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The original 110 year long 27-day Recurrence Index (original R27) was published more than forty years ago. That index, based on the autocorrelation of consecutive 27-day sets of the geomagnetic aa-index, is a measure of the cycle-to-cycle…

太阳与恒星天体物理 · 物理学 2021-01-07 H. H. Sargent

We present a regime-switching vector-autoregressive method for very-short-term wind speed forecasting at multiple locations with regimes based on large-scale meteorological phenomena. Statistical methods short-term wind forecasting…

应用统计 · 统计学 2018-05-31 Jethro Browell , Daniel R. Drew , Kostas Philippopoulos

This paper proposes a systematic framework to assess the complementarity of renewable resources over arbitrary geographical scopes and temporal scales which is particularly well-suited to exploit very large data sets of climatological data.…

Accurate multi-decadal wind power predictions are crucial for sustainable energy transitions but are challenged by the coarse spatial resolution of global climate models (GCMs). This study examines the impact of spatial resolution on wind…

大气与海洋物理 · 物理学 2024-10-22 Sofia Morelli

We present a new high-resolution global renewable energy atlas ({REatlas}) that can be used to calculate customised hourly time series of wind and solar PV power generation. In this paper, the atlas is applied to produce 32-year-long hourly…

数据分析、统计与概率 · 物理学 2016-01-12 Gorm Bruun Andresen , Anders Aspegren Søndergaard , Martin Greiner

This study focuses on the validation of high-resolution regional reanalyses to understand their effectiveness in reproducing precipitation patterns over Italy, a climate change hotspot characterized by coastal sea-land interaction and…

The growth of wind generation capacities in the past decades has shown that wind energy can contribute to the energy transition in many parts of the world. Being highly variable and complex to model, the quantification of the…

信号处理 · 电气工程与系统科学 2022-07-19 Federico Amato , Fabian Guignard , Alina Walch , Nahid Mohajeri , Jean-Louis Scartezzini , Mikhail Kanevski

We present a non-linear AI-model designed to reconstruct monthly mean anomalies of the European temperature and precipitation based on the Euro-Atlantic Weather regimes (WR) indices. WR represent recurrent, quasi-stationary, and persistent…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2025-12-11 A. Camilletti , G. Franch , E. Tomasi , M. Cristoforetti

The high temporal variability of wind power generation represents a major challenge for the realization of a sustainable energy supply. Large backup and storage facilities are necessary to secure the supply in periods of low renewable…

With a potentially increasing share of the electricity grid relying on wind to provide generating capacity and energy, there is an expanding global need for historically accurate, spatiotemporally continuous, high-resolution wind data.…

World is looking for clean and renewable energy sources that do not pollute the environment, in an attempt to reduce greenhouse gas emissions that contribute to global warming. Wind energy has significant potential to not only reduce…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2024-01-31 Alif Bin Abdul Qayyum , Xihaier Luo , Nathan M. Urban , Xiaoning Qian , Byung-Jun Yoon

Understanding how weather and climate influence fire risk is important for many purposes, including climate adaptation planning and decision-making in sectors such as emergency management, finance, health and infrastructure (e.g., for…

大气与海洋物理 · 物理学 2026-03-27 Soubhik Biswas , Andrew Dowdy , Savin Chand

Cost optimal scenarios derived from models of a highly renewable electricity system depend on the specific input data, cost assumptions and system constraints. Here this influence is studied using a techno-economic optimisation model for a…

物理与社会 · 物理学 2018-08-21 David P. Schlachtberger , Tom Brown , Mirko Schäfer , Stefan Schramm , Martin Greiner

We use reanalysis data to investigate the daily co-variability of wind and solar irradiance in Britain, and its implications for renewable energy supply balancing. The joint distribution of daily-mean wind speeds and irradiances shows that…

大气与海洋物理 · 物理学 2015-10-20 Philip E. Bett , Hazel E. Thornton

Winds play an essential role in the climate system. In this study, we analyze the global pattern of the diurnal cycle of surface (10 m) winds from the ERA5 reanalysis data. We find that over the land and especially over sand dune regions,…

大气与海洋物理 · 物理学 2022-12-14 Yosef Ashkenazy , Hezi Yizhaq

Using detrended fluctuation analysis (DFA), we study the scaling properties of the volatility time series $V_i=| T_{i+1}-T_i|$ of daily temperatures $T_i$ for ten chosen sites around the globe. We find that the volatility is long range…

统计力学 · 物理学 2009-11-07 R. B. Govindan , A. Bunde , S. Havlin

In the last decades wind power became the second largest energy source in the EU covering 16% of its electricity demand. However, due to its volatility, accurate short range wind power predictions are required for successful integration of…

应用统计 · 统计学 2022-06-22 Sándor Baran , Ágnes Baran

Wind energy has an inherent intermittent character due to certain inevitable factors of nature, such as availability of wind at different weather conditions, wind direction etc. To study the intermittent character of wind energy, its daily…

大气与海洋物理 · 物理学 2022-06-30 Sayantan Chakraborty , Sourav Samanta , Shukla Samanta , Dipak Ghosh , Kumardeb Banerjee

The appropriate weather prediction is a challenging task and it can be feasible with proper wind speed fluctuation analysis. In this current paper daubechies-4 wavelet is used to analyze the winter wind speed fluctuations due to lesser…

计算工程、金融与科学 · 计算机科学 2016-12-06 Sabyasachi Mukhopadhyay , Prasanta K Panigrahi

We explore the crucial interplay between climate change and power system planning, highlighting the urgent need to systematically integrate climate information into energy system studies. Climate change impacts the energy sector on multiple…

大气与海洋物理 · 物理学 2026-05-05 Laurent Dubus , Alberto Troccoli , Aron zuiker , Laurens Stoop