesian inferential method where the likelihood for a model is unknown but where data can easily be simulated from the model. We discretize simulated (continuous) data to estimate the implicit likelihood in a…

Implicit particle filters for data assimilation generate high-probability samples by representing each particle location as a separate function of a common reference variable. This representation requires that a certain underdetermined…

数值分析 · 数学 2015-05-27 Matthias Morzfeld , Xuemin Tu , Ethan Atkins , Alexandre J. Chorin

Importance sampling algorithms are discussed in detail, with an emphasis on implicit sampling, and applied to data assimilation via particle filters. Implicit sampling makes it possible to use the data to find high-probability samples at…

统计计算 · 统计学 2015-06-02 Alexandre J. Chorin , Fei Lu , Robert N. Miller , Matthias Morzfeld , Xuemin Tu

We engineer a new probabilistic Monte-Carlo algorithm for isomorphism testing. Most notably, as opposed to all other solvers, it implicitly exploits the presence of symmetries without explicitly computing them. We provide extensive…

数据结构与算法 · 计算机科学 2020-11-19 Markus Anders , Pascal Schweitzer

Multiplicative noise models are often used instead of additive noise models in cases in which the noise variance depends on the state. Furthermore, when Poisson distributions with relatively small counts are approximated with normal…

最优化与控制 · 数学 2018-06-08 Ruanui Nicholson , Jari P. Kaipio

The Bayesian approach to inverse problems provides a rigorous framework for the incorporation and quantification of uncertainties in measurements, parameters and models. We are interested in designing numerical methods which are robust…

数值分析 · 数学 2020-06-29 Claudia Schillings , Björn Sprungk , Philipp Wacker

We apply classical and Bayesian lasso regularizations to a family of models with the presence of mixture and process variables. We analyse the performance of these estimates with respect to ordinary least squares estimators by a simulation…

Sparsity promoting norms are frequently used in high dimensional regression. A limitation of such Lasso-type estimators is that the optimal regularization parameter depends on the unknown noise level. Estimators such as the concomitant…

机器学习 · 统计学 2020-09-04 Quentin Bertrand , Mathurin Massias , Alexandre Gramfort , Joseph Salmon

Many statistical applications involve models for which it is difficult to evaluate the likelihood, but from which it is relatively easy to sample. Approximate Bayesian computation is a likelihood-free method for implementing Bayesian…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2017-11-29 Wentao Li , Paul Fearnhead

A key limitation of sampling algorithms for approximate inference is that it is difficult to quantify their approximation error. Widely used sampling schemes, such as sequential importance sampling with resampling and Metropolis-Hastings,…

人工智能 · 计算机科学 2017-05-09 Marco F. Cusumano-Towner , Vikash K. Mansinghka

The replica method is a non-rigorous but well-known technique from statistical physics used in the asymptotic analysis of large, random, nonlinear problems. This paper applies the replica method, under the assumption of replica symmetry, to…

信息论 · 计算机科学 2015-01-20 Sundeep Rangan , Alyson K. Fletcher , Vivek K Goyal
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