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Causal reasoning is essential to science, yet quantum theory challenges it. Quantum correlations violating Bell inequalities defy satisfactory causal explanations within the framework of classical causal models. What is more, a theory…

量子物理 · 物理学 2021-03-05 Jonathan Barrett , Robin Lorenz , Ognyan Oreshkov

Causal inference from observational data following the restricted structural causal models (SCM) framework hinges largely on the asymmetry between cause and effect from the data generating mechanisms, such as non-Gaussianity or…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2024-05-30 Kang Du , Yu Xiang

Many production processes are characterized by numerous and complex cause-and-effect relationships. Since they are only partially known they pose a challenge to effective process control. In this work we present how Structural Equation…

机器学习 · 统计学 2022-10-27 Maximilian Kertel , Stefan Harmeling , Markus Pauly

Structural causal models (SCMs) provide a principled approach to identifying causation from observational and experimental data in disciplines ranging from economics to medicine. However, SCMs, which is typically represented as graphical…

We introduce a novel framework for causal explanations of stochastic, sequential decision-making systems built on the well-studied structural causal model paradigm for causal reasoning. This single framework can identify multiple,…

人工智能 · 计算机科学 2023-01-12 Samer B. Nashed , Saaduddin Mahmud , Claudia V. Goldman , Shlomo Zilberstein

A systematic Bayesian framework is developed for physics constrained parameter inference ofstochastic differential equations (SDE) from partial observations. The physical constraints arederived for stochastic climate models but are…

数据分析、统计与概率 · 物理学 2016-11-25 Daniel Peavoy , Christian L. E. Franzke , Gareth O. Roberts

Mathematical models are fundamental building blocks in the design of dynamical control systems. As control systems are becoming increasingly complex and networked, approaches for obtaining such models based on first principles reach their…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2022-07-19 Dominik Baumann , Friedrich Solowjow , Karl H. Johansson , Sebastian Trimpe

Causal graphical models can encode large amounts structural knowledge, both from the background knowledge of domain experts and the structural knowledge discovered from randomized experiments or observational data. However, though we may…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2026-04-07 Katherine Avery , Chinmay Pendse , David Jensen

Dynamic structural causal models (SCMs) are a powerful framework for reasoning in dynamic systems about direct effects which measure how a change in one variable affects another variable while holding all other variables constant. The…

人工智能 · 计算机科学 2024-02-16 Simon Ferreira , Charles K. Assaad

Causal structure learning has long been the central task of inferring causal insights from data. Despite the abundance of real-world processes exhibiting higher-order mechanisms, however, an explicit treatment of interactions in causal…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2025-11-07 James Enouen , Yujia Zheng , Ignavier Ng , Yan Liu , Kun Zhang

We present simple assumptions on the constraints defining a hard core dynamics for the associated reflected stochastic differential equation to have a unique strong solution. Time-reversibility is proven for gradient systems with normal…

概率论 · 数学 2013-06-17 Myriam Fradon

Neurally-parameterized Structural Causal Models in the Pearlian notion to causality, referred to as NCM, were recently introduced as a step towards next-generation learning systems. However, said NCM are only concerned with the learning…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2022-12-27 Matej Zečević , Devendra Singh Dhami , Kristian Kersting

This paper discusses the stability of an equilibrium point of an ordinary differential equation (ODE) arising from a feed-forward position control for a musculoskeletal system. The studied system has a link, a joint and two muscles with…

动力系统 · 数学 2019-04-30 Takahiro Kosugi , Hitoshi Kino , Masaaki Goto , Yuki Matsutani

In the univariate case, we show that by comparing the individual complexities of univariate cause and effect, one can identify the cause and the effect, without considering their interaction at all. In our framework, complexities are…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2020-02-25 Tomer Galanti , Ofir Nabati , Lior Wolf

We demonstrate the possibility of classifying causal systems into kinds that share a common structure without first constructing an explicit dynamical model or using prior knowledge of the system dynamics. The algorithmic ability to…

机器学习 · 统计学 2016-12-16 Benjamin C. Jantzen

This paper aims to extend the framework of causal modelling to teleological explanations. It conceives final models as second-order models produced by interventions on first-order causal models. It shows why such formalisation permits us to…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2023-10-05 Dario Compagno

Scientists often use directed acyclic graphs (days) to model the qualitative structure of causal theories, allowing the parameters to be estimated from observational data. Two causal models are equivalent if there is no experiment which…

人工智能 · 计算机科学 2013-04-05 Tom S. Verma , Judea Pearl

We introduce a prototype model in an attempt to capture some aspects of market dynamics simulating a trading mechanism. The model description starts with a discrete-space, continuous-time Markov process describing arrival and movement of…

交易与市场微观结构 · 定量金融 2013-04-04 N. Vvedenskaya , Y. Suhov , V. Belitsky

Structural causal models (SCMs) are widely used in various disciplines to represent causal relationships among variables in complex systems. Unfortunately, the underlying causal structure is often unknown, and estimating it from data…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2024-01-17 Tianyu Chen , Kevin Bello , Bryon Aragam , Pradeep Ravikumar

Ordinary differential equations (ODE's) are a cornerstone of systems and control theory. Accordingly, they are standard material in undergraduate programs in engineering and there is abundant didactic literature about this topic. Yet, the…

系统与控制 · 电气工程与系统科学 2026-04-10 Alexandre Sanfelici Bazanella , Tristão Garcia