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Adversarially robust learning aims to design algorithms that are robust to small adversarial perturbations on input variables. Beyond the existing studies on the predictive performance to adversarial samples, our goal is to understand…

机器学习 · 统计学 2020-12-21 Yue Xing , Ruizhi Zhang , Guang Cheng

We introduce a new approach for estimating the invariant density of a multidimensional diffusion when dealing with high-frequency observations blurred by independent noises. We consider the intermediate regime, where observations occur at…

统计理论 · 数学 2024-04-19 Raphaël Maillet , Grégoire Szymanski

We introduce MESSY estimation, a Maximum-Entropy based Stochastic and Symbolic densitY estimation method. The proposed approach recovers probability density functions symbolically from samples using moments of a Gradient flow in which the…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2024-02-13 Tony Tohme , Mohsen Sadr , Kamal Youcef-Toumi , Nicolas G. Hadjiconstantinou

Hybrid methods have been shown to outperform pure statistical and pure deep learning methods at both forecasting tasks, and at quantifying the uncertainty associated with those forecasts (prediction intervals). One example is Multivariate…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2022-02-28 Thabang Mathonsi , Terence L van Zyl

This paper is concerned with Bayesian inferential methods for data from controlled branching processes that account for model robustness through the use of disparities. Under regularity conditions, we establish that estimators built on…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2018-02-19 M. González , C. Minuesa , I. del Puerto , A. N. Vidyashankar

A two-stage normal hierarchical model called the Fay--Herriot model and the empirical Bayes estimator are widely used to provide indirect and model-based estimates of means in small areas. However, the performance of the empirical Bayes…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2019-08-26 Shonosuke Sugasawa

We consider the problem of linear fitting of noisy data in the case of broad (say $\alpha$-stable) distributions of random impacts ("noise"), which can lack even the first moment. This situation, common in statistical physics of small…

数据分析、统计与概率 · 物理学 2015-05-27 Eugene B. Postnikov , Igor M. Sokolov

Conditional density estimation is a fundamental problem in statistics, with scientific and practical applications in biology, economics, finance and environmental studies, to name a few. In this paper, we propose a conditional density…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2022-01-03 Zijun Gao , Trevor Hastie

We solve the problem of estimating the distribution of presumed i.i.d. observations for the total variation loss. Our approach is based on density models and is versatile enough to cope with many different ones, including some density…

统计理论 · 数学 2024-01-05 Y. Baraud , H. Halconruy , G. Maillard

This paper introduces two variational inference approaches for infinite-dimensional inverse problems, developed through gradient descent with a constant learning rate. The proposed methods enable efficient approximate sampling from the…

数值分析 · 数学 2026-03-05 Jiaming Sui , Junxiong Jia , Jinglai Li

The most common way to sample from a probability distribution is to use Monte-Carlo methods. For distributions on a continuous state space, one can find diffusions with the target distribution as equilibrium measure, so that the state of…

概率论 · 数学 2015-10-28 Chii-Ruey Hwang , Raoul Normand , Sheng-Jhih Wu

We consider the problem of estimating the joint distribution $P$ of $n$ independent random variables within the Bayes paradigm from a non-asymptotic point of view. Assuming that $P$ admits some density $s$ with respect to a given reference…

统计理论 · 数学 2020-03-30 Yannick Baraud , Lucien Birgé

We study the variational inference problem of minimizing a regularized R\'enyi divergence over an exponential family. We propose to solve this problem with a Bregman proximal gradient algorithm. We propose a sampling-based algorithm to…

统计理论 · 数学 2024-10-17 Thomas Guilmeau , Emilie Chouzenoux , Víctor Elvira

Given a statistical model, we propose a novel estimation method that yields randomised estimators for the unknown distribution of an observed random variable. We establish non-asymptotic bounds for the performance of these estimators and…

统计理论 · 数学 2026-05-06 Yannick Baraud

Simulation-based inference (SBI) enables amortized Bayesian inference by first training a neural posterior estimator (NPE) on prior-simulator pairs, typically through low-dimensional summary statistics, which can then be cheaply reused for…

机器学习 · 统计学 2026-02-11 Sherman Khoo , Dennis Prangle , Song Liu , Mark Beaumont

Training machine learning and statistical models often involves optimizing a data-driven risk criterion. The risk is usually computed with respect to the empirical data distribution, but this may result in poor and unstable out-of-sample…

机器学习 · 统计学 2024-11-11 Nicola Bariletto , Nhat Ho

We propose a robust inferential procedure for assessing uncertainties of parameter estimation in high-dimensional linear models, where the dimension $p$ can grow exponentially fast with the sample size $n$. Our method combines the…

机器学习 · 统计学 2015-03-19 Tianqi Zhao , Mladen Kolar , Han Liu

This paper describes a generalization of the Hellinger distance which we call the S -Hellinger distance; this general family connects the Hellinger distance smoothly with the $L_2$-divergence by a tuning parameter $\alpha$ and is indeed a…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2014-12-08 Abhik Ghosh , Ayanendranath Basu

Smoothing methods find signals in noisy data. A challenge for Statistical inference is the choice of smoothing parameter. SiZer addressed this challenge in one-dimension by detecting significant slopes across multiple scales, but was not a…

统计理论 · 数学 2025-11-03 Rui Liu , Jan Hannig , J. S. Marron

This study introduces a novel formulation to enhance Support Vector Machines (SVMs) in handling class imbalance and noise. Unlike the conventional Soft Margin SVM, which penalizes the magnitude of constraint violations, the proposed model…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2025-03-20 Seyed Mojtaba Mohasel , Hamidreza Koosha